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HPH Trust SGD (P7VU) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SG · Market cap 2.0B SGD

HT HPH Trust SGD P7VU · SG
Price0.2450 SGD
Fair Value0.2900 SGD
Upside+18.4%
Quality62/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 6.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Moderate moat 53/100
Evidence: Medium Range 0.2200 SGD – 0.3700 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price +4.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 18% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • Our model range runs from 0.2200 SGD (bear) to 0.3700 SGD (bull), base 0.2900 SGD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 62/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

0.2850 SGD 0.0639 SGD Fair Value 0.2900 SGD Feb 2012 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.0639 SGD – 0.2850 SGD · fair‑value band 0.2200 SGD – 0.3700 SGD · the 0.2450 SGD price screens below the 0.2900 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

HPH Trust SGD (P7VU) currently trades at 0.2450 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2900 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 18.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, HPH Trust SGD generated revenue of 11.9B SGD at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue declined 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.9%. Net debt stands at 15.6B SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.2200 SGD (bear case) to 0.3700 SGD (bull case); at 0.2450 SGD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at 18%, P7VU screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 4.40 SGD 6.15 SGD 9.06 SGD 80
Residual Income 2.15 SGD 2.11 SGD 1.78 SGD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 2.16 SGD 3.12 SGD 4.36 SGD 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 4.19 SGD 6.01 SGD 9.28 SGD 38
Owner Earnings 2.63 SGD 3.88 SGD 6.13 SGD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 2.16 SGD 3.00 SGD 4.22 SGD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 5.56 SGD 8.90 SGD 13.31 SGD 41
5Y P/E Exit 1.92 SGD 2.59 SGD 3.40 SGD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 2.90 SGD 3.59 SGD 4.29 SGD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 4.97 SGD 7.16 SGD 9.50 SGD 37
10Y P/E Exit 2.80 SGD 3.34 SGD 3.82 SGD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.6100 SGD 0.7500 SGD 0.8400 SGD 54
EPV 2.91 SGD 3.50 SGD 4.01 SGD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.12 SGD 1.22 SGD 1.37 SGD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1.12 SGD 1.39 SGD 1.75 SGD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1.42 SGD 1.89 SGD 2.36 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 1.15 SGD 1.53 SGD 1.91 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 1.15 SGD 1.53 SGD 1.91 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 6.06 SGD 8.35 SGD 10.64 SGD 53
EV/EBITDA 7.70 SGD 10.54 SGD 13.37 SGD 54
EV/Revenue 0.9600 SGD 1.71 SGD 2.47 SGD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.50 SGD 2.00 SGD 2.99 SGD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 4.40 SGD 6.15 SGD 9.06 SGD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 2.16 SGD 3.12 SGD 4.36 SGD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 2.15 SGD 2.11 SGD 1.78 SGD 76
ROIC Compounder 2.91 SGD 3.56 SGD 4.27 SGD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.00 SGD 1.43 SGD 1.86 SGD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (3.59 SGD) versus Earnings-Based (0.7500 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 11.9B SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.7%
Net margin 6.3%
Return on equity 5.9%
Free cash flow 4.5B SGD FY2025
P/E ratio 23.0 as of Jul 4, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 41.7%
EPS (TTM) 0.0100 SGD
EPS growth (YoY) -1.8%
Net debt 15.6B SGD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust invests in, develops, operates, and manages deep-water container ports in Guangdong Province of the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Macau.

Full company description

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust invests in, develops, operates, and manages deep-water container ports in Guangdong Province of the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Macau. The company invests in other types of port assets, such as river ports; and undertakes various port ancillary services, including trucking, feedering, freight forwarding, supply chain management, warehousing, and distribution services. Hutchison Port Holdings Trust was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

HPH Trust SGD reported revenue of 11.6B SGD in FY2025 versus 13.2B SGD in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was 748M SGD in FY2025, compounding −19.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
11.6B SGD
Latest YoY
+3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.8%
Revenue −3.1%/yr
FY21 13.2B SGD
FY22 12.0B SGD
FY23 10.3B SGD
FY24 11.2B SGD
FY25 11.6B SGD
Net income −19.1%/yr
FY21 1.7B SGD
FY22 1.1B SGD
FY23 233M SGD
FY24 650M SGD
FY25 748M SGD

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HPH Trust SGD · Fair Value
0.2900 SGD +18%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HPH Trust SGD Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/P7VU

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 233 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +18% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 42% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.62× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.0× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 58 · sector 20
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 24 · sector 27
HEALTH 69 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,810 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥15.25 ¥49.90 +227%
HMM Co 011200 21,350 KRW 33,795 KRW +58%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹346.60 ₹126.31 -64%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 87.10 TWD 212.79 TWD +144%
PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk, a shipping company, TCPI 3,640 IDR 368.32 IDR -90%
Pan Ocean Co 028670 5,630 KRW 11,840 KRW +110%
Sociedad Matriz SAAM S.A SMSAAM 137.00 CLP 146.51 CLP +7%
PT Ancara Logistics Indonesia Tbk ALII 795.00 IDR 350.80 IDR -56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is HPH Trust SGD (P7VU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.2900 SGD versus a price of 0.2450 SGD, about +18% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of P7VU?
Our model-based fair value for HPH Trust SGD is 0.2900 SGD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.2450 SGD.
What is the quality score of P7VU?
HPH Trust SGD has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of HPH Trust SGD (P7VU)?
HPH Trust SGD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.9B SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of P7VU?
The net profit margin of HPH Trust SGD is about 6.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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