Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Bumitama Agri Ltd S$2.65, price S$1.92, upside +38.0%, quality 77 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Bumitama Agri Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the production and trading of crude palm oil (CPO) and palm kernel (PK) in Indonesia. It operates oil palm plantations, palm oil mills, and fertilizer blending plant. The company also cultivates, harvests, and processes fruit from the oil palm trees to produce and sell the CPO and PK.
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Bumitama Agri Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the production and trading of crude palm oil (CPO) and palm kernel (PK) in Indonesia. It operates oil palm plantations, palm oil mills, and fertilizer blending plant. The company also cultivates, harvests, and processes fruit from the oil palm trees to produce and sell the CPO and PK. In addition, it is involved in business and management, and consultancy services, as well as trading in edible oils and its related products. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z) currently trades at 1.92 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.65 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 27.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 3.18 SGD per share, and 17 of the 26 models we run sit above the 1.92 SGD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.4100 SGD, and 9 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 1.76 SGD (bear) to 3.44 SGD (bull), the price of 1.92 SGD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Bumitama Agri Ltd reported revenue of 20.0T IDR in FY2025 versus 12.2T IDR in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was 2.8T IDR in FY2025, compounding +13.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.7B SGD (≈ $2.9B) · P/E ratio 14.8 · P/S ratio 2.08 · EPS (TTM) 0.1400 SGD · Net margin 14.0% · Return on equity 23.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 19.4% · Revenue (TTM) 18.9T IDR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 83% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 38%, P8Z screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.76 SGDFair Value 2.65 SGDBull 3.44 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1059 SGD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.7% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+20.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 23%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in IDR, Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.0% a year for the price and +3.2% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 284 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+38.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)23.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets15.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)15.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth24.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.12× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
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Is Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.65 SGD versus a price of 1.92 SGD, about +38% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of P8Z?
Our model-based fair value for Bumitama Agri Ltd is 2.65 SGD (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.92 SGD.
What is the quality score of P8Z?
Bumitama Agri Ltd has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.65 SGD (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.76 SGD, optimistic scenario 3.44 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bumitama Agri Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.65 SGD, about +38% upside versus a price of 1.92 SGD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1.76 SGD, optimistic scenario 3.44 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z)?
Bumitama Agri Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.9T IDR (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bumitama Agri Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +4.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.0 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of P8Z use?
Our models discount Bumitama Agri Ltd at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for Singapore. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bumitama Agri Ltd that is +4.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bumitama Agri Ltd grew +17.0 % a year. The price currently implies +4.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bumitama Agri Ltd (+4.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.71 %: that much free cash flow Bumitama Agri Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bumitama Agri Ltd it is 2.65 SGD per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of 1.92 SGD. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bumitama Agri Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, P8Z trades below its calculated fair value: price 1.92 SGD, fair value 2.65 SGD, a gap of about +38% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of P8Z?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.92 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.65 SGD). For Bumitama Agri Ltd the two are 0.7300 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bumitama Agri Ltd worth?
The market values Bumitama Agri Ltd at about 3.7B SGD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is 1.92 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 2.65 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about P8Z?
Our models span a range for Bumitama Agri Ltd: cautious scenario 1.76 SGD, base 2.65 SGD, optimistic 3.44 SGD per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price 1.92 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of P8Z?
Bumitama Agri Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.8 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2.65 SGD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 3.5, P/S 2.8, EV/EBITDA 7.9.
What is the PEG ratio of P8Z?
The PEG ratio of Bumitama Agri Ltd is 0.83 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 2, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bumitama Agri Ltd (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 23.4%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is P8Z from its 52-week high?
Bumitama Agri Ltd trades at 1.92 SGD, about 23% below its 52-week high of 2.49 SGD and 83% above the low of 1.05 SGD (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.65 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bumitama Agri Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bumitama Agri Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price 1.92 SGD, calculated fair value 2.65 SGD (+38%), Quality Score 77/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of P8Z calculated?
We run Bumitama Agri Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.65 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Bumitama Agri Ltd currently trades 28 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 1.92 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 2.65 SGD, about +38% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bumitama Agri Ltd right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (77/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. A fairly wide model range (1.76 SGD to 3.44 SGD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Bumitama Agri Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z)?
The market capitalisation of Bumitama Agri Ltd is 3.7B SGD (≈ $2.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bumitama Agri Ltd is 2.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z)?
Earnings per share at Bumitama Agri Ltd are 0.1400 SGD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z)?
The net margin of Bumitama Agri Ltd is 14.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bumitama Agri Ltd is 23.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bumitama Agri Ltd is 19.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z)?
Revenue at Bumitama Agri Ltd is growing +24.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z)?
Earnings per share at Bumitama Agri Ltd are growing +44.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z) carry?
The net debt of Bumitama Agri Ltd is 945B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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