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Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · SG · Market cap 3.0B SGD

BA Bumitama Agri Ltd P8Z · SG
Price2.02 SGD
Fair Value2.01 SGD
Upside-0.5%
Quality77/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/11)
Wide moat 73/100
Evidence: Medium Range 1.45 SGD – 2.51 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 3.39 SGD to 2.01 SGD (−40.7%) since Aug 9, 2026. Share price +9.2% over the past month.

A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value.

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What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from 1.45 SGD (bear) to 2.51 SGD (bull), base 2.01 SGD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 77/100 (high quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

2.14 SGD 0.2670 SGD Fair Value 2.01 SGD May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.2670 SGD – 2.14 SGD · fair‑value band 1.45 SGD – 2.51 SGD · the 2.02 SGD price screens above the 2.01 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z) currently trades at 2.02 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.01 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 0.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Bumitama Agri Ltd generated revenue of 18.9T SGD at a net margin of 14.1%. Revenue grew 11.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.9%. Net debt stands at 945B SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.45 SGD (bear case) to 2.51 SGD (bull case); at 2.02 SGD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 188% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 97% fair-value upside, at 0%, P8Z screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 2.37 SGD 4.54 SGD 7.78 SGD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1.63 SGD 2.77 SGD 4.34 SGD 74
ROIC Compounder 2.19 SGD 2.99 SGD 4.05 SGD 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 2.43 SGD 4.45 SGD 8.84 SGD 38
Owner Earnings 1.76 SGD 3.40 SGD 6.37 SGD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 1.63 SGD 2.80 SGD 4.41 SGD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 2.84 SGD 5.45 SGD 8.88 SGD 41
5Y P/E Exit 2.44 SGD 4.56 SGD 7.12 SGD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 1.84 SGD 3.07 SGD 5.03 SGD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 2.68 SGD 5.03 SGD 8.92 SGD 37
10Y P/E Exit 2.41 SGD 4.38 SGD 7.39 SGD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.10 SGD 6.20 SGD 8.61 SGD 54
Lynch FV 1.74 SGD 2.48 SGD 3.23 SGD 50
PEG = 1.0 1.74 SGD 2.48 SGD 3.23 SGD 46
EPV 1.86 SGD 2.15 SGD 2.40 SGD 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 2.54 SGD 3.39 SGD 4.24 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 1.38 SGD 1.84 SGD 2.30 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 2.06 SGD 2.74 SGD 3.43 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 3.45 SGD 4.59 SGD 5.73 SGD 53
EV/EBITDA 3.21 SGD 4.26 SGD 5.32 SGD 54
EV/Revenue 1.25 SGD 1.76 SGD 2.28 SGD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.4326 SGD 0.5796 SGD 0.8651 SGD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 2.37 SGD 4.54 SGD 7.78 SGD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1.63 SGD 2.77 SGD 4.34 SGD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.02 SGD 1.36 SGD 4.83 SGD 61
ROIC Compounder 2.19 SGD 2.99 SGD 4.05 SGD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 2.60 SGD 3.71 SGD 4.82 SGD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (4.38 SGD) versus Asset-Based (0.5796 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 18.9T SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.8%
Net margin 14.1%
Return on equity 19.9%
Free cash flow 3.1T SGD FY2025
P/E ratio 16.8
More key figures
EPS (TTM) 0.1200 SGD
EPS growth (YoY) +7.4%
Net debt 945B SGD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 77/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 62
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 85
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bumitama Agri Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the production and trading of crude palm oil (CPO) and palm kernel (PK) in Indonesia. It operates oil palm plantations, palm oil mills, and fertilizer blending plant. The company also cultivates, harvests, and processes fruit from the oil palm trees to produce and sell the CPO and PK.

Full company description

Bumitama Agri Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the production and trading of crude palm oil (CPO) and palm kernel (PK) in Indonesia. It operates oil palm plantations, palm oil mills, and fertilizer blending plant. The company also cultivates, harvests, and processes fruit from the oil palm trees to produce and sell the CPO and PK. In addition, it is involved in business and management, and consultancy services, as well as trading in edible oils and its related products. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bumitama Agri Ltd reported revenue of 20.0T SGD in FY2025 versus 12.2T SGD in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was 2.8T SGD in FY2025, compounding +13.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
20.0T SGD
Latest YoY
+19.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.0%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.2%
Revenue +13.0%/yr
FY21 12.2T SGD
FY22 15.8T SGD
FY23 15.4T SGD
FY24 16.7T SGD
FY25 20.0T SGD
Net income +13.0%/yr
FY21 1.7T SGD
FY22 2.8T SGD
FY23 2.4T SGD
FY24 2.3T SGD
FY25 2.8T SGD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bumitama Agri Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/P8Z

Peer Group

Farm Products · 298 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −1% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 13% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.8× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.73× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 26
FUTURE 59 · sector 21
PAST 80 · sector 17
HEALTH 94 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.15 ¥47.42 +18%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 21.90 THB 43.24 THB +97%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,150 IDR 6,818 IDR +116%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,805 IDR 3,087 IDR +71%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,350 IDR 6,420 IDR -13%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,260 IDR 6,974 IDR +209%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,890 IDR 610.80 IDR -68%
PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS 860.00 IDR 402.24 IDR -53%
PT Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk SMAR 5,625 IDR 16,227 IDR +188%
PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk DSNG 1,320 IDR 2,696 IDR +104%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.01 SGD versus a price of 2.02 SGD, about −0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of P8Z?
Our model-based fair value for Bumitama Agri Ltd is 2.01 SGD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2.02 SGD.
What is the quality score of P8Z?
Bumitama Agri Ltd has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bumitama Agri Ltd (P8Z)?
Bumitama Agri Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.9T SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of P8Z?
The net profit margin of Bumitama Agri Ltd is about 14.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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