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Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Real Estate · TR · ISIN TREPGYO00013

PG Broad data Sep 13, 2026

Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS

PAGYO · IS

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value 142.14 TRY · Fairly valued (+8%)
!Quality 64/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +83.8 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 147.3% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/14)
!Moderate moat 60/100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

172.50 TRY 4.40 TRY Fair Value 142.14 TRY Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 4.40 TRY – 172.50 TRY · fair‑value band 80.62 TRY – 178.64 TRY · the 132.20 TRY price screens below the 142.14 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is a real estate investment trust. It invests in the real estate markets of Turkey. Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is based in Turkey.

Stock analysis

Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO) currently trades at 132.20 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 142.14 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 7.0% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 199.91 TRY per share, and 11 of the 14 models we run sit above the 132.20 TRY price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 116.86 TRY, and 3 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 80.62 TRY (bear) to 178.64 TRY (bull), the price of 132.20 TRY sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS reported revenue of 1.1B TRY in FY2025 versus 75.2M TRY in FY2021, a compound +96.1%/yr. Reported net income was 1.6B TRY in FY2025, compounding +58.4%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap 14.5B TRY (≈ $298M) · P/E ratio 6.9 · P/S ratio 9.69 · EPS (TTM) 19.26 TRY · Net margin 141% · Return on equity 11.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3% · Operating margin 82.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 101% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at 8%, PAGYO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 80.62 TRY Fair Value 142.14 TRY Bull 178.64 TRY
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (13.61 TRY per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 124.57 TRY 194.39 TRY 416.71 TRY 75
Growth DCF 117.34 TRY 230.10 TRY 414.87 TRY 75
Residual Income 154.73 TRY 173.25 TRY 305.31 TRY 74
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 124.57 TRY 194.39 TRY 416.71 TRY 75
5Y Revenue Exit 86.84 TRY 144.57 TRY 265.10 TRY 70
5Y EBITDA Exit 127.43 TRY 226.66 TRY 421.39 TRY 72
10Y Revenue Exit 96.48 TRY 199.91 TRY 263.01 TRY 66
10Y EBITDA Exit 128.95 TRY 287.33 TRY 564.63 TRY 64
Multiples
P/S Multiple 62.30 TRY 83.07 TRY 103.84 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 230.12 TRY 306.83 TRY 383.54 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 159.03 TRY 211.10 TRY 263.16 TRY 66
EV/EBITDA 123.69 TRY 163.97 TRY 204.26 TRY 67
EV/Revenue 65.46 TRY 92.30 TRY 119.14 TRY 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 87.21 TRY 116.86 TRY 174.42 TRY 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 117.34 TRY 230.10 TRY 414.87 TRY 75
Rev-Margin DCF 95.36 TRY 163.97 TRY 303.93 TRY 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income 154.73 TRY 173.25 TRY 305.31 TRY 74

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 86
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.0%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+52.3%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+83.8%
Revenue growth 15 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+90.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+90.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.53% → 74%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+23.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Retail · 94 stocks

Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 147% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 82% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.9× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.95× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 12.73× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)43 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)45 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)47 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 67
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 100

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Simon Property Group SPG $204.83 $84.26 −59%
Realty Income Corporation O $59.50 $82.78 +39%
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE URW €92.90 €89.06 −4%
Kimco Realty Corporation KIM $23.19 $12.49 −46%
CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) C38U 2.28 SGD 1.31 SGD −43%
Scentre Group SCG A$3.46 A$2.37 −32%
Regency Centers Corporation REG $74.62 $20.56 −72%
Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) 0823 HK$37.84 HK$28.78 −24%
Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT $114.36 $41.47 −64%
Brixmor Property Group BRX $28.73 $12.34 −57%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PAGYO

Frequently asked questions

Is Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 142.14 TRY versus a price of 132.20 TRY, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of PAGYO?
Our model-based fair value for Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 142.14 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 132.20 TRY.
What is the quality score of PAGYO?
Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 142.14 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 80.62 TRY, optimistic scenario 178.64 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 142.14 TRY, about +8% upside versus a price of 132.20 TRY (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 80.62 TRY, optimistic scenario 178.64 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO)?
Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS would have to grow free cash flow by +23.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 17.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +83.8 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PAGYO use?
Our models discount Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS at 17.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS that is +23.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (17.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS grew +83.8 % a year. The price currently implies +23.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (+23.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.47 %: that much free cash flow Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (17.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS it is 142.14 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 132.20 TRY. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, PAGYO trades below its calculated fair value: price 132.20 TRY, fair value 142.14 TRY, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PAGYO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (132.20 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (142.14 TRY). For Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS the two are 9.94 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS worth?
The market values Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS at about 14.5B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 132.20 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 142.14 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PAGYO?
Our models span a range for Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS: cautious scenario 80.62 TRY, base 142.14 TRY, optimistic 178.64 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 132.20 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PAGYO?
Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.9 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 142.14 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 12.7, EV/EBITDA 7.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 11.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PAGYO from its 52-week high?
Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS trades at 132.20 TRY, about 25% below its 52-week high of 177.10 TRY and 101% above the low of 65.66 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 142.14 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Simon Property Group, Realty Income Corporation, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE, Kimco Realty Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 132.20 TRY, calculated fair value 142.14 TRY (+8%), Quality Score 64/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PAGYO calculated?
We run Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 142.14 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS currently trades 8 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO)?
The closing price on Sep 14, 2026 was 132.20 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 142.14 TRY, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (80.62 TRY to 178.64 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO)?
The market capitalisation of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 14.5B TRY (≈ $298M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 9.69 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO)?
Earnings per share at Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS are 19.26 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO)?
The net margin of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 141% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 11.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 5.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO)?
The operating margin of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 82.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO)?
Revenue at Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is growing +8.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +52.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO)?
Earnings per share at Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS are growing +150% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (PAGYO) carry?
The net debt of Panora Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 2.0M TRY (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 0.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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