Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT (PAMG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT IDR 5, price IDR 46, upside -88.4%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 43.00 IDR – 117.00 IDR · fair‑value band 3.99 IDR – 12.66 IDR · the 46.00 IDR price screens above the 5.32 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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PT Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk operates as a property developer in Indonesia. The company operates through Developer and Estate segments. It engages in the rental of mall space and hotel building. The company was founded in 1980 and is based in Pekanbaru, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT (PAMG) currently trades at 46.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.32 IDR, 88.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 13 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 3.99 IDR (bear) to 12.66 IDR (bull), the price of 46.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT reported revenue of 50.1B IDR in FY2025 versus 47.3B IDR in FY2021, a compound +1.4%/yr. Reported net income was 978M IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 144B IDR (≈ $8.0M) · P/S ratio 2.96 · EPS (TTM) −2.99 IDR · Net margin 2.0% · Return on equity −0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5% · Operating margin 20.0% · Revenue (TTM) 48.5B IDR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −88%, PAMG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 3.99 IDRFair Value 5.32 IDRBull 12.66 IDR
Price 46.00 IDR · Upside -88.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.20/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−30.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−30.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−30.9% vs −90.1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 15%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 6.5%/yr over ~7Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 132 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−88.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets1.1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−1.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)20.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−10.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.19× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
EV/EBITDA7.5× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 3
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)91· sector 74
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 62
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT (PAMG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.32 IDR versus a price of 46.00 IDR, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PAMG?
Our model-based fair value for Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT is 5.32 IDR (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 46.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of PAMG?
Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT (PAMG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 5.32 IDR (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3.99 IDR, optimistic scenario 12.66 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 5.32 IDR, about −88% upside versus a price of 46.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 3.99 IDR, optimistic scenario 12.66 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT (PAMG)?
Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 48.5B IDR (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT (PAMG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT it is 5.32 IDR per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 46.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, PAMG trades above its calculated fair value: price 46.00 IDR, fair value 5.32 IDR, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PAMG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (46.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (5.32 IDR). For Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT the two are 40.68 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT worth?
The market values Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT at about 144B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 46.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 5.32 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PAMG?
Our models span a range for Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT: cautious scenario 3.99 IDR, base 5.32 IDR, optimistic 12.66 IDR per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 46.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT (PAMG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −0.1%, debt of 0.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PAMG from its 52-week high?
Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT trades at 46.00 IDR, about 47% below its 52-week high of 86.00 IDR and 7% above the low of 43.00 IDR (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 5.32 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Henderson Land Development Company, Swiss Prime Site AG, Central Pattana Public Company, The Phoenix Mills Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 46.00 IDR, calculated fair value 5.32 IDR (−88%), Quality Score 45/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PAMG calculated?
We run Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 5.32 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT (PAMG)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 46.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 5.32 IDR, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (12.66 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (3.99 IDR to 12.66 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT
How large is the market capitalisation of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT (PAMG)?
The market capitalisation of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT is 144B IDR (≈ $8.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT (PAMG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT is 2.96 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT (PAMG)?
Earnings per share at Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT are −2.99 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT (PAMG)?
The net margin of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT is 2.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT (PAMG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT is −0.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT (PAMG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT (PAMG)?
The operating margin of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT is 20.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT (PAMG)?
Revenue at Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT is growing −10.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT (PAMG) generate?
The free cash flow of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT is −1.6B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT (PAMG) carry?
The net debt of Bima Sakti Pertiwi Tbk PT is 90.2B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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