Petróleo Brasileiro S.A (PBR-A) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $107B
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A
PBR-A · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Share price +12.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $10.35 – $19.73 · fair‑value band $20.21 – $38.35 · the $16.62 price screens below the $28.71 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.
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Petróleo Brasileiro S.A (PBR-A) currently trades at $16.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.71, implying the stock looks roughly 72.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Petróleo Brasileiro S.A generated revenue of $498B at a net margin of 21.6%. Revenue grew 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.6%. Net debt stands at $63.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $20.21 (bear case) to $38.35 (bull case); at $16.62, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at 73%, PBR-A screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the Americas, Asia, Europe, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation & Marketing; and Gas & Low Carbon Energies. The Exploration and Production segment explores, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas primarily for supplies to the domestic refineries. Its Refining, Transportation and Marketing segment engages in the refining, logistics, transport, acquisition, and export of crude oil; trading of oil products; and production of fertilizers, as well as holding interests in petrochemical companies. The Gas and Low Carbon Energies segment is involved in the logistic and trading of natural gas and electricity; transportation and trading of liquefied natural gas; generation of electricity through thermoelectric power plants; renewable energy business; low carbon …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A reported revenue of $90.8B in FY2025 versus $84.0B in FY2021, a compound +2.0%/yr. Reported net income was $20.1B in FY2025, compounding +0.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Petrobras (PBR) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: Here's Why
- Oil’s Surge Sparks Unusually Active Options Bets on Petrobras, Nike, Goldman Sachs and Other 120+ DTEs
- VALLOUREC WINS A CONTRACT WITH ALLSEAS FOR ATAPU 2 OFFSHORE PROJECT IN BRAZIL
- Petrobras Expands Deepwater Operations With Two New FPSOs
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM | $138.47 | $90.37 | -35% |
| Chevron Corporation CVX | 3,260 MXN | 1,162 MXN | -64% |
| PetroChina Company PCCYF | $1.20 | $1.59 | +33% |
| Shell plc RYDAF | $38.90 | $46.04 | +18% |
| TotalEnergies SE TTE | C$13.80 | C$10.37 | -25% |
| BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, BPE5 | €5.79 | €6.18 | +7% |
| Equinor ASA STOHF | $36.10 | $35.44 | -2% |
| China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028 | ¥4.89 | ¥5.45 | +11% |
| Eni S.p.A ENI | €21.50 | €15.13 | -30% |
| Suncor Energy Inc SU | $62.09 | $69.48 | +12% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.