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PointsBet Holdings Limited (PBTHF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of PointsBet Holdings Limited $0.41, price $0.53, upside -22.8%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · US · Home Australia

PH PointsBet Holdings Limited logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

PointsBet Holdings Limited

PBTHF · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $0.4100 · Overvalued (−22.8%)
!Quality 40/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +5.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -14.3% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/7)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$2.91 $0.0750 Fair Value $0.4100 Dec 2020 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0750 – $2.91 · fair‑value band $0.2500 – $0.6800 · the $0.5310 price screens above the $0.4100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PointsBet Holdings Limited provides sports, racing, and iGaming betting products and services through its cloud-based technology platform in Australia. The company operates through Australian Trading and Canada Trading segments.

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PointsBet Holdings Limited provides sports, racing, and iGaming betting products and services through its cloud-based technology platform in Australia. The company operates through Australian Trading and Canada Trading segments. It also provides software development services and online sports betting, as well as support services for online sports betting and iGaming. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Cremorne, Australia. As of September 12, 2025, PointsBet Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of MIXI Australia Pty Ltd.

Stock analysis

PointsBet Holdings Limited (PBTHF) currently trades at $0.5310, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4100, 22.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 10 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.2500 (bear) to $0.6800 (bull), the price of $0.5310 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

PointsBet Holdings Limited reported revenue of A$249M in FY2026 versus A$195M in FY2022, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$35.6M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $183M · P/S ratio 0.74 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0500 · Net margin −14.3% · Return on equity −144% · Return on assets (EBIT) −22.9% · Operating margin −7.7% · Revenue (TTM) A$249M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 132% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 33% fair-value upside, at −23%, PBTHF screens richer than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 8
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 37
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 39
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 17/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+106.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−89.8% (2021) → −9.1% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

PBTHF screens overvalued: fair value 23% below the price. Compare with Evolution AB →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gambling · 50 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −26.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −14.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −7.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −16.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Gambling median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.74× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

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PointsBet Holdings Limited · Fair Value
$0.4100 −23%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PointsBet Holdings Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PBTHF

Frequently asked questions

Is PointsBet Holdings Limited (PBTHF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4100 versus a price of $0.5310, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PBTHF?
Our model-based fair value for PointsBet Holdings Limited is $0.4100 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.5310.
What is the quality score of PBTHF?
PointsBet Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PointsBet Holdings Limited (PBTHF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4100 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2500, optimistic scenario $0.6800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PointsBet Holdings Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4100, about −23% upside versus a price of $0.5310 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.2500, optimistic scenario $0.6800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PointsBet Holdings Limited (PBTHF)?
PointsBet Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$249M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of PointsBet Holdings Limited (PBTHF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PointsBet Holdings Limited it is $0.4100 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.5310. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PointsBet Holdings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PBTHF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.5310, fair value $0.4100, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PBTHF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.5310); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4100). For PointsBet Holdings Limited the two are $0.1210 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PointsBet Holdings Limited worth?
The market values PointsBet Holdings Limited at about $183M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.5310; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PBTHF?
Our models span a range for PointsBet Holdings Limited: cautious scenario $0.2500, base $0.4100, optimistic $0.6800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.5310). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of PointsBet Holdings Limited (PBTHF)?
Balance-sheet figures for PointsBet Holdings Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PBTHF from its 52-week high?
PointsBet Holdings Limited trades at $0.5310, about 41% below its 52-week high of $0.9000 and 132% above the low of $0.2290 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PointsBet Holdings Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Evolution AB, Flutter Entertainment plc, The Lottery Corporation, Lottomatica Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PointsBet Holdings Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.5310, calculated fair value $0.4100 (−23%), Quality Score 40/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PBTHF calculated?
We run PointsBet Holdings Limited through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. PointsBet Holdings Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PointsBet Holdings Limited (PBTHF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.5310. Our model-based fair value is $0.4100, about −23% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PointsBet Holdings Limited right now?
Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($0.2500 to $0.6800). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of PointsBet Holdings Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of PointsBet Holdings Limited (PBTHF)?
The market capitalisation of PointsBet Holdings Limited is $183M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PointsBet Holdings Limited (PBTHF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PointsBet Holdings Limited is 0.74 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PointsBet Holdings Limited (PBTHF)?
Earnings per share at PointsBet Holdings Limited are $−0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of PointsBet Holdings Limited (PBTHF)?
The net margin of PointsBet Holdings Limited is −14.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PointsBet Holdings Limited (PBTHF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PointsBet Holdings Limited is −144% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PointsBet Holdings Limited (PBTHF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PointsBet Holdings Limited is −22.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PointsBet Holdings Limited (PBTHF)?
The operating margin of PointsBet Holdings Limited is −7.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PointsBet Holdings Limited (PBTHF)?
Revenue at PointsBet Holdings Limited is growing −16.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does PointsBet Holdings Limited (PBTHF) generate?
The free cash flow of PointsBet Holdings Limited is −A$6.6M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does PointsBet Holdings Limited (PBTHF) hold?
PointsBet Holdings Limited holds more cash than debt, A$18.2M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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