Palladyne AI Corp (PDYN) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $331M
Palladyne AI Corp
PDYN · US
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +5.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 54% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range ($1.91 to $3.56) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.4607 – $66.72 · fair‑value band $1.91 – $3.56 · the $5.99 price screens above the $2.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Palladyne AI Corp (PDYN) currently trades at $5.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.74, implying the stock looks roughly 54.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $7.1M. Revenue grew 106.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -51.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $7.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.91 (bear case) to $3.56 (bull case); at $5.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -54%, PDYN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($3.61) versus Asset-Based ($1.06). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Palladyne AI Corp., a technology company, develops and offers embodied artificial intelligence software and collaborative autonomy solutions in the United States. Its Artificial Intelligence (AI)/ Machine Learning (ML) Foundational Technology enables robots to observe, learn, reason, and act in unstructured.
Full company description
Palladyne AI Corp., a technology company, develops and offers embodied artificial intelligence software and collaborative autonomy solutions in the United States. Its Artificial Intelligence (AI)/ Machine Learning (ML) Foundational Technology enables robots to observe, learn, reason, and act in unstructured. In addition, the company's technologies enable robotic systems to perceive their environment and quickly adapt to changing circumstances by generalizing from their experience using dynamic real-time operations without extensive programming, training, or the latency associated with processing in the cloud. Further, it offers Palladyne IQ used with industrial robots and cobots, enabling them to learn multiple tasks and handle disruptions or obstacles; and develops Palladyne Pilot for use with unmanned platform, such as UAVs to enable persistent detection, identification, tracking, and classification of objects of interest by sharing situational awareness information across multiple drones that is derived by fusing multi-modal sensor data. It serves industrial manufacturing, defense, infrastructure maintenance, repair and surveillance, energy, and aerospace and aviation industries. The company was formerly known as Sarcos Technology and Robotics Corporation and changed its name to Palladyne AI Corp. in March 2024. Palladyne AI Corp. is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Palladyne AI Corp reported revenue of $5.2M in FY2025 versus $5.1M in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was $10.0M in FY2025.
PDYN screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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