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Petros Petropoulos AEBE (PETRO) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · GR · Market cap €52.1M

PP Petros Petropoulos AEBE PETRO · AT
Price€7.70
Fair Value€22.74
Upside+195.3%
Quality53/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/12)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: Medium Range €16.33 – €28.81 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 25, 2026, revised from €25.52 to €22.74 (−10.9%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −3.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 195% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€16.33). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€9.56 €4.24 Fair Value €22.74 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €4.24 – €9.56 · fair‑value band €16.33 – €28.81 · the €7.70 price screens below the €22.74 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Petros Petropoulos AEBE (PETRO) currently trades at €7.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €22.74, implying the stock looks roughly 195.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Petros Petropoulos AEBE generated revenue of €231M at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue declined 12.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. Net debt stands at €21.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €16.33 (bear case) to €28.81 (bull case); at €7.70, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 195%, PETRO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €7.34 €8.65 €16.11 76
ROIC Compounder €14.78 €18.87 €23.98 72
Growth-Adj P/E €23.09 €32.99 €42.89 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €10.17 €18.35 €32.43 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €8.37 €56.95 €79.84 54
Lynch FV €16.72 €23.89 €31.06 50
PEG = 1.0 €16.72 €23.89 €31.06 46
EPV €12.96 €14.35 €15.47 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €19.40 €25.86 €32.33 63
P/S Multiple €15.70 €20.93 €26.17 58
P/B Multiple €15.70 €20.93 €26.17 55
EV/EBIT €26.03 €34.24 €42.44 53
EV/EBITDA €22.98 €30.17 €37.36 54
EV/Revenue €18.98 €26.51 €34.04 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €4.07 €5.46 €8.14 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €7.34 €8.65 €16.11 76
ROIC Compounder €14.78 €18.87 €23.98 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €23.09 €32.99 €42.89 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€32.99) versus Asset-Based (€5.46). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €231M
Revenue growth (YoY) -12.8%
Net margin 3.4%
Return on equity 13.3%
Free cash flow −€19.0M FY2023
P/E ratio 5.3
More key figures
Operating margin 6.2%
EPS (TTM) €1.50
EPS growth (YoY) -32.5%
Net debt €21.2M FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 47
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Petros Petropoulos AEBE manufactures, modifies, distributes, and supports various automotive products in Greece and internationally.

Full company description

Petros Petropoulos AEBE manufactures, modifies, distributes, and supports various automotive products in Greece and internationally. It offers trucks and buses under the SCANIA, ISUZU, Allison Transmission, BYD, KOGEL, and GETMAN brands; passenger cars under the LAND ROVER and JAGUAR brands; light commercial vehicles under the ISUZU and MAXUS brand names; and generator sets under the PETROGEN brand. The company also provides engines and boats under the TOHATSU, SPYDER, SEADOO, Can-am, Bombard, EVINRUDE, ZODIAC MILPRO, ZODIAC, SCANIA, BRIGGS & STRATTON, LOMBARDINI Marine, Perkins Marine Power, Perkins Powerpart, and ISUZU MARINE brand names. In addition, it offers lubricants under the Shell and Rocol brands; batteries under the EXIDE, TUDOR, DISCOVER, and HANKOOK brands; tires under the COOPERTIRES and TRIANGLE brands; agricultural equipment under the McCORMICK, Landini, and Kubota brands; industrial equipment under the Ingersoll Rand and 2G brands; and garden and forest equipment under the Oleo-Mac, MITSUBISHI HEAVY INDUSTRIES LTD., Minelli, and GEOTEC brand names. Petros Petropoulos AEBE was founded in 1922 and is headquartered in Athens, Greece.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2019 – FY2023 · reported fiscal years

Petros Petropoulos AEBE reported revenue of €214M in FY2023 versus €117M in FY2019, a compound +16.2%/yr. Reported net income was €8.1M in FY2023, compounding +23.2%/yr from FY2019.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2023)
€214M
Latest YoY
+36.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.8%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.9%
Revenue +16.2%/yr
FY19 €117M
FY20 €118M
FY21 €156M
FY22 €156M
FY23 €214M
Net income +23.2%/yr
FY19 €3.5M
FY20 €3.3M
FY21 €6.8M
FY22 €6.5M
FY23 €8.1M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Petros Petropoulos AEBE Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PETRO

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside +195% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth -13% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.13× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.26× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 30
PAST 53 · sector 32
HEALTH 97 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 40

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

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Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥18.65 ¥20.84 +12%
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥8.39 ¥11.79 +41%
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 HK$41.00 HK$53.51 +31%
Yutong Bus Co 600066 ¥32.29 ¥42.00 +30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Petros Petropoulos AEBE (PETRO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €22.74 versus a price of €7.70, about +195% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PETRO?
Our model-based fair value for Petros Petropoulos AEBE is €22.74 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €7.70.
What is the quality score of PETRO?
Petros Petropoulos AEBE has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Petros Petropoulos AEBE (PETRO)?
Petros Petropoulos AEBE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €231M (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PETRO?
The net profit margin of Petros Petropoulos AEBE is about 3.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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