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Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited ₹256, price ₹581, upside -56.0%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · IN

PA Some data Oct 1, 2026

Piccadily Agro Industries Limited

PICCADIL · NSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ₹255.53 · Strongly overvalued (−56.0%)
!Quality 45/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +19.3 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 13.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Moderate moat 59/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹784.50 ₹517.35 Fair Value ₹255.53 Jul 2025 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

15‑month range ₹517.35 – ₹784.50 · fair‑value band ₹178.57 – ₹332.49 · the ₹581.05 price screens above the ₹255.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

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Company profile

Piccadily Agro Industries Limited manufactures and develops alcoholic beverages in India. The company operates through Sugar and Distillery segments. It provides malt whisky, cask aged rum, and ethanol, as well as sugarcane juice rum, country liquor, and vodka.

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Piccadily Agro Industries Limited manufactures and develops alcoholic beverages in India. The company operates through Sugar and Distillery segments. It provides malt whisky, cask aged rum, and ethanol, as well as sugarcane juice rum, country liquor, and vodka. The company also manufactures and sells white crystal sugar from sugar cane; and rectified spirit, carbon dioxide gas, and extra neutral alcohol from molasses/rice/wheat, malt, and pet. It offers liquor under the Whistler Whisky, Camikara Rum, Indri, Royal Highland, and Cashmir brand names. The company was founded in 1953 and is based in Gurugram, India.

Stock analysis

Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL) currently trades at ₹581.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹255.53, 56.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹391.16 per share, and 1 of the 14 models we run sit above the ₹581.05 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹61.24, and 13 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ₹178.57 (bear) to ₹332.49 (bull), the price of ₹581.05 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Piccadily Agro Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹10.3B in FY2026 versus ₹5.7B in FY2022, a compound +15.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.4B in FY2026, compounding +47.2%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap ₹56.2B (≈ $583M) · P/E ratio 40.3 · P/S ratio 5.36 · EPS (TTM) ₹14.41 · Net margin 13.3% · Return on equity 17.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.3% · Operating margin 13.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at −56%, PICCADIL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹178.57 Fair Value ₹255.53 Bull ₹332.49
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹7.30 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV ₹114.42 ₹131.82 ₹146.32 74
ROIC Compounder ₹129.63 ₹184.22 ₹222.36 69
EV/EBITDA ₹217.68 ₹294.64 ₹371.60 67
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹94.79 ₹661.03 ₹927.65 60
Lynch FV ₹202.37 ₹289.10 ₹375.83 58
PEG = 1.0 ₹202.37 ₹289.10 ₹375.83 55
EPV ₹114.42 ₹131.82 ₹146.32 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹219.54 ₹292.72 ₹365.90 63
P/S Multiple ₹125.77 ₹167.69 ₹209.61 58
P/B Multiple ₹177.72 ₹236.97 ₹296.21 55
EV/EBIT ₹258.60 ₹349.21 ₹439.81 66
EV/EBITDA ₹217.68 ₹294.64 ₹371.60 67
EV/Revenue ₹96.84 ₹144.00 ₹191.16 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹45.70 ₹61.24 ₹91.41 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹86.46 ₹106.91 ₹154.35 67
ROIC Compounder ₹129.63 ₹184.22 ₹222.36 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹273.81 ₹391.16 ₹508.50 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 2
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 66
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+35.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+35.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 20%

PICCADIL screens overvalued: fair value 56% below the price. Compare with Kweichow Moutai Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 92 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −56.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 17.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 17.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.16× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 40.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 6.24× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 5.23× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 24.4× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)87 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)69 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)92 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 63

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 ¥1,237 ¥1,653 +34%
Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 ¥69.67 ¥76.64 +10%
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 ¥111.18 ¥209.69 +89%
Pernod Ricard SA RI €59.00 €56.69 −4%
Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 ¥70.65 ¥149.17 +111%
Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 0.4400 SGD 0.7300 SGD +66%
Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 ¥37.47 ¥24.22 −35%
Radico Khaitan Limited RADICO ₹4,557 ₹947.39 −79%
Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Joint-Stock Co 603369 ¥26.92 ¥38.66 +44%
Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co 603198 ¥37.20 ¥30.27 −19%

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Piccadily Agro Industries Limited · Fair Value
₹255.53 −56%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Piccadily Agro Industries Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PICCADIL

Frequently asked questions

Is Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹255.53 versus a price of ₹581.05, about −56% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PICCADIL?
Our model-based fair value for Piccadily Agro Industries Limited is ₹255.53 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹581.05.
What is the quality score of PICCADIL?
Piccadily Agro Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹255.53 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹178.57, optimistic scenario ₹332.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Piccadily Agro Industries Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹255.53, about −56% upside versus a price of ₹581.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹178.57, optimistic scenario ₹332.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL)?
Piccadily Agro Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹10.8B (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Piccadily Agro Industries Limited it is ₹255.53 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of ₹581.05. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Piccadily Agro Industries Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, PICCADIL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹581.05, fair value ₹255.53, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PICCADIL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹581.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹255.53). For Piccadily Agro Industries Limited the two are ₹325.52 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Piccadily Agro Industries Limited worth?
The market values Piccadily Agro Industries Limited at about ₹56.2B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is ₹581.05; our models calculate a fair value of ₹255.53 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PICCADIL?
Our models span a range for Piccadily Agro Industries Limited: cautious scenario ₹178.57, base ₹255.53, optimistic ₹332.49 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price ₹581.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PICCADIL?
Piccadily Agro Industries Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 40.3 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹255.53 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.2, P/S 5.2, EV/EBITDA 24.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 17.4%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PICCADIL from its 52-week high?
Piccadily Agro Industries Limited trades at ₹581.05, about 26% below its 52-week high of ₹784.50 and 12% above the low of ₹517.35 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹255.53 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Piccadily Agro Industries Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Kweichow Moutai Co, Wuliangye Yibin Co, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co, Pernod Ricard SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Piccadily Agro Industries Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price ₹581.05, calculated fair value ₹255.53 (−56%), Quality Score 45/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PICCADIL calculated?
We run Piccadily Agro Industries Limited through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹255.53, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Piccadily Agro Industries Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹581.05. Our model-based fair value is ₹255.53, about −56% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Piccadily Agro Industries Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹332.49). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹178.57 to ₹332.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL)?
The market capitalisation of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited is ₹56.2B (≈ $583M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited is 5.36 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL)?
Earnings per share at Piccadily Agro Industries Limited are ₹14.41 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 40.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL)?
The net margin of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited is 13.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited is 17.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited is 12.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL)?
The operating margin of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited is 13.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL)?
Revenue at Piccadily Agro Industries Limited is growing +17.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL)?
Earnings per share at Piccadily Agro Industries Limited are growing +12.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL) generate?
The free cash flow of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited is −₹751M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Piccadily Agro Industries Limited (PICCADIL) carry?
The net debt of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited is ₹5.2B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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