Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock TRY 1.75, price TRY 7.67, upside -77.2%, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value 30%+ above price?No
Quality 50+?No
In an uptrend?No
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.01 TRY – 14.76 TRY · fair‑value band 1.59 TRY – 2.64 TRY · the 7.67 TRY price screens above the 1.75 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 25, 2026.
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Pinar Su ve Icecek Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells packaged water and beverage products in Turkey and internationally.
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It offers water carboy, fruit-flavored carbonated water, pet bottle, water glass bottle, and sparkling water; and functional beverages, such as cool lime, lemonade, ice tea, and frii.
The company exports its products to the United Kingdom, Germany, Cyprus, Iraq, the United Arab Emirates, Romania, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Ireland, Kosovo, and the United States. Pinar Su ve Icecek Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Izmir, Turkey.
Pinar Su ve Icecek Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is a subsidiary of Yasar Holding A.S.
Stock analysis
Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU) currently trades at 7.67 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.75 TRY, 77.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 10.63 TRY per share, and 11 of the 22 models we run sit above the 7.67 TRY price.
Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at 0.2400 TRY, and 11 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1.59 TRY (bear) to 2.64 TRY (bull), the price of 7.67 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS reported revenue of 2.7B TRL in FY2025 versus 323M TRL in FY2021, a compound +69.8%/yr. Reported net income was 4.3M TRL in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.2B TRY (≈ $43.8M) Micro · P/E ratio 15.3 · P/S ratio 0.81 · EPS (TTM) 0.5000 TRY · Net margin 5.4% · Return on equity 5.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3% · Operating margin 9.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −77%, PINSU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear1.59 TRYFair Value 1.75 TRYBull2.64 TRY
Price 7.67 TRY · Upside -77.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.4137 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+66.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+65.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +33.9% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−32.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+6.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 3%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.4% a year for the price.
Compare Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 79 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−77.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)5.6% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets0.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)5.4% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)9.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)15.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.89× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.81× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow8.8× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA7.6× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)4· sector 28
PAST (return on equity)22· sector 55
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 65
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PINSU
Frequently asked questions
Is Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.75 TRY versus a price of 7.67 TRY, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PINSU?
Our model-based fair value for Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 1.75 TRY (as of Oct 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 7.67 TRY.
What is the quality score of PINSU?
Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.75 TRY (as of Oct 25, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.59 TRY, optimistic scenario 2.64 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.75 TRY, about −77% upside versus a price of 7.67 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.59 TRY, optimistic scenario 2.64 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU)?
Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.7B TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 25, 2026).
What growth is priced into Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS would have to grow free cash flow by +6.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +65.0 % per year. As of Oct 25, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PINSU use?
Our models discount Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS at 14.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS that is +6.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS grew +65.0 % a year. The price currently implies +6.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (+6.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.31 %: that much free cash flow Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS it is 1.75 TRY per share (as of Oct 25, 2026), against a price of 7.67 TRY. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 25, 2026, PINSU trades above its calculated fair value: price 7.67 TRY, fair value 1.75 TRY, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PINSU?
No. The price is what the market pays today (7.67 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.75 TRY). For Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS the two are 5.92 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS worth?
The market values Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS at about 2.2B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 25, 2026). Per share that is 7.67 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 1.75 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PINSU?
Our models span a range for Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS: cautious scenario 1.59 TRY, base 1.75 TRY, optimistic 2.64 TRY per share (as of Oct 25, 2026, price 7.67 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PINSU?
Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.3 (as of Oct 25, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.75 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 7.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (as of Oct 25, 2026): return on equity 5.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PINSU from its 52-week high?
Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS trades at 7.67 TRY, about 48% below its 52-week high of 14.76 TRY and 10% above the low of 6.98 TRY (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.75 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 25, 2026: price 7.67 TRY, calculated fair value 1.75 TRY (−77%), Quality Score 39/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PINSU calculated?
We run Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.75 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 7.67 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 1.75 TRY, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.64 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU)?
The market capitalisation of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 2.2B TRY (≈ $43.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 0.81 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU)?
Earnings per share at Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS are 0.5000 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU)?
The net margin of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 5.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU)?
The operating margin of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU)?
Revenue at Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is growing +0.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +66.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU)?
Earnings per share at Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS are growing −32.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (PINSU) carry?
The net debt of Pinar Su Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 455M TRY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 25, 2026