Park Aerospace Corp (PKE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Park Aerospace Corp $9.82, price $29.55, upside -66.8%, quality 77 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.66 – $38.23 · fair‑value band $8.34 – $12.23 · the $29.55 price screens above the $9.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Park Aerospace Corp., an aerospace company, develops and manufactures solution and hot-melt advanced composite materials used to produce composite structures for the aerospace market in North America, Asia, and Europe.
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Park Aerospace Corp., an aerospace company, develops and manufactures solution and hot-melt advanced composite materials used to produce composite structures for the aerospace market in North America, Asia, and Europe. It offers advanced composite materials, including film adhesives and lightning strike protection materials used to produce primary and secondary structures for jet engines, large and regional transport aircraft, military aircraft, unmanned aerial vehicles, business jets, general aviation aircraft, and rotary wing aircraft. The company also provides specialty ablative materials for rocket motors and nozzles; and designed materials for radome applications. In addition, it designs and fabricates composite parts, structures and assemblies, and low volume tooling for the aerospace industry. The company was formerly known as Park Electrochemical Corp. and changed its name to Park Aerospace Corp. in July 2019. Park Aerospace Corp. was incorporated in 1954 and is based in Westbury, New York.
Stock analysis
Park Aerospace Corp (PKE) currently trades at $29.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.82, implying the stock looks roughly 200.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $10.08 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the $29.55 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $4.17, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $8.34 (bear) to $12.23 (bull), the price of $29.55 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Park Aerospace Corp reported revenue of $73.3M in FY2026 versus $53.6M in FY2022, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was $11.3M in FY2026, compounding +7.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $679M · P/E ratio 52.8 · P/S ratio 8.11 · EPS (TTM) $0.5600 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 15.4% · Return on equity 9.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −67%, PKE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $8.34Fair Value $9.82Bull $12.23
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0291 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −6.6% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+7.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6% vs −5%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 18%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 8.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +25.7% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 228 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−67% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth43% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.7% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)52.8× · Pricier than median
P/B5.23× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)9.27× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF71.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA39.1× · Priciest 25%
PEG1.49× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 47
PAST (return on equity)38· sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)34· sector 17
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Park Aerospace Corp (PKE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.82 versus a price of $29.55, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PKE?
Our model-based fair value for Park Aerospace Corp is $9.82 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $29.55.
What is the quality score of PKE?
Park Aerospace Corp has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Park Aerospace Corp (PKE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $9.82 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.34, optimistic scenario $12.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Park Aerospace Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $9.82, about −67% upside versus a price of $29.55 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $8.34, optimistic scenario $12.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Park Aerospace Corp (PKE)?
Park Aerospace Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $73.3M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Park Aerospace Corp pay a dividend?
Park Aerospace Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.69% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Park Aerospace Corp (PKE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Park Aerospace Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +28.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PKE use?
Our models discount Park Aerospace Corp at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.43, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Park Aerospace Corp that is +28.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Park Aerospace Corp (PKE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Park Aerospace Corp grew +9.6 % a year. The price currently implies +28.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Park Aerospace Corp (PKE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Park Aerospace Corp (+28.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Park Aerospace Corp (PKE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.59 %: that much free cash flow Park Aerospace Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Park Aerospace Corp (PKE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Park Aerospace Corp it is $9.82 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $29.55. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Park Aerospace Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, PKE trades above its calculated fair value: price $29.55, fair value $9.82, a gap of about −67% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PKE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($29.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($9.82). For Park Aerospace Corp the two are $19.73 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Park Aerospace Corp worth?
The market values Park Aerospace Corp at about $679M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $29.55; our models calculate a fair value of $9.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PKE?
Our models span a range for Park Aerospace Corp: cautious scenario $8.34, base $9.82, optimistic $12.23 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $29.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PKE?
Park Aerospace Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 52.8 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $9.82 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.5, P/B 5.2, P/S 9.3, EV/EBITDA 39.1.
What is the PEG ratio of PKE?
The PEG ratio of Park Aerospace Corp is 1.49 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Park Aerospace Corp (PKE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Park Aerospace Corp (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 9.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PKE from its 52-week high?
Park Aerospace Corp trades at $29.55, about 23% below its 52-week high of $38.23 and 61% above the low of $18.30 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $9.82 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Park Aerospace Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Safran SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Park Aerospace Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $29.55, calculated fair value $9.82 (−67%), Quality Score 77/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PKE calculated?
We run Park Aerospace Corp through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $9.82, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Park Aerospace Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Park Aerospace Corp (PKE)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $29.55. Our model-based fair value is $9.82, about −67% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Park Aerospace Corp right now?
A high-quality business (quality 77/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($12.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Where does the earnings growth of Park Aerospace Corp (PKE) come from?
Earnings per share at Park Aerospace Corp grew −6.9 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −8.3 %, EBIT margin +2.7 %, tax rate −2.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Park Aerospace Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Park Aerospace Corp (PKE)?
The market capitalisation of Park Aerospace Corp is $679M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Park Aerospace Corp (PKE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Park Aerospace Corp is 8.11 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Park Aerospace Corp (PKE)?
Earnings per share at Park Aerospace Corp are $0.5600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 52.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Park Aerospace Corp (PKE)?
The dividend yield of Park Aerospace Corp is 1.7% (payout 89.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Park Aerospace Corp (PKE)?
The net margin of Park Aerospace Corp is 15.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Park Aerospace Corp (PKE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Park Aerospace Corp is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Park Aerospace Corp (PKE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Park Aerospace Corp is 7.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Park Aerospace Corp (PKE)?
The operating margin of Park Aerospace Corp is 19.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Park Aerospace Corp (PKE)?
Revenue at Park Aerospace Corp is growing +42.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Park Aerospace Corp (PKE)?
Earnings per share at Park Aerospace Corp are growing +216% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Park Aerospace Corp (PKE) hold?
Park Aerospace Corp holds more cash than debt, $78.2M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026