Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V (POCHTECB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Valuation from Jul 18, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5.40 MXN – 8.98 MXN · fair‑value band 1.96 MXN – 3.92 MXN · the 5.70 MXN price screens above the 2.62 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
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Grupo Pochteca, S.A.B. de C.V. markets and distributes industrial raw materials in Mexico, Brazil, and Central and South America.
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Grupo Pochteca, S.A.B. de C.V. markets and distributes industrial raw materials in Mexico, Brazil, and Central and South America. It offers sodium carbonate, caustic soda, calcium chloride, hydrochloric acid, caustic potash, potassium chloride, sodium hypochlorite, sodium sulfite, silicates, sodium metabisulfite, coagulants, flocculants, antiscalants, biocides, pH adjusters, filter media, salt, strong oxidants, clarifiers, hardness control, resins, membranes, cleaning and disinfection solutions, aromatic and aliphatic hydrocarbons, ketones, alcohols, esters and glycols, thinners and mixes, reaction chemicals, pigments, inert materials, additives, automotive and surface treatment solutions, lubricants and greases, food additives, dairy derivatives, specialty ingredients and mixtures, plant nutrition and crop protection products, surfactants, essences and fragrances, dyes and pigments, carbomers, extracts, antistatics, and specialty products. The company also provides logistics and specialized services, such as product storage, delivery of products, maquilas, unloading, local distribution, and consolidated freight; environmental solutions comprising waste management services; and paper and cardboard products. It serves chemical, food, automotive, oil exploration and drilling, metalworking, solvents and mixtures, lubricants, and personal and home care, paints and coatings, water treatment, cleaning and sanitation, mining, construction and other industries in Mexico, Central America, South America-Chile, Argentina, Colombia, Peru, Ecuador and Brazil. Grupo Pochteca, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 1988 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.
Stock analysis
Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V (POCHTECB) currently trades at 5.70 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.62 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 117.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 1.96 MXN (bear) to 3.92 MXN (bull), the price of 5.70 MXN sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V reported revenue of 8.3B MXN in FY2025 versus 8.9B MXN in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was −358M MXN in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 744M MXN (≈ $42.5M) · P/S ratio 0.09 · EPS (TTM) −2.73 MXN · Net margin −4.3% · Return on equity −50.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3% · Operating margin −0.1% · Revenue (TTM) 8.3B MXN.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −54%, POCHTECB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.96 MXNFair Value 2.62 MXNBull 3.92 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.25/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.2% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.3% (2020) → −1.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 713 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−54% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.90× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.08× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/POCHTECB
Frequently asked questions
Is Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V (POCHTECB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.62 MXN versus a price of 5.70 MXN, about −54% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of POCHTECB?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V is 2.62 MXN (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5.70 MXN.
What is the quality score of POCHTECB?
Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V (POCHTECB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.62 MXN (as of Jul 18, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.96 MXN, optimistic scenario 3.92 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.62 MXN, about −54% upside versus a price of 5.70 MXN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.96 MXN, optimistic scenario 3.92 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V (POCHTECB)?
Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.3B MXN (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V (POCHTECB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V it is 2.62 MXN per share (as of Jul 18, 2026), against a price of 5.70 MXN. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jul 18, 2026, POCHTECB trades above its calculated fair value: price 5.70 MXN, fair value 2.62 MXN, a gap of about −54% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of POCHTECB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5.70 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.62 MXN). For Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V the two are 3.08 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V worth?
The market values Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V at about 744M MXN (market capitalisation, as of Jul 18, 2026). Per share that is 5.70 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 2.62 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about POCHTECB?
Our models span a range for Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V: cautious scenario 1.96 MXN, base 2.62 MXN, optimistic 3.92 MXN per share (as of Jul 18, 2026, price 5.70 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V (POCHTECB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V (as of Jul 18, 2026): return on equity −50.3%, debt of 2.90 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is POCHTECB from its 52-week high?
Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V trades at 5.70 MXN, about 11% below its 52-week high of 6.39 MXN and 6% above the low of 5.40 MXN (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.62 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jul 18, 2026: price 5.70 MXN, calculated fair value 2.62 MXN (−54%), Quality Score 41/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of POCHTECB calculated?
We run Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.62 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V (POCHTECB)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was 5.70 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 2.62 MXN, about −54% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.92 MXN). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (1.96 MXN to 3.92 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V
How large is the market capitalisation of Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V (POCHTECB)?
The market capitalisation of Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V is 744M MXN (≈ $42.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V (POCHTECB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V is 0.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V (POCHTECB)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V are −2.73 MXN. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V (POCHTECB)?
The net margin of Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V is −4.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V (POCHTECB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V is −50.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V (POCHTECB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V is 2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V (POCHTECB)?
The operating margin of Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V is −0.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V (POCHTECB)?
Revenue at Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V is growing −2.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V (POCHTECB)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V are growing −15.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V (POCHTECB) generate?
The free cash flow of Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V is −279M MXN (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V (POCHTECB) carry?
The net debt of Grupo Pochteca S.A.B. de C.V is 2.1B MXN (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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