PT Pollux Hotels Group (POLI) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · ID · Market cap 1.5T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +9.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 21% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 620.00 IDR – 1,955 IDR · fair‑value band 441.73 IDR – 736.21 IDR · the 750.00 IDR price screens above the 588.97 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
PT Pollux Hotels Group (POLI) currently trades at 750.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 588.97 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 21.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Pollux Hotels Group generated revenue of 616B IDR at a net margin of 11.3%. Revenue declined 14.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.2%. Net debt stands at 1.4T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 441.73 IDR (bear case) to 736.21 IDR (bull case); at 750.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -21%, POLI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (1,211 IDR) versus Economic Profit (209.06 IDR). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Pollux Hotels Group Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the property and real estate development in Indonesia. It operates through Mall, Developer, Hotel, and Administrator segments.
Full company description
PT Pollux Hotels Group Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the property and real estate development in Indonesia. It operates through Mall, Developer, Hotel, and Administrator segments. The company also engages in construction, management, and rental of buildings, offices, malls, hotels, shophouses, and amusement parks; property management and development; and construction, hotel, and apartment management activities. It is also involved in the hospitality business; direct equity investment and trading activities; and provision of development and delivery services. The company was formerly known as PT Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk and changed its name to PT Pollux Hotels Group Tbk in August 2021. PT Pollux Hotels Group Tbk was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Semarang, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Pollux Hotels Group reported revenue of 616B IDR in FY2025 versus 203B IDR in FY2021, a compound +31.9%/yr. Reported net income was 69.7B IDR in FY2025, compounding +18.1%/yr from FY2021.
POLI screens 21% overvalued. Compare with Vinhomes Joint Stock Company →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 592 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM | 147,000 VND | 147,415 VND | +0% |
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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