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Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT (POLI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · ID · ISIN ID1000147606

PI Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT

POLI · JK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 588.97 IDR · Strongly overvalued (−36%)
!Quality 44/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +21.6 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 11.3% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Moderate moat 54/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 13 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

1,955 IDR 620.00 IDR Fair Value 588.97 IDR Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 620.00 IDR – 1,955 IDR · fair‑value band 441.73 IDR – 736.21 IDR · the 925.00 IDR price screens above the 588.97 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Pollux Hotels Group Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the property and real estate development in Indonesia. It operates through Mall, Developer, Hotel, and Administrator segments.

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PT Pollux Hotels Group Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the property and real estate development in Indonesia. It operates through Mall, Developer, Hotel, and Administrator segments. The company also engages in construction, management, and rental of buildings, offices, malls, hotels, shophouses, and amusement parks; property management and development; and construction, hotel, and apartment management activities. It is also involved in the hospitality business; direct equity investment and trading activities; and provision of development and delivery services. The company was formerly known as PT Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk and changed its name to PT Pollux Hotels Group Tbk in August 2021. PT Pollux Hotels Group Tbk was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Semarang, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT (POLI) currently trades at 925.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 588.97 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 57.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 756.45 IDR per share, and 2 of the 7 models we run sit above the 925.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 588.97 IDR, and 5 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 441.73 IDR (bear) to 736.21 IDR (bull), the price of 925.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT reported revenue of 616B IDR in FY2025 versus 203B IDR in FY2021, a compound +31.9%/yr. Reported net income was 69.7B IDR in FY2025, compounding +18.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.9T IDR (≈ $186M) · P/E ratio 28.9 · P/S ratio 3.27 · EPS (TTM) 32.03 IDR · Net margin 11.3% · Return on equity 3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.5% · Operating margin 35.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −36%, POLI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 441.73 IDR Fair Value 588.97 IDR Bull 736.21 IDR
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (23.23 IDR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 769.78 IDR 756.45 IDR 666.55 IDR 71
EV/EBITDA 859.57 IDR 1,358 IDR 1,857 IDR 66
EV/EBIT 681.32 IDR 1,121 IDR 1,560 IDR 64
All 7 models by family
Multiples
P/S Multiple 441.73 IDR 588.97 IDR 736.21 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 441.73 IDR 588.97 IDR 736.21 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 681.32 IDR 1,121 IDR 1,560 IDR 64
EV/EBITDA 859.57 IDR 1,358 IDR 1,857 IDR 66
EV/Revenue 90.18 IDR 401.73 IDR 713.28 IDR 48
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 518.06 IDR 694.20 IDR 1,036 IDR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 769.78 IDR 756.45 IDR 666.55 IDR 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 41
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.5%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.0%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.6%
Revenue growth 10 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+14.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 26%

POLI screens 57% overvalued. Compare with Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 573 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −42% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 35% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −14% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.64× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.72× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.45× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.1× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 51
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)13 · sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)68 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 80016 HK$92.75 HK$98.84 +7%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$46.18 HK$68.85 +49%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.42 $1.52 −82%
DLF Limited DLF ₹643.60 ₹170.24 −74%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$11.96 HK$22.15 +85%
Macrotech Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,113 ₹277.21 −75%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 5,450 IDR 1,325 IDR −76%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.04 ¥12.60 +150%
CTP N.V CTPNV €13.48 €11.18 −17%
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.07 ¥4.23 −40%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/POLI

Frequently asked questions

Is Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT (POLI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 588.97 IDR versus a price of 925.00 IDR, about −36% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of POLI?
Our model-based fair value for Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT is 588.97 IDR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 925.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of POLI?
Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT (POLI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 588.97 IDR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 441.73 IDR, optimistic scenario 736.21 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 588.97 IDR, about −36% upside versus a price of 925.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 441.73 IDR, optimistic scenario 736.21 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT (POLI)?
Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 616B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT (POLI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT it is 588.97 IDR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 925.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, POLI trades above its calculated fair value: price 925.00 IDR, fair value 588.97 IDR, a gap of about −36% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of POLI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (925.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (588.97 IDR). For Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT the two are 336.03 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT worth?
The market values Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT at about 1.9T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 925.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 588.97 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about POLI?
Our models span a range for Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT: cautious scenario 441.73 IDR, base 588.97 IDR, optimistic 736.21 IDR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 925.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of POLI?
Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.9 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 588.97 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 2.5, EV/EBITDA 11.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT (POLI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 3.2%, debt of 0.64 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is POLI from its 52-week high?
Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT trades at 925.00 IDR, about 54% below its 52-week high of 2,000 IDR and 34% above the low of 690.00 IDR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 588.97 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 925.00 IDR, calculated fair value 588.97 IDR (−36%), Quality Score 44/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of POLI calculated?
We run Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 588.97 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT (POLI)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was 925.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 588.97 IDR, about −36% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (736.21 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT

How large is the market capitalisation of Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT (POLI)?
The market capitalisation of Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT is 1.9T IDR (≈ $186M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT (POLI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT is 3.27 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT (POLI)?
Earnings per share at Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT are 32.03 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT (POLI)?
The net margin of Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT is 11.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT (POLI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT (POLI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT is 3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT (POLI)?
The operating margin of Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT is 35.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT (POLI)?
Revenue at Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT is growing −14.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT (POLI)?
Earnings per share at Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT are growing −9.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT (POLI) generate?
The free cash flow of Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT is −51.3B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT (POLI) carry?
The net debt of Pollux Investasi Internasional Tbk PT is 1.4T IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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