Ponni Sugars (Erode) Limited (PONNIERODE) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹2.7B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +7.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 57% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹522.33). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹145.41 – ₹571.53 · fair‑value band ₹522.33 – ₹613.16 · the ₹350.75 price screens below the ₹549.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Ponni Sugars (Erode) Limited (PONNIERODE) currently trades at ₹350.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹549.21, implying the stock looks roughly 56.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Ponni Sugars (Erode) Limited generated revenue of ₹4.1B at a net margin of 11.6%. Revenue declined 5.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹21.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹522.33 (bear case) to ₹613.16 (bull case); at ₹350.75, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -37% fair-value upside, at 57%, PONNIERODE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹977.41) versus Dividend Discount (₹39.67). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ponni Sugars (Erode) Limited manufactures and sells sugar in India. It operates through Sugar and Cogeneration segments. The company is involved in the provision of bagasse and molasses; and cogeneration of power. It also exports its products.
Full company description
Ponni Sugars (Erode) Limited manufactures and sells sugar in India. It operates through Sugar and Cogeneration segments. The company is involved in the provision of bagasse and molasses; and cogeneration of power. It also exports its products. Ponni Sugars (Erode) Limited was formerly known as SPB Sugars and Chemicals Limited and changed its name to Ponni Sugars (Erode) Limited in January 2000. Ponni Sugars (Erode) Limited was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Chennai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Ponni Sugars (Erode) Limited reported revenue of ₹4.1B in FY2026 versus ₹2.9B in FY2022, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹480M in FY2026, compounding +13.2%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +7.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch PONNIERODE: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Confectioners · 78 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 94,500 | CHF 9,669 | -90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $61.78 | $27.36 | -56% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $184.23 | $91.25 | -50% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,136 | CHF 711.91 | -37% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 132,800 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +53% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥20.48 | ¥9.09 | -56% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 54.85 | kr 59.12 | +8% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹604.70 | ₹304.54 | -50% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,295 IDR | 1,140 IDR | -12% |
| ORION Holdings 001800 | 26,850 KRW | 42,237 KRW | +57% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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