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Poligrafici Printing S.p.A (POPR) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · IT · Market cap €14.3M

PP Poligrafici Printing S.p.A POPR · MI
Price€0.4920
Fair Value€0.6300
Upside+28.1%
Quality62/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 4.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.33% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: High Range €0.4700 – €0.7900 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from €0.7600 to €0.6300 (−17.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +4.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 28% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from €0.4700 (bear) to €0.7900 (bull), base €0.6300. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 62/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€0.5950 €0.2680 Fair Value €0.6300 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.2680 – €0.5950 · fair‑value band €0.4700 – €0.7900 · the €0.4920 price screens below the €0.6300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Poligrafici Printing S.p.A (POPR) currently trades at €0.4920, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.6300, implying the stock looks roughly 28.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Poligrafici Printing S.p.A generated revenue of €20.1M at a net margin of 4.5%. Revenue declined 7.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.9%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 15.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.4700 (bear case) to €0.7900 (bull case); at €0.4920, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 28%, POPR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €0.5400 €0.6600 €0.8500 80
Residual Income €0.6600 €0.6200 €0.4500 76
Rev-Margin DCF €0.5100 €0.7200 €0.9800 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €0.5200 €0.6600 €0.8700 38
Owner Earnings €0.7900 €0.9900 €1.31 31
5Y Revenue Exit €0.5100 €0.7100 €0.9900 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €0.8500 €1.30 €1.90 41
5Y P/E Exit €0.4700 €0.6400 €0.8400 38
10Y Revenue Exit €0.5000 €0.6300 €0.7700 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €0.6900 €0.9500 €1.23 37
10Y P/E Exit €0.4900 €0.6000 €0.7000 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €0.2000 €0.2500 €0.2800 54
EPV €0.2300 €0.2500 €0.2700 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €0.4700 €0.6300 €0.7900 63
P/S Multiple €0.3800 €0.5100 €0.6400 58
P/B Multiple €0.3800 €0.5100 €0.6400 55
EV/EBIT €0.7400 €0.9800 €1.23 53
EV/EBITDA €1.34 €1.78 €2.23 54
EV/Revenue €0.5300 €0.7600 €0.9800 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.5100 €0.6900 €1.02 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €0.5400 €0.6600 €0.8500 80
Rev-Margin DCF €0.5100 €0.7200 €0.9800 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €0.6600 €0.6200 €0.4500 76
ROIC Compounder €0.2300 €0.2500 €0.2700 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €0.3300 €0.4800 €0.6200 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€0.6900) versus Earnings-Based (€0.2500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €20.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.2%
Net margin 4.5%
Return on equity 2.9%
Free cash flow €2.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 15.7
More key figures
Operating margin 3.9%
EPS (TTM) €0.0300
Dividend yield 3.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +90.9%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 57
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Poligrafici Printing S.p.A. engages in printing business in Italy. It is involved in the printing of the daily newspapers of Editoriale Nazionale Srl; Gazzetta di Parma Srl; Gedi News Network SpA; Editoriale Libertà SpA; and Cooperativa Editoriale Giornali Associati - Cooperativa SpA. The company was founded in 1885 and is based in Bologna, Italy.

Full company description

Poligrafici Printing S.p.A. engages in printing business in Italy. It is involved in the printing of the daily newspapers of Editoriale Nazionale Srl; Gazzetta di Parma Srl; Gedi News Network SpA; Editoriale Libertà SpA; and Cooperativa Editoriale Giornali Associati - Cooperativa SpA. The company was founded in 1885 and is based in Bologna, Italy. Poligrafici Printing S.p.A. is a subsidiary of Monrif S.p.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Poligrafici Printing S.p.A reported revenue of €20.1M in FY2025 versus €26.7M in FY2021, a compound −6.8%/yr. Reported net income was €913K in FY2025, compounding −17.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€20.1M
Latest YoY
+1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.5%
Revenue −6.8%/yr
FY21 €26.7M
FY22 €28.0M
FY23 €23.2M
FY24 €19.9M
FY25 €20.1M
Net income −17.1%/yr
FY21 €1.9M
FY22 €2.4M
FY23 €1.5M
FY24 €791K
FY25 €913K

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Poligrafici Printing S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/POPR

Peer Group

Publishing · 111 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +28% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Revenue growth -7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.3% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.53× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.82× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 7.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 5.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 71 · sector 38
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 12 · sector 21
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 67 · sector 57

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Poligrafici Printing S.p.A (POPR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.6300 versus a price of €0.4920, about +28% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of POPR?
Our model-based fair value for Poligrafici Printing S.p.A is €0.6300 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €0.4920.
What is the quality score of POPR?
Poligrafici Printing S.p.A has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Poligrafici Printing S.p.A (POPR)?
Poligrafici Printing S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €20.1M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of POPR?
The net profit margin of Poligrafici Printing S.p.A is about 4.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Poligrafici Printing S.p.A pay a dividend?
Poligrafici Printing S.p.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.33% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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