Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Poligrafici Printing SpA €0.67, price €0.52, upside +30.1%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.2658 – €0.5900 · fair‑value band €0.5900 – €0.7900 · the €0.5150 price screens below the €0.6700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Poligrafici Printing S.p.A. engages in printing business in Italy. It is involved in the printing of the daily newspapers of Editoriale Nazionale Srl; Gazzetta di Parma Srl; Gedi News Network SpA; Editoriale Libertà SpA; and Cooperativa Editoriale Giornali Associati - Cooperativa SpA. The company was founded in 1885 and is based in Bologna, Italy.
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Poligrafici Printing S.p.A. engages in printing business in Italy. It is involved in the printing of the daily newspapers of Editoriale Nazionale Srl; Gazzetta di Parma Srl; Gedi News Network SpA; Editoriale Libertà SpA; and Cooperativa Editoriale Giornali Associati - Cooperativa SpA. The company was founded in 1885 and is based in Bologna, Italy. Poligrafici Printing S.p.A. is a subsidiary of Monrif S.p.A.
Stock analysis
Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR) currently trades at €0.5150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.6700, implying the stock looks roughly 23.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €0.8300 per share, and 16 of the 22 models we run sit above the €0.5150 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €0.2500, and 6 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €0.5900 (bear) to €0.7900 (bull), the price of €0.5150 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Poligrafici Printing SpA reported revenue of €20.1M in FY2025 versus €26.7M in FY2021, a compound −6.8%/yr. Reported net income was €913K in FY2025, compounding −17.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €15.7M · P/E ratio 17.2 · P/S ratio 0.78 · EPS (TTM) €0.0300 · Net margin 4.5% · Return on equity 2.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1% · Operating margin 9.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 30%, POPR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €0.5900Fair Value €0.6700Bull €0.7900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0220 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.2% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−9.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−13% vs −5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.5%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−7.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −9.2% a year for the price.
Compare Poligrafici Printing SpA with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Publishing · 108 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Above median
Fair Value upside+28% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Publishing median · lower = cheaper
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Is Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.6700 versus a price of €0.5150, about +30% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of POPR?
Our model-based fair value for Poligrafici Printing SpA is €0.6700 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.5150.
What is the quality score of POPR?
Poligrafici Printing SpA has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.6700 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.5900, optimistic scenario €0.7900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Poligrafici Printing SpA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.6700, about +30% upside versus a price of €0.5150 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €0.5900, optimistic scenario €0.7900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR)?
Poligrafici Printing SpA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €19.1M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Poligrafici Printing SpA would have to grow free cash flow by -7.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.4 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of POPR use?
Our models discount Poligrafici Printing SpA at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.42, country premium for Italy. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Poligrafici Printing SpA that is -7.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Poligrafici Printing SpA grew -3.4 % a year. The price currently implies -7.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Poligrafici Printing SpA (-7.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.80 %: that much free cash flow Poligrafici Printing SpA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Poligrafici Printing SpA it is €0.6700 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €0.5150. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Poligrafici Printing SpA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, POPR trades below its calculated fair value: price €0.5150, fair value €0.6700, a gap of about +30% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of POPR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€0.5150); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.6700). For Poligrafici Printing SpA the two are €0.1550 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Poligrafici Printing SpA worth?
The market values Poligrafici Printing SpA at about €15.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €0.5150; our models calculate a fair value of €0.6700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about POPR?
Our models span a range for Poligrafici Printing SpA: cautious scenario €0.5900, base €0.6700, optimistic €0.7900 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €0.5150). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of POPR?
Poligrafici Printing SpA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €0.6700 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 6.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Poligrafici Printing SpA (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 2.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is POPR from its 52-week high?
Poligrafici Printing SpA trades at €0.5150, about 13% below its 52-week high of €0.5900 and 28% above the low of €0.4018 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.6700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Poligrafici Printing SpA?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value The New York Times Company, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation, China Science Publishing & Media Ltd, People.cn CO., LTD, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Poligrafici Printing SpA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €0.5150, calculated fair value €0.6700 (+30%), Quality Score 63/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of POPR calculated?
We run Poligrafici Printing SpA through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.6700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Poligrafici Printing SpA currently trades 30 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €0.5150. Our model-based fair value is €0.6700, about +30% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Poligrafici Printing SpA right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€0.5900). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Poligrafici Printing SpA
How large is the market capitalisation of Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR)?
The market capitalisation of Poligrafici Printing SpA is €15.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Poligrafici Printing SpA is 0.78 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR)?
Earnings per share at Poligrafici Printing SpA are €0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR)?
The net margin of Poligrafici Printing SpA is 4.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Poligrafici Printing SpA is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Poligrafici Printing SpA is 5.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR)?
The operating margin of Poligrafici Printing SpA is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR)?
Revenue at Poligrafici Printing SpA is growing −10.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Poligrafici Printing SpA (POPR)?
Earnings per share at Poligrafici Printing SpA are growing +90.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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