Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT IDR 958, price IDR 950, upside +0.9%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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PT Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk manages and operates container terminals in Indonesia and internationally. The company operates through Port Services; Port Equipment Sales; and Others segments. It provides handling and stevedoring container services; goods loading and unloading services; and repair and maintenance services.
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PT Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk manages and operates container terminals in Indonesia and internationally. The company operates through Port Services; Port Equipment Sales; and Others segments. It provides handling and stevedoring container services; goods loading and unloading services; and repair and maintenance services. The company also offers equipment services; and engineering services, retrofitting, and lashing structure systems for shipment. In addition, the company supplies cranes. The company was formerly known as PT Kharisma Mutiara Agung and changed its name to PT Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk in November 2016. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk is a subsidiary of China Merchants International Port-Integrated Development (Hong Kong) Company Limited.
Stock analysis
Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT) currently trades at 950.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 958.17 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 0.9% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 1,182 IDR per share, and 13 of the 22 models we run sit above the 950.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 273.69 IDR, and 9 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 718.62 IDR (bear) to 1,198 IDR (bull), the price of 950.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT reported revenue of 1.2T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.3T IDR in FY2021, a compound −1.5%/yr. Reported net income was 128B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.7T IDR (≈ $149M) · P/E ratio 22.0 · P/S ratio 2.27 · EPS (TTM) 43.25 IDR · Net margin 10.3% · Return on equity 11.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.6% · Operating margin 20.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 61% fair-value upside, at 1%, PORT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 718.62 IDRFair Value 958.17 IDRBull 1,198 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (31.76 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.8% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in IDR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+84.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+84.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 23%
2025 sits 209% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 20.5%/yr over ~8Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−1.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.7% a year for the price.
Compare Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 233 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Above median
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)10% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)21% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−8% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
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Is Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 958.17 IDR versus a price of 950.00 IDR, about +1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of PORT?
Our model-based fair value for Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT is 958.17 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 950.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of PORT?
Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 958.17 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 718.62 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,198 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 958.17 IDR, about +1% upside versus a price of 950.00 IDR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 718.62 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,198 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT)?
Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT would have to grow free cash flow by -1.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PORT use?
Our models discount Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT at 13.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.66, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT that is -1.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT grew -0.8 % a year. The price currently implies -1.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (-1.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.32 %: that much free cash flow Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT it is 958.17 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 950.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PORT trades below its calculated fair value: price 950.00 IDR, fair value 958.17 IDR, a gap of about +1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PORT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (950.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (958.17 IDR). For Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT the two are 8.17 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT worth?
The market values Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT at about 2.7T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 950.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 958.17 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PORT?
Our models span a range for Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT: cautious scenario 718.62 IDR, base 958.17 IDR, optimistic 1,198 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 950.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PORT?
Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 958.17 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.3, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 5.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PORT from its 52-week high?
Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT trades at 950.00 IDR, about 42% below its 52-week high of 1,630 IDR and 18% above the low of 805.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 958.17 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 950.00 IDR, calculated fair value 958.17 IDR (+1%), Quality Score 70/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PORT calculated?
We run Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 958.17 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT currently trades 1 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 950.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 958.17 IDR, about +1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT
How large is the market capitalisation of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT)?
The market capitalisation of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT is 2.7T IDR (≈ $149M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT is 2.27 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT)?
Earnings per share at Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT are 43.25 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT)?
The net margin of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT is 10.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT is 11.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT is 6.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT)?
The operating margin of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT is 20.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT)?
Revenue at Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT is growing −8.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT)?
Earnings per share at Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT are growing −20.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT (PORT) carry?
The net debt of Nusantara Pelabuhan Handal Tbk PT is 513B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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