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Petrochemical (PTCH) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Petrochemical ILS 2.99, price ILS 5.52, upside -45.8%, quality 22 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · Il · ISIN IL0007560159

P Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Petrochemical

PTCH · TA

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 2.99 ILA · Strongly overvalued (−46%)
!Quality 22/100
!Weak Growth
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/9)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range 1.32 ILA to 4.95 ILA
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

6.20 ILA 0.6880 ILA Fair Value 2.99 ILA May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.6880 ILA – 6.20 ILA · fair‑value band 1.32 ILA – 4.95 ILA · the 5.52 ILA price screens above the 2.99 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Israel Petrochemical Enterprises Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the petrochemicals industry in Israel and internationally. It offers various petroleum products, such as gasoline, naphtha, diesel, kerosene, fuel oil, LPG, and bitumen.

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Israel Petrochemical Enterprises Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the petrochemicals industry in Israel and internationally. It offers various petroleum products, such as gasoline, naphtha, diesel, kerosene, fuel oil, LPG, and bitumen. The company also produces raw materials and polymers for the plastic industry, such as polypropylene and polyethylene; and aromatic material used as feedstocks for chemical and petrochemical industries. In addition, it leases tankers for the maritime transport of fuel products; and production and operation of oil and gas assets. The company serves fuel and gas marketing companies and gas stations. It sells its products through agents and distributors. The company was incorporated in 1961 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.

Stock analysis

Petrochemical (PTCH) currently trades at 5.52 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.99 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 84.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 5.45 ILA per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the 5.52 ILA price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 5.24 ILA, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 1.32 ILA (bear) to 4.95 ILA (bull), the price of 5.52 ILA sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Petrochemical reported revenue of 0 ILS in FY2025 versus 0 ILS in FY2017. Reported net income was −81.7M ILS in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 698M ILA · P/S ratio 13.6 · EPS (TTM) −1.05 ILA · Return on equity −11.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −187% · Revenue (TTM) 39.4M ILA · Revenue growth (YoY) −71.1% · EPS growth (YoY) +126%.

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −46%, PTCH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1.32 ILA Fair Value 2.99 ILA Bull 4.95 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 2.65 ILA 5.45 ILA 9.04 ILA 78
Growth DCF 2.74 ILA 5.24 ILA 8.27 ILA 76
NCAV (Graham) n/a 0.0100 ILA 0.0100 ILA 52
All 3 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 2.65 ILA 5.45 ILA 9.04 ILA 78
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) n/a 0.0100 ILA 0.0100 ILA 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 2.74 ILA 5.24 ILA 8.27 ILA 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 89

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 34
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 5/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+25.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Israel: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +23.2% a year for the price.

PTCH screens 85% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 354 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −46% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −71% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 592.94× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 5.88× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 5.7× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BAS €51.79 €23.76 −54%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥23.21 ¥40.44 +74%
Dow Inc DOW $28.20 $21.03 −25%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥34.61 ¥19.88 −43%
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 ¥13.13 ¥2.90 −78%
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥73.50 ¥80.85 +10%
Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 ¥46.39 ¥16.17 −65%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,565 IDR 1,589 IDR +2%
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥16.54 ¥43.28 +162%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 252,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +133%

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Petrochemical · Fair Value
2.99 ILA −85%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Petrochemical Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PTCH

Frequently asked questions

Is Petrochemical (PTCH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.99 ILA versus a price of 5.52 ILA, about −46% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PTCH?
Our model-based fair value for Petrochemical is 2.99 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5.52 ILA.
What is the quality score of PTCH?
Petrochemical has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Petrochemical (PTCH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.99 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.32 ILA, optimistic scenario 4.95 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Petrochemical stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.99 ILA, about −46% upside versus a price of 5.52 ILA (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.32 ILA, optimistic scenario 4.95 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
Petrochemical reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 39.4M ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Petrochemical (PTCH)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Petrochemical would have to grow free cash flow by +25.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PTCH use?
Our models discount Petrochemical at 14.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Petrochemical that is +25.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How fast is the sector of Petrochemical (PTCH) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Petrochemical (+25.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.37 %: that much free cash flow Petrochemical produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Petrochemical it is 2.99 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 5.52 ILA. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Petrochemical stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PTCH trades above its calculated fair value: price 5.52 ILA, fair value 2.99 ILA, a gap of about −46% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PTCH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5.52 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.99 ILA). For Petrochemical the two are 2.53 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Petrochemical worth?
The market values Petrochemical at about 698M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 5.52 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 2.99 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PTCH?
Our models span a range for Petrochemical: cautious scenario 1.32 ILA, base 2.99 ILA, optimistic 4.95 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 5.52 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Petrochemical (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −11.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 22/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Petrochemical?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, Zhejiang Juhua Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Petrochemical stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 5.52 ILA, calculated fair value 2.99 ILA (−46%), Quality Score 22/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PTCH calculated?
We run Petrochemical through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.99 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Petrochemical itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was 5.52 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 2.99 ILA, about −46% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Petrochemical right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.95 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (1.32 ILA to 4.95 ILA). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Petrochemical

How large is the market capitalisation of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
The market capitalisation of Petrochemical is 698M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Petrochemical is 13.6 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
Earnings per share at Petrochemical are −1.05 ILA. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Petrochemical is −11.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Petrochemical is −187% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Petrochemical (PTCH)?
Revenue at Petrochemical is growing −71.1% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Petrochemical (PTCH)?
Earnings per share at Petrochemical are growing +126% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Petrochemical (PTCH) carry?
The net debt of Petrochemical is 490M ILA (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 12.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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