Petrochemical (PTCH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Petrochemical stock ILS 3.09, price ILS 4.31, that is 28.2% below the price, quality 24 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 3 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.6880 ILS – 6.20 ILS · fair‑value band 1.16 ILS – 5.25 ILS · the 4.31 ILS price screens above the 3.09 ILS fair value. As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Israel Petrochemical Enterprises Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the petrochemicals industry in Israel and internationally. It offers various petroleum products, such as gasoline, naphtha, diesel, kerosene, fuel oil, LPG, and bitumen.
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The company also produces raw materials and polymers for the plastic industry, such as polypropylene and polyethylene; and aromatic material used as feedstocks for chemical and petrochemical industries.
In addition, it leases tankers for the maritime transport of fuel products; and production and operation of oil and gas assets. The company serves fuel and gas marketing companies and gas stations. It sells its products through agents and distributors.
The company was incorporated in 1961 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.
Stock analysis
Petrochemical (PTCH) currently trades at 4.31 ILS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.09 ILS, 28% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 81/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: 1.16 ILS (bear) to 5.25 ILS (bull), the price of 4.31 ILS sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Petrochemical reported revenue of 0 ILS in FY2025 versus 0 ILS in FY2018. Reported net income was −81.7M ILS in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 617M ILS Micro · P/E ratio 5.2 · P/S ratio 3.40 · EPS (TTM) 0.8300 ILS · Net margin 59.6% · Return on equity 12.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −187% (5-year average) · Operating margin −0.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 154% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −28%, PTCH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear1.16 ILSFair Value 3.09 ILSBull5.25 ILS
Price 4.31 ILS · Downside -28.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.7095 ILS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF0.6800 ILS1.82 ILS3.09 ILS77
Growth DCF0.6900 ILS1.69 ILS2.76 ILS75
NCAV (Graham)n/an/a0.0100 ILS51
All 3 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF0.6800 ILS1.82 ILS3.09 ILS77
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)n/an/a0.0100 ILS51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF0.6900 ILS1.69 ILS2.76 ILS75
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.29/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+27.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Israel: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +24.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 115 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−28.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)12.1% · Above median
Return on assets−5.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)59.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−0.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−71.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity592.94× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)5.2× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)3.40× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)15.1× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)48· sector 48
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 65
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Petrochemical Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PTCH
Frequently asked questions
Is Petrochemical (PTCH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.09 ILS versus a price of 4.31 ILS, about 28% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PTCH?
Our model-based fair value for Petrochemical is 3.09 ILS (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4.31 ILS.
What is the quality score of PTCH?
Petrochemical has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Petrochemical (PTCH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.09 ILS (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.16 ILS, optimistic scenario 5.25 ILS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Petrochemical stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.09 ILS, about 28% lower versus a price of 4.31 ILS (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.16 ILS, optimistic scenario 5.25 ILS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
Petrochemical reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 182M ILS (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
What growth is priced into Petrochemical (PTCH)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Petrochemical would have to grow free cash flow by +27.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PTCH use?
Our models discount Petrochemical at 14.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Petrochemical that is +27.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (14.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How fast is the sector of Petrochemical (PTCH) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Petrochemical (+27.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.62 %: that much free cash flow Petrochemical produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Petrochemical it is 3.09 ILS per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of 4.31 ILS. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models in 3 families (DCF Models, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Petrochemical stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, PTCH trades above its calculated fair value: price 4.31 ILS, fair value 3.09 ILS, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PTCH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4.31 ILS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.09 ILS). For Petrochemical the two are 1.22 ILS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Petrochemical worth?
The market values Petrochemical at about 617M ILS (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is 4.31 ILS; our models calculate a fair value of 3.09 ILS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PTCH?
Our models span a range for Petrochemical: cautious scenario 1.16 ILS, base 3.09 ILS, optimistic 5.25 ILS per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price 4.31 ILS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PTCH?
Petrochemical trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.2 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 3.09 ILS is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 3.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Petrochemical (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 12.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PTCH from its 52-week high?
Petrochemical trades at 4.31 ILS, about 30% below its 52-week high of 6.20 ILS and 154% above the low of 1.70 ILS (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.09 ILS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Petrochemical?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Reliance Industries Limited, Valero Energy Corporation, Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Petrochemical stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price 4.31 ILS, calculated fair value 3.09 ILS (−28%), Quality Score 24/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PTCH calculated?
We run Petrochemical through 3 models from 3 families: DCF Models, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 3.09 ILS builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Petrochemical itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was 4.31 ILS. Our model-based fair value is 3.09 ILS, about 28% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Petrochemical right now?
Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (1.16 ILS to 5.25 ILS). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Petrochemical
How large is the market capitalisation of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
The market capitalisation of Petrochemical is 617M ILS. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Petrochemical is 3.40 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
Earnings per share at Petrochemical are 0.8300 ILS (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
The net margin of Petrochemical is 59.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Petrochemical is 12.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Petrochemical is −187% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Petrochemical (PTCH)?
The operating margin of Petrochemical is −0.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Petrochemical (PTCH)?
Revenue at Petrochemical is growing −71.1% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Petrochemical (PTCH)?
Earnings per share at Petrochemical are growing +126% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Petrochemical (PTCH) carry?
The net debt of Petrochemical is 490M ILS (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 12.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 6, 2026