Playtech Plc (PTEC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Playtech Plc £4.16, price £3.88, upside +7.3%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £2.32 – £8.06 · fair‑value band £2.54 – £6.58 · the £3.88 price screens below the £4.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Playtech plc, a technology company, provides gambling software, services, content, and platform technologies. It offers technologies across various product verticals, including casino, live casino, sports betting, virtual sports, bingo, and poker.
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Playtech plc, a technology company, provides gambling software, services, content, and platform technologies. It offers technologies across various product verticals, including casino, live casino, sports betting, virtual sports, bingo, and poker. The company also owns intellectual property rights; licenses the software; provides online bingo and casino software; casino management systems; licenses Alderney for online gaming and Bingo B2C operations; poker and bingo network; and owns video slots intellectual property. In addition, it engages in owning bingo software intellectual property and bingo hardware; developing and provision of online gaming slots; provision of marketing support services, software development and support services; development of software for fixed odds betting terminals and casino machines; Software development and operational support; Consulting and online technical support, data mining processing and advertising services; and operates poker community business. Further, the company designs, develops, and manufactures online software; offers management services; retail and digital sports betting; and develops mobile sportsbook betting platform. It operates in the United Kingdom, Latvia, Italy, Cyprus, Australia, Estonia, Alderney, and internationally. Playtech plc was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Playtech Plc (PTEC) currently trades at £3.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £4.16, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.8%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of £18.50 per share, and 14 of the 23 models we run sit above the £3.88 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at £3.24, and 9 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: £2.54 (bear) to £6.58 (bull), the price of £3.88 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Playtech Plc reported revenue of €750M in FY2025 versus €1.2B in FY2021, a compound −11.2%/yr. Reported net income was €1.5B in FY2025, compounding +21.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.2B GBX · P/S ratio 1.40 · EPS (TTM) £−0.4800 · Net margin 194% · Return on equity −10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3% · Operating margin −14.0% · Revenue (TTM) €764M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 7%, PTEC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £2.54Fair Value £4.16Bull £6.58
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.31/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.8% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+20.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.16.8% vs 25.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → −11%
2025 sits 1,420% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.8% a year for the price and +3.7% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gambling · 51 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+7.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−2.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)194.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−14.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−10.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Gambling median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Playtech Plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PTEC
Frequently asked questions
Is Playtech Plc (PTEC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £4.16 versus a price of £3.88, about +7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of PTEC?
Our model-based fair value for Playtech Plc is £4.16 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £3.88.
What is the quality score of PTEC?
Playtech Plc has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Playtech Plc (PTEC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £4.16 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario £2.54, optimistic scenario £6.58. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Playtech Plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £4.16, about +7% upside versus a price of £3.88 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario £2.54, optimistic scenario £6.58. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Playtech Plc (PTEC)?
Playtech Plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €764M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Playtech Plc (PTEC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Playtech Plc would have to grow free cash flow by +18.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -7.0 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PTEC use?
Our models discount Playtech Plc at 10.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.64, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Playtech Plc that is +18.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Playtech Plc (PTEC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Playtech Plc grew -7.0 % a year. The price currently implies +18.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Playtech Plc (PTEC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Playtech Plc (+18.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Playtech Plc (PTEC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.52 %: that much free cash flow Playtech Plc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Playtech Plc (PTEC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Playtech Plc it is £4.16 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of £3.88. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Playtech Plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, PTEC trades below its calculated fair value: price £3.88, fair value £4.16, a gap of about +7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PTEC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£3.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£4.16). For Playtech Plc the two are £0.2840 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Playtech Plc worth?
The market values Playtech Plc at about 1.2B GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is £3.88; our models calculate a fair value of £4.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PTEC?
Our models span a range for Playtech Plc: cautious scenario £2.54, base £4.16, optimistic £6.58 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price £3.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of PTEC?
The PEG ratio of Playtech Plc is 1.83 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Playtech Plc (PTEC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Playtech Plc (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −10.6%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PTEC from its 52-week high?
Playtech Plc trades at £3.88, about 13% below its 52-week high of £4.45 and 67% above the low of £2.32 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £4.16 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Playtech Plc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Evolution AB, Flutter Entertainment plc, The Lottery Corporation, Lottomatica Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Playtech Plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price £3.88, calculated fair value £4.16 (+7%), Quality Score 66/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PTEC calculated?
We run Playtech Plc through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £4.16, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Playtech Plc currently trades 7 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Playtech Plc (PTEC)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was £3.88. Our model-based fair value is £4.16, about +7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Playtech Plc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (£2.54 to £6.58) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Playtech Plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Playtech Plc (PTEC)?
The market capitalisation of Playtech Plc is 1.2B GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Playtech Plc (PTEC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Playtech Plc is 1.40 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Playtech Plc (PTEC)?
Earnings per share at Playtech Plc are £−0.4800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Playtech Plc (PTEC)?
The net margin of Playtech Plc is 194% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Playtech Plc (PTEC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Playtech Plc is −10.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Playtech Plc (PTEC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Playtech Plc is 1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Playtech Plc (PTEC)?
The operating margin of Playtech Plc is −14.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Playtech Plc (PTEC)?
Revenue at Playtech Plc is growing −10.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Playtech Plc (PTEC)?
Earnings per share at Playtech Plc are growing +255% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Playtech Plc (PTEC) carry?
The net debt of Playtech Plc is €12.0M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Sep 27, 2026