Providence Resources Inc (PVRS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Providence Resources Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Valuation from Jun 25, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0011 – $0.2250 · the $0.0081 price screens below the $0.0100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 25, 2026.
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Providence Resources, Inc., an exploration stage company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties. The company is based in Austin, Texas.
Stock analysis
Providence Resources Inc (PVRS) currently trades at $0.0081, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0100, implying the stock looks roughly 19.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 7 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Providence Resources Inc reported revenue of $606K in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2012. Reported net income was −$102K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $2.0M · EPS (TTM) $−0.3500 · Net margin −16.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.2% · Free cash flow $2.1K · Net cash $50.4K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 119% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 23%, PVRS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0100Fair Value $0.0100Bull $0.0100
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.7%
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+70.3%
’00
’04
’06
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−49,838,400.0% (2000) → −16.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Providence Resources Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 180 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+24% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−17% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity9.92× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
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Is Providence Resources Inc (PVRS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0100 versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $0.0081, about +23% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PVRS?
Our model-based fair value for Providence Resources Inc is $0.0100 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 18, 2026): $0.0081.
What is the quality score of PVRS?
Providence Resources Inc has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Providence Resources Inc (PVRS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0100 (as of Jun 25, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Providence Resources Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0100, about +23% upside versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $0.0081 (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Providence Resources Inc (PVRS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Providence Resources Inc would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 19 years revenue grew +18.1 % per year. As of Jun 25, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PVRS use?
Our models discount Providence Resources Inc at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Providence Resources Inc that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Providence Resources Inc (PVRS) delivered so far?
Over the past 19 years revenue at Providence Resources Inc grew +18.1 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Providence Resources Inc (PVRS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Providence Resources Inc (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Providence Resources Inc (PVRS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.11 %: that much free cash flow Providence Resources Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Providence Resources Inc (PVRS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Providence Resources Inc it is $0.0100 per share (as of Jun 25, 2026), against a price of $0.0081. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Providence Resources Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 25, 2026, PVRS trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0081, fair value $0.0100, a gap of about +23% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PVRS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0081); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0100). For Providence Resources Inc the two are $0.0019 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Providence Resources Inc worth?
The market values Providence Resources Inc at about $2.0M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 25, 2026). Per share that is $0.0081; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0100 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Providence Resources Inc (PVRS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Providence Resources Inc (as of Jun 25, 2026): debt of 9.92 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PVRS from its 52-week high?
Providence Resources Inc trades at $0.0081, about 44% below its 52-week high of $0.0145 and 119% above the low of $0.0037 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Providence Resources Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Corteva, Inc, Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Providence Resources Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 25, 2026: price $0.0081, calculated fair value $0.0100 (+23%), Quality Score 42/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PVRS calculated?
We run Providence Resources Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Providence Resources Inc currently trades 23 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Providence Resources Inc (PVRS)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 18, 2026 and stands at $0.0081. Our model-based fair value is $0.0100, about +23% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Providence Resources Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0100). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Providence Resources Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Providence Resources Inc (PVRS)?
The market capitalisation of Providence Resources Inc is $2.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Providence Resources Inc (PVRS)?
Earnings per share at Providence Resources Inc are $−0.3500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Providence Resources Inc (PVRS)?
The net margin of Providence Resources Inc is −16.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Providence Resources Inc (PVRS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Providence Resources Inc is −4.2% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much net cash does Providence Resources Inc (PVRS) hold?
Providence Resources Inc holds more cash than debt, $50.4K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Jun 25, 2026