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Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · ZA · Market cap 1.8B ZAC

QF Quantum Foods Holdings QFH · JSE
PriceR9.29
Fair ValueR14.98
Upside+61.2%
Quality66/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 4.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.06% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range R7.68 – R22.40 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from R28.68 to R14.98 (−47.8%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price +1.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 61% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (R7.68 to R22.40). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R18.30 R4.20 Fair Value R14.98 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R4.20 – R18.30 · fair‑value band R7.68 – R22.40 · the R9.29 price screens below the R14.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH) currently trades at R9.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R14.98, implying the stock looks roughly 61.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Quantum Foods Holdings generated revenue of 7.0B ZAR at a net margin of 4.5%. Revenue declined 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 141M ZAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R7.68 (bear case) to R22.40 (bull case); at R9.29, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 97% fair-value upside, at 61%, QFH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF R2.98 R3.91 R5.18 80
Residual Income R10.05 R11.26 R18.83 76
ROIC Compounder R37.99 R45.80 R54.17 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R2.98 R3.99 R5.41 38
Owner Earnings R7.14 R10.33 R14.82 31
5Y Revenue Exit R23.33 R43.66 R70.94 39
5Y EBITDA Exit R30.25 R57.09 R89.86 41
5Y P/E Exit R13.56 R24.70 R36.94 38
10Y Revenue Exit R14.01 R29.50 R52.44 36
10Y EBITDA Exit R19.09 R38.18 R66.09 37
10Y P/E Exit R9.21 R17.23 R27.92 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R9.29 R34.27 R46.29 54
Lynch FV R8.20 R11.72 R15.23 50
PEG = 1.0 R8.20 R11.72 R15.23 46
EPV R35.66 R40.38 R44.31 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple R21.51 R28.68 R35.85 63
P/S Multiple R17.41 R23.22 R29.02 58
P/B Multiple R17.41 R23.22 R29.02 55
EV/EBIT R62.33 R82.75 R103.18 53
EV/EBITDA R53.15 R70.51 R87.88 54
EV/Revenue R37.84 R53.61 R69.37 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R5.87 R7.87 R11.74 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R2.98 R3.91 R5.18 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income R10.05 R11.26 R18.83 76
ROIC Compounder R37.99 R45.80 R54.17 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R15.32 R21.88 R28.44 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (R28.68) versus Growth DCF (R3.91). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.0B ZAC
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.8%
Net margin 4.5%
Return on equity 13.0%
Free cash flow 39.9M ZAC FY2025
P/E ratio 6.1
More key figures
Operating margin 6.8%
EPS (TTM) R1.53
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +22.0%
Net cash 141M ZAC FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 61
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 22
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Quantum Foods Holdings Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the feed, poultry, and egg businesses in South Africa and other African markets. It operates through Eggs, Farming, and Animal Feeds segments. The company produces and distributes eggs and egg products; and sells layer parent stock, hatching eggs, day-old pullets, and point-of-lay hens.

Full company description

Quantum Foods Holdings Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the feed, poultry, and egg businesses in South Africa and other African markets. It operates through Eggs, Farming, and Animal Feeds segments. The company produces and distributes eggs and egg products; and sells layer parent stock, hatching eggs, day-old pullets, and point-of-lay hens. It also focuses on breeding, hatching, and poultry farming business. The company sells its products under the Nulaid, Nova Feeds, Bergvlei Chicks, and Bellevue Chix brand names. Quantum Foods Holdings Ltd was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Wellington, South Africa.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Quantum Foods Holdings reported revenue of R7.1B in FY2025 versus R5.4B in FY2021, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was R279M in FY2025, compounding +27.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 59/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.1B ZAR
Latest YoY
+12.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.8%
Revenue +7.3%/yr
FY21 R5.4B
FY22 R6.0B
FY23 R7.0B
FY24 R6.3B
FY25 R7.1B
Net income +27.4%/yr
FY21 R106M
FY22 R23.8M
FY23 −R35.6M
FY24 R160M
FY25 R279M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2025) +9.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.6 pp

of which total revenue +6.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.6 pp

EBIT margin +9.7 pp
Tax rate +0.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −8.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Quantum Foods Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/QFH

Peer Group

Farm Products · 299 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +61% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth -5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.77× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.26× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 3.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 25
FUTURE 0 · sector 22
PAST 52 · sector 18
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 1 · sector 37

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.15 ¥47.42 +18%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,150 IDR 6,818 IDR +116%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 21.90 THB 43.24 THB +97%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,805 IDR 3,087 IDR +71%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,350 IDR 6,420 IDR -13%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,260 IDR 6,974 IDR +209%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,890 IDR 610.80 IDR -68%
PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS 860.00 IDR 402.24 IDR -53%
PT Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk SMAR 5,625 IDR 16,227 IDR +188%
PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk DSNG 1,320 IDR 2,696 IDR +104%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R14.98 versus a price of R9.29, about +61% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of QFH?
Our model-based fair value for Quantum Foods Holdings is R14.98 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R9.29.
What is the quality score of QFH?
Quantum Foods Holdings has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH)?
Quantum Foods Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.0B ZAR (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of QFH?
The net profit margin of Quantum Foods Holdings is about 4.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Quantum Foods Holdings pay a dividend?
Quantum Foods Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.06% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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