Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Quantum Foods Holdings ZAR 12.39, price ZAR 6.61, upside +87.5%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R4.20 – R18.30 · fair‑value band R6.75 – R16.18 · the R6.61 price screens below the R12.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Quantum Foods Holdings Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the feed, poultry, and egg businesses in South Africa and other African markets. It operates through Eggs, Farming, and Animal Feeds segments. The company produces and distributes eggs and egg products; and sells layer parent stock, hatching eggs, day-old pullets, and point-of-lay hens.
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Quantum Foods Holdings Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the feed, poultry, and egg businesses in South Africa and other African markets. It operates through Eggs, Farming, and Animal Feeds segments. The company produces and distributes eggs and egg products; and sells layer parent stock, hatching eggs, day-old pullets, and point-of-lay hens. It also focuses on breeding, hatching, and poultry farming business. The company sells its products under the Nulaid, Nova Feeds, Bergvlei Chicks, and Bellevue Chix brand names. Quantum Foods Holdings Ltd was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Wellington, South Africa.
Stock analysis
Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH) currently trades at R6.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R12.39, implying the stock looks roughly 46.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of R28.68 per share, and 21 of the 23 models we run sit above the R6.61 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at R4.23, and 2 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: R6.75 (bear) to R16.18 (bull), the price of R6.61 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Quantum Foods Holdings reported revenue of 7.1B ZAR in FY2025 versus 5.4B ZAR in FY2021, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was 279M ZAR in FY2025, compounding +27.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.8B ZAC · P/E ratio 4.3 · P/S ratio 0.17 · EPS (TTM) R1.53 · Dividend yield 8.5% · Net margin 3.9% · Return on equity 13.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 87%, QFH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R6.75Fair Value R12.39Bull R16.18
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.9647 ZAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.59/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.5% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in ZAR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in ZAR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+21.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12.1% vs 11.3%, steady
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 4%
2025 sits 202% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (South Africa: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +24.7% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 296 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+87.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)4.5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)6.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)8.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
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Is Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R12.39 versus a price of R6.61, about +87% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of QFH?
Our model-based fair value for Quantum Foods Holdings is R12.39 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R6.61.
What is the quality score of QFH?
Quantum Foods Holdings has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R12.39 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario R6.75, optimistic scenario R16.18. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Quantum Foods Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R12.39, about +87% upside versus a price of R6.61 (undervalued). Cautious scenario R6.75, optimistic scenario R16.18. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH)?
Quantum Foods Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.0B ZAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Quantum Foods Holdings pay a dividend?
Quantum Foods Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.47% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Quantum Foods Holdings would have to grow free cash flow by +28.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.0 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of QFH use?
Our models discount Quantum Foods Holdings at 14.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.62, country premium for South Africa. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Quantum Foods Holdings that is +28.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Quantum Foods Holdings grew +7.0 % a year. The price currently implies +28.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Quantum Foods Holdings (+28.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.97 %: that much free cash flow Quantum Foods Holdings produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Quantum Foods Holdings it is R12.39 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of R6.61. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Quantum Foods Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, QFH trades below its calculated fair value: price R6.61, fair value R12.39, a gap of about +87% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of QFH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R6.61); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R12.39). For Quantum Foods Holdings the two are R5.78 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Quantum Foods Holdings worth?
The market values Quantum Foods Holdings at about 1.8B ZAC (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is R6.61; our models calculate a fair value of R12.39 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about QFH?
Our models span a range for Quantum Foods Holdings: cautious scenario R6.75, base R12.39, optimistic R16.18 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price R6.61). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of QFH?
Quantum Foods Holdings trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.3 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R12.39 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 3.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Quantum Foods Holdings (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 13.0%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is QFH from its 52-week high?
Quantum Foods Holdings trades at R6.61, about 44% below its 52-week high of R11.90 and 2% above the low of R6.50 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R12.39 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Quantum Foods Holdings?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Quantum Foods Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price R6.61, calculated fair value R12.39 (+87%), Quality Score 66/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of QFH calculated?
We run Quantum Foods Holdings through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R12.39, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Quantum Foods Holdings currently trades 87 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was R6.61. Our model-based fair value is R12.39, about +87% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Quantum Foods Holdings right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (R6.75). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (R6.75 to R16.18) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH) come from?
Earnings per share at Quantum Foods Holdings grew +9.7 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.6 %, EBIT margin +9.7 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −8.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Quantum Foods Holdings
How large is the market capitalisation of Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH)?
The market capitalisation of Quantum Foods Holdings is 1.8B ZAC. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Quantum Foods Holdings is 0.17 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH)?
Earnings per share at Quantum Foods Holdings are R1.53 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH)?
The dividend yield of Quantum Foods Holdings is 8.5% (payout 36.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH)?
The net margin of Quantum Foods Holdings is 3.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Quantum Foods Holdings is 13.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Quantum Foods Holdings is 8.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH)?
The operating margin of Quantum Foods Holdings is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH)?
Revenue at Quantum Foods Holdings is growing −4.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH)?
Earnings per share at Quantum Foods Holdings are growing +22.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Quantum Foods Holdings (QFH) hold?
Quantum Foods Holdings holds more cash than debt, 141M ZAC net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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