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Qualys Inc (QLYS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Qualys Inc $202, price $185, upside +9.1%, quality 82 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · US · ISIN US74758T3032

QI Qualys Inc logo Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Qualys Inc

QLYS · US

Quality WatchlistQuality growthA strong company, but the current price is close to Fair Value.

·Fair value $201.65 · Fairly valued (+9%)
Quality 82/100
Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +13.0 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 29.4% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Wide moat 89/100
!Insider activity 40/100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$205.89 $76.20 Fair Value $201.65 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $76.20 – $205.89 · fair‑value band $141.16 – $262.16 · the $184.79 price screens below the $201.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Qualys, Inc. provides cloud-based platform delivering information technology (IT), security, and compliance solutions in the United States and internationally.

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Qualys, Inc. provides cloud-based platform delivering information technology (IT), security, and compliance solutions in the United States and internationally. The company provides Qualys Cloud Apps, which include cybersecurity asset management; enterprise TruRisk management; vulnerability management, detection, and response; total application security; patch management; custom assessment and remediation; multi-vector endpoint detection and response; policy audit; and file integrity monitoring. It offers TotalCloud, a cloud-native application protection platform, which include cloud workload protection, cloud detection and response, cloud security posture management, infrastructure as code, SaaS security posture management, cloud infrastructure and entitlement management, and Kubernetes and container security. In addition, the company markets and sells IT, security, and compliance solutions; offers Qualys' Enterprise TruRisk platform that enables customers to identify and manage IT and operational technology assets; collect and analyze IT security data; discover and prioritize vulnerabilities; quantify cyber risk exposure; recommend and implement remediation actions; and verify the implementation of such actions. Further, it offers asset tagging and management; reporting and dashboards; questionnaires and collaboration; remediation and workflow; big data correlation and analytics engine; and alerts and notifications. The company offers its solutions to enterprises, government entities, and small and medium-sized businesses in various industries, including education, financial services, government, healthcare, insurance, manufacturing, media, retail, technology, and utilities through its sales teams, as well as through security consulting organizations, managed service providers, resellers, cloud providers, and consulting firms. Qualys, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Foster City, California.

Stock analysis

Qualys Inc (QLYS) currently trades at $184.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $201.65, implying the stock looks roughly 8.4% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $176.71 per share, and 5 of the 24 models we run sit above the $184.79 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $56.21, and 19 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $141.16 (bear) to $262.16 (bull), the price of $184.79 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 82/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Qualys Inc reported revenue of $669M in FY2025 versus $411M in FY2021, a compound +12.9%/yr. Reported net income was $198M in FY2025, compounding +29.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $6.7B · P/E ratio 27.5 · P/S ratio 8.14 · EPS (TTM) $5.56 · Net margin 29.6% · Return on equity 37.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.8% · Operating margin 35.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 143% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 9%, QLYS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $141.16 Fair Value $201.65 Bull $262.16
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($4.07 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $120.97 $220.49 $410.13 77
Growth DCF $118.39 $208.20 $359.99 76
5Y EBITDA Exit $101.30 $176.71 $273.71 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $120.97 $220.49 $410.13 77
Owner Earnings $85.13 $156.19 $283.28 73
5Y Revenue Exit $82.68 $136.42 $209.86 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $101.30 $176.71 $273.71 74
5Y P/E Exit $118.92 $214.83 $328.85 69
10Y Revenue Exit $92.62 $148.98 $237.50 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $106.94 $178.66 $292.30 67
10Y P/E Exit $118.59 $206.75 $339.62 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $38.29 $208.25 $288.76 63
Lynch FV $57.79 $82.56 $107.32 61
PEG = 1.0 $57.79 $82.56 $107.32 57
EPV $51.88 $58.95 $65.05 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $118.26 $157.68 $197.10 63
P/S Multiple $71.80 $95.73 $119.67 58
P/B Multiple $71.70 $95.60 $119.51 55
EV/EBIT $120.55 $158.36 $196.18 66
EV/EBITDA $97.74 $127.96 $158.17 67
EV/Revenue $64.46 $89.04 $113.62 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.97 $10.68 $15.93 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $118.39 $208.20 $359.99 76
Rev-Margin DCF $82.68 $135.37 $207.08 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income $39.21 $56.21 $508.58 58
ROIC Compounder $56.42 $69.69 $84.99 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $98.70 $141.00 $183.31 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 82/100

Of which business quality 82 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 86
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 93
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 40
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 90
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 98/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.1%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.0%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.1% a year
Revenue growth 16 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+25.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+25.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.25% vs 27%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.27% → 33%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect Analysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.1% a year for the price and +4.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+8.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+7.1%
Projected 2028 (sales)+6.4%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.8%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.2%

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 372 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 82 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +10% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Return on assets 14% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 29% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 35% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 10% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 11.91× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 9.76× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 22.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 26.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 6.00× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)45 · sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)49 · sector 49
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 32

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Microsoft Corporation MSFT $498.00 $547.80 +10%
Oracle Corporation ORCL $149.20 $117.84 −21%
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $184.99 $43.02 −77%
Palo Alto Networks, Inc PANW $374.57 $114.50 −69%
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $250.06 $35.15 −86%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $174.26 $164.92 −5%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $409.24 $250.04 −39%
Block, Inc XYZ $77.53 $101.29 +31%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $86.76 $71.79 −17%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $192.91 $157.18 −19%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Qualys Inc (QLYS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $201.65 versus a price of $184.79, about +9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of QLYS?
Our model-based fair value for Qualys Inc is $201.65 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $184.79.
What is the quality score of QLYS?
Qualys Inc has a Quality Score of 82/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Qualys Inc (QLYS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $201.65 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $141.16, optimistic scenario $262.16. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Qualys Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $201.65, about +9% upside versus a price of $184.79 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $141.16, optimistic scenario $262.16. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Qualys Inc (QLYS)?
Qualys Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $685M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Qualys Inc (QLYS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Qualys Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +7.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of QLYS use?
Our models discount Qualys Inc at 8.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.61, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Qualys Inc that is +7.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Qualys Inc (QLYS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Qualys Inc grew +13.0 % a year. The price currently implies +7.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Qualys Inc (QLYS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Qualys Inc (+7.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Qualys Inc (QLYS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.52 %: that much free cash flow Qualys Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Qualys Inc (QLYS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Qualys Inc it is $201.65 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $184.79. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Qualys Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, QLYS trades below its calculated fair value: price $184.79, fair value $201.65, a gap of about +9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of QLYS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($184.79); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($201.65). For Qualys Inc the two are $16.86 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Qualys Inc worth?
The market values Qualys Inc at about $6.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $184.79; our models calculate a fair value of $201.65 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about QLYS?
Our models span a range for Qualys Inc: cautious scenario $141.16, base $201.65, optimistic $262.16 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $184.79). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of QLYS?
Qualys Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $201.65 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 6.0, P/B 11.9, P/S 9.8, EV/EBITDA 26.3.
What is the PEG ratio of QLYS?
The PEG ratio of Qualys Inc is 6.00 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Qualys Inc (QLYS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Qualys Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 37.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 82/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is QLYS from its 52-week high?
Qualys Inc trades at $184.79, about 6% below its 52-week high of $195.88 and 143% above the low of $76.20 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $201.65 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Qualys Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Qualys Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $184.79, calculated fair value $201.65 (+9%), Quality Score 82/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of QLYS calculated?
We run Qualys Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $201.65, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Qualys Inc currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Qualys Inc (QLYS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $184.79. Our model-based fair value is $201.65, about +9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Qualys Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($141.16 to $262.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Qualys Inc (QLYS) come from?
Earnings per share at Qualys Inc grew +26.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +15.9 %, EBIT margin +10.3 %, tax rate −2.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Qualys Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Qualys Inc (QLYS)?
The market capitalisation of Qualys Inc is $6.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Qualys Inc (QLYS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Qualys Inc is 8.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Qualys Inc (QLYS)?
Earnings per share at Qualys Inc are $5.56 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Qualys Inc (QLYS)?
The net margin of Qualys Inc is 29.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Qualys Inc (QLYS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Qualys Inc is 37.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Qualys Inc (QLYS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Qualys Inc is 17.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Qualys Inc (QLYS)?
The operating margin of Qualys Inc is 35.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Qualys Inc (QLYS)?
Revenue at Qualys Inc is growing +9.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Qualys Inc (QLYS)?
Earnings per share at Qualys Inc are growing +10.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Qualys Inc (QLYS) hold?
Qualys Inc holds more cash than debt, $153M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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