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QumulusAI, Inc. (QMLS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 7, 2026: fair value of QumulusAI, Inc. $1.24, price $5.71, upside -78.3%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · US · ISIN US74906Q1022

QI QumulusAI, Inc. logo Thin data Oct 4, 2026

QumulusAI, Inc.

QMLS · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Low debt
Quality 42/100
Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +62.5 %/yr in USD)
Fair value $1.24 · Strongly overvalued (−78.3%)
Loss-making · -41.2% net margin (FY2025)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 9/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$21.43 $5.36 Fair Value $1.24 Jul 2026 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

3‑month range $5.36 – $21.43 · fair‑value band $0.9300 – $1.86 · the $5.71 price screens above the $1.24 fair value. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

QumulusAI, Inc. operates as a cloud infrastructure company. It operates through two segments, Bitcoin and High-Performance Computing. The company engages in the deployment of graphics processing unit-powered solutions for artificial intelligence applications. It is also involved in bitcoin mining and hosting, as well as compute power.

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QumulusAI, Inc. operates as a cloud infrastructure company. It operates through two segments, Bitcoin and High-Performance Computing. The company engages in the deployment of graphics processing unit-powered solutions for artificial intelligence applications. It is also involved in bitcoin mining and hosting, as well as compute power. The company serves underserved small and mid-market customers, including machine learning teams, AI infrastructure startups, and research institutions. The company was formerly known as Global Digital Holdings Inc. and changed its name to QumulusAI, Inc. in August 2025. The company was founded in 2019 and is based in Atlanta, Georgia.

Stock analysis

QumulusAI, Inc. (QMLS) currently trades at $5.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.24, 78.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 83/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.9300 (bear) to $1.86 (bull), the price of $5.71 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

QumulusAI, Inc. reported revenue of $13.2M in FY2025 versus $5.1M in FY2023, a compound +60.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$5.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $218M · P/S ratio 12.8 · EPS (TTM) $−5.58 · Net margin −41.2% · Return on equity −492% · Return on assets (EBIT) −29.8% · Operating margin −114% · Revenue (TTM) $17.0M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −78%, QMLS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.9300 Fair Value $1.24 Bull $1.86
Price $5.71 · Upside -78.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.9300 $1.24 $1.86 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9300 $1.24 $1.86 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

QMLS screens overvalued: fair value 78% below the price. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 351 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −78.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −9.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −41.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −114.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 117.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.10× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.51× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 12.84× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 56
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $525.18 $577.70 +10% vs QMLS
Block, Inc XYZ $74.04 $76.95 +4% vs QMLS
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $180.95 $164.68 −9% vs QMLS
Oracle Corporation ORCL $142.48 $112.26 −21% vs QMLS
NetApp, Inc NTAP $204.41 $157.26 −23% vs QMLS
Okta, Inc OKTA $211.49 $142.12 −33% vs QMLS
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $87.39 $58.32 −33% vs QMLS
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $505.17 $249.20 −51% vs QMLS
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $189.40 $42.16 −78% vs QMLS
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $272.67 $37.31 −86% vs QMLS

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QumulusAI, Inc. · Fair Value
$1.24 −78%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "QumulusAI, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/QMLS

Frequently asked questions

Is QumulusAI, Inc. (QMLS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.24 versus a price of $5.71, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of QMLS?
Our model-based fair value for QumulusAI, Inc. is $1.24 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.71.
What is the quality score of QMLS?
QumulusAI, Inc. has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for QumulusAI, Inc. (QMLS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.24 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.9300, optimistic scenario $1.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the QumulusAI, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.24, about −78% upside versus a price of $5.71 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.9300, optimistic scenario $1.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of QumulusAI, Inc. (QMLS)?
QumulusAI, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $17.0M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of QumulusAI, Inc. (QMLS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For QumulusAI, Inc. it is $1.24 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of $5.71. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is QumulusAI, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, QMLS trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.71, fair value $1.24, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of QMLS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.71); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.24). For QumulusAI, Inc. the two are $4.47 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is QumulusAI, Inc. worth?
The market values QumulusAI, Inc. at about $218M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is $5.71; our models calculate a fair value of $1.24 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about QMLS?
Our models span a range for QumulusAI, Inc.: cautious scenario $0.9300, base $1.24, optimistic $1.86 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price $5.71). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of QumulusAI, Inc. (QMLS)?
Balance-sheet figures for QumulusAI, Inc. (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −492.3%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to QumulusAI, Inc.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is QumulusAI, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price $5.71, calculated fair value $1.24 (−78%), Quality Score 42/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of QMLS calculated?
We run QumulusAI, Inc. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.24, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.3 % above its aggregate fair value. QumulusAI, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of QumulusAI, Inc. (QMLS)?
The closing price on Oct 7, 2026 was $5.71. Our model-based fair value is $1.24, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with QumulusAI, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.86). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.9300 to $1.86) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of QumulusAI, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of QumulusAI, Inc. (QMLS)?
The market capitalisation of QumulusAI, Inc. is $218M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of QumulusAI, Inc. (QMLS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of QumulusAI, Inc. is 12.8 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of QumulusAI, Inc. (QMLS)?
Earnings per share at QumulusAI, Inc. are $−5.58. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of QumulusAI, Inc. (QMLS)?
The net margin of QumulusAI, Inc. is −41.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of QumulusAI, Inc. (QMLS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of QumulusAI, Inc. is −492% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of QumulusAI, Inc. (QMLS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of QumulusAI, Inc. is −29.8% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of QumulusAI, Inc. (QMLS)?
The operating margin of QumulusAI, Inc. is −114% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at QumulusAI, Inc. (QMLS)?
Revenue at QumulusAI, Inc. is growing +118% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does QumulusAI, Inc. (QMLS) generate?
The free cash flow of QumulusAI, Inc. is −$20.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does QumulusAI, Inc. (QMLS) carry?
The net debt of QumulusAI, Inc. is $62.9K (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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