Qt Group (QTCOM) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · FI · Market cap €626M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from €24.76 to €24.53 (−0.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +43.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€31.30). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (€15.09 to €31.30) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €18.38 – €178.80 · fair‑value band €15.09 – €31.30 · the €32.88 price screens above the €24.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Qt Group (QTCOM) currently trades at €32.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €24.53, implying the stock looks roughly 25.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Qt Group generated revenue of €216M at a net margin of 14.7%. Revenue grew 12.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.4%. Net debt stands at €103M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €15.09 (bear case) to €31.30 (bull case); at €32.88, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 82% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -25%, QTCOM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€34.00) versus Asset-Based (€5.53). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Qt Group Oyj offers cross-platform solutions for the software development lifecycle in Finland, rest of Europe, the Asia Pacific, and North America.
Full company description
Qt Group Oyj offers cross-platform solutions for the software development lifecycle in Finland, rest of Europe, the Asia Pacific, and North America. The company offers Qt Design Studio, which turns design visions into production-ready UIs; Qt Creator IDE, a cross-platform integrated development environment for software development; Qt Framework, a comprehensive set of libraries and APIs; Qt AI Assistant that offloads developers from tasks to free time for coding; Qt for MCUs designs, develops, and tests modern applications for microcontrollers; and Figma to Qt, a plugin that helps to reduce iterations and ensure design comes to life. It also provides quality assurance tools comprising Squish, an automated GUI testing for cross-platform desktop, mobile, embedded, and web applications; Coco for code coverage analysis and tool qualification; Test Center, a test result management platform; Axivion Static Code Analysis, a static code analysis that checks software for style violations; and Axivion Architecture Verification, an automated architecture check that guarantees necessary conformance. In addition, the company offers professional and support services. It serves the automotive, aviation and aerospace, industrial vehicle, micro-mobility interface, consumer electronics, industrial automation, and medical device industries. Qt Group Oyj was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Espoo, Finland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Qt Group reported revenue of €216M in FY2025 versus €121M in FY2021, a compound +15.6%/yr. Reported net income was €31.8M in FY2025, compounding +9.1%/yr from FY2021.
QTCOM screens 25% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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