Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CL · Market cap 6.5T CLP
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 6,956 CLP to 3,790 CLP (−45.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +6.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from 2,842 CLP (bear) to 4,737 CLP (bull), base 3,790 CLP. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 61/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 691.95 CLP – 4,611 CLP · fair‑value band 2,842 CLP – 4,737 CLP · the 4,500 CLP price screens above the 3,790 CLP fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO) currently trades at 4,500 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3,790 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 15.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Quiñenco SA generated revenue of 7.9T CLP at a net margin of 8.6%. Revenue grew 25.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.0%. Net debt stands at 11.6T CLP. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2,842 CLP (bear case) to 4,737 CLP (bull case); at 4,500 CLP, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -16%, QUINENCO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (8,481 CLP) versus Economic Profit (620.85 CLP). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Quiñenco SA, a business conglomerate, operates in the industrial and financial services sectors in Chile and internationally. It provides banking and financial products such as loans and deposits to individuals and large corporations through traditional channels, web platforms, and mobile applications.
Full company description
Quiñenco SA, a business conglomerate, operates in the industrial and financial services sectors in Chile and internationally. It provides banking and financial products such as loans and deposits to individuals and large corporations through traditional channels, web platforms, and mobile applications. The company produces and sells beverages, including beer, soft drinks, mineral and bottled waters, nectars, wine and pisco, as well as non-alcoholic beverages, spirits, ciders, and sparkling wines; and manufactures and sells cables. In addition, the company distributes fuels and lubricants to transport, mining, and power generation sectors; operates convenience store and service stations under the Shell license, and 224 upa!, up¡ta and upa! market. Further, it offers containerized freight transport services; and towage and air logistics services. The company was formerly known as Forestal Quiñenco S.A. and changed its name to Quiñenco SA in October 1996. Quiñenco SA was incorporated in 1957 and is based in Santiago, Chile.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Quiñenco SA reported revenue of 7.9T CLP in FY2025 versus 6.4T CLP in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was 680B CLP in FY2025, compounding −22.6%/yr from FY2021.
QUINENCO screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,293 | ₹835.66 | -35% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $309.65 | $127.32 | -59% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $283.74 | $135.80 | -52% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $196.16 | $101.04 | -48% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €31.10 | €4.07 | -87% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 81.30 TWD | 16.68 TWD | -79% |
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹138.96 | ₹417.35 | +200% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $88.59 | $48.90 | -45% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹315.55 | ₹846.81 | +168% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 121,400 KRW | 58,865 KRW | -52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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