Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Quiñenco SA stock CLP 4,385, price CLP 4,550, that is 3.6% below the price, quality 58 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 712.50 CLP – 4,920 CLP · fair‑value band 2,937 CLP – 6,348 CLP · the 4,550 CLP price screens above the 4,385 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Quiñenco SA, a business conglomerate, operates in the industrial and financial services sectors in Chile and internationally.
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It provides banking and financial products such as loans and deposits to individuals and large corporations through traditional channels, web platforms, and mobile applications.
The company produces and sells beverages, including beer, soft drinks, mineral and bottled waters, nectars, wine and pisco, as well as non-alcoholic beverages, spirits, ciders, and sparkling wines; and manufactures and sells cables.
In addition, the company distributes fuels and lubricants to transport, mining, and power generation sectors; operates convenience store and service stations under the Shell license, and 224 upa!, up¡ta and upa! market.
Further, it offers containerized freight transport services; and towage and air logistics services. The company was formerly known as Forestal Quiñenco S.A. and changed its name to Quiñenco SA in October 1996. Quiñenco SA was incorporated in 1957 and is based in Santiago, Chile.
Stock analysis
Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO) currently trades at 4,550 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4,385 CLP, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 3.8%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 7,575 CLP per share, and 10 of the 26 models we run sit above the 4,550 CLP price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 1,800 CLP, and 16 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 2,937 CLP (bear) to 6,348 CLP (bull), the price of 4,550 CLP sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Quiñenco SA reported revenue of 7.9T CLP in FY2025 versus 6.4T CLP in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was 680B CLP in FY2025, compounding −22.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 7.6T CLP (≈ $7.8B) Mid · P/E ratio 11.2 · P/S ratio 0.90 · EPS (TTM) 405.75 CLP · Dividend yield 7.7% · Net margin 8.0% · Return on equity 10.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −4%, QUINENCO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear2,937 CLPFair Value 4,385 CLPBull6,348 CLP
Price 4,550 CLP · Downside -3.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (48.63 CLP per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.4% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in CLP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in CLP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+30.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+22.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 13%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−7.7%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Chile: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 4.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 115 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside−3.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)10.0% · Below median
Return on assets2.4% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)19.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)21.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)20.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)7.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.44× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)11.2× · Pricier than median
P/B0.85× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)2.19× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)7.8× · Cheaper than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Quiñenco SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/QUINENCO
Frequently asked questions
Is Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4,385 CLP versus a price of 4,550 CLP, about 4% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of QUINENCO?
Our model-based fair value for Quiñenco SA is 4,385 CLP (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4,550 CLP.
What is the quality score of QUINENCO?
Quiñenco SA has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 4,385 CLP (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2,937 CLP, optimistic scenario 6,348 CLP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Quiñenco SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 4,385 CLP, about 4% lower versus a price of 4,550 CLP (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 2,937 CLP, optimistic scenario 6,348 CLP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO)?
Quiñenco SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.4T CLP (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Quiñenco SA pay a dividend?
Quiñenco SA currently shows a dividend yield of 7.67% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Quiñenco SA pays a dividend of 349.04 CLP per share a year, a dividend yield of 7.7%. The last ex-dividend date was May 11, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2004. The payout ratio is 86.0% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 4.08 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Quiñenco SA would have to grow free cash flow by -7.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.6 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of QUINENCO use?
Our models discount Quiñenco SA at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.09, country premium for Chile. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Quiñenco SA that is -7.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Quiñenco SA grew +9.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -7.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Quiñenco SA (-7.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 31.28 %: that much free cash flow Quiñenco SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Quiñenco SA it is 4,385 CLP per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of 4,550 CLP. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Quiñenco SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, QUINENCO trades above its calculated fair value: price 4,550 CLP, fair value 4,385 CLP, a gap of about −4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of QUINENCO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4,550 CLP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (4,385 CLP). For Quiñenco SA the two are 165.41 CLP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Quiñenco SA worth?
The market values Quiñenco SA at about 7.6T CLP (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is 4,550 CLP; our models calculate a fair value of 4,385 CLP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about QUINENCO?
Our models span a range for Quiñenco SA: cautious scenario 2,937 CLP, base 4,385 CLP, optimistic 6,348 CLP per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price 4,550 CLP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of QUINENCO?
Quiñenco SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.2 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 4,385 CLP is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings: 8.4. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 20.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Quiñenco SA (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 10.0%, debt of 1.44 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is QUINENCO from its 52-week high?
Quiñenco SA trades at 4,550 CLP, about 8% below its 52-week high of 4,920 CLP and 23% above the low of 3,705 CLP (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 4,385 CLP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Quiñenco SA?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Reliance Industries Limited, Valero Energy Corporation, Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Quiñenco SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price 4,550 CLP, calculated fair value 4,385 CLP (−4%), Quality Score 58/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of QUINENCO calculated?
We run Quiñenco SA through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 4,385 CLP builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Quiñenco SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 4,550 CLP. Our model-based fair value is 4,385 CLP, about 4% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Quiñenco SA right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (2,937 CLP to 6,348 CLP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Quiñenco SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO)?
The market capitalisation of Quiñenco SA is 7.6T CLP (≈ $7.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Quiñenco SA is 0.90 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO)?
Earnings per share at Quiñenco SA are 405.75 CLP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO)?
The dividend yield of Quiñenco SA is 7.7% (payout 86.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO)?
The net margin of Quiñenco SA is 8.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Quiñenco SA is 10.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Quiñenco SA is 1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO)?
The operating margin of Quiñenco SA is 21.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO)?
Revenue at Quiñenco SA is growing +20.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Quiñenco SA (QUINENCO) carry?
The net debt of Quiñenco SA is 11.6T CLP (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 8, 2026