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RÁBA Jármuipari Holding (RABA) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HU · Market cap 31.0B HUF

RJ RÁBA Jármuipari Holding RABA · BUD
Price2,080 HUF
Fair Value2,177 HUF
Upside+4.7%
Quality51/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 5.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: Medium Range 1,520 HUF – 2,721 HUF Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from 3,993 HUF to 2,177 HUF (−45.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −14.0% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from 1,520 HUF (bear) to 2,721 HUF (bull), base 2,177 HUF. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 51/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

4,380 HUF 1,025 HUF Fair Value 2,177 HUF Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1,025 HUF – 4,380 HUF · fair‑value band 1,520 HUF – 2,721 HUF · the 2,080 HUF price screens below the 2,177 HUF fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

RÁBA Jármuipari Holding (RABA) currently trades at 2,080 HUF, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,177 HUF, implying the stock looks roughly 4.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, RÁBA Jármuipari Holding generated revenue of 53.0B HUF at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue declined 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.6%. Net debt stands at 9.4B HUF. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1,520 HUF (bear case) to 2,721 HUF (bull case); at 2,080 HUF, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 5%, RABA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 1,814 HUF 2,079 HUF 4,042 HUF 76
Gordon GGM 185.30 HUF 202.82 HUF 229.51 HUF 70
Growth-Adj P/E 2,565 HUF 3,664 HUF 4,763 HUF 68
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 420.05 HUF 707.25 HUF 1,239 HUF 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1,499 HUF 1,833 HUF 2,062 HUF 54
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 185.30 HUF 202.82 HUF 229.51 HUF 70
DDM Multi-Stage 185.30 HUF 232.48 HUF 298.62 HUF 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 3,638 HUF 4,851 HUF 6,064 HUF 63
P/S Multiple 2,811 HUF 3,749 HUF 4,686 HUF 58
P/B Multiple 2,811 HUF 3,749 HUF 4,686 HUF 55
EV/EBITDA 1,071 HUF 1,532 HUF 1,993 HUF 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1,010 HUF 1,354 HUF 2,021 HUF 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1,814 HUF 2,079 HUF 4,042 HUF 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 2,565 HUF 3,664 HUF 4,763 HUF 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (3,749 HUF) versus Dividend Discount (202.82 HUF). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 53.0B HUF
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.3%
Net margin 5.1%
Return on equity 10.6%
Free cash flow −2.0B HUF FY2025
P/E ratio 11.4
More key figures
Operating margin 0.5%
EPS (TTM) 203.58 HUF
EPS growth (YoY) +933%
Net debt 9.4B HUF FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

RÁBA Jármuipari Holding Nyrt. manufactures and sells vehicle components in Hungary, Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, Asia, and Australia. It operates through four segments: Axle, Vehicles, Parts, and Gear Units segments.

Full company description

RÁBA Jármuipari Holding Nyrt. manufactures and sells vehicle components in Hungary, Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, Asia, and Australia. It operates through four segments: Axle, Vehicles, Parts, and Gear Units segments. The Axle segment manufactures and sells axles, axle components, and axle parts for commercial utility vehicles, agricultural power machines, and earthwork machines. The Vehicle segment engages in the manufacture of truck and bus chassis and related components for special vehicles, as well as the assembly and sale of vehicles. The Parts segment manufactures and sells vehicle parts, seat frames, pressed components and truck chassis, and sewing of seat covers for passenger cars. The Gear Unit segment includes gearboxes for commercial vehicles, agricultural power machines, and related assembled parts; and agricultural parts. The company offers vehicle frame structures, chassis and other welded structural components, vehicle bodies and accessories, and assembled units and parts; commercial vehicle axles, passenger car, and engine area parts; and technical services. It also exports its products. RÁBA Jármuipari Holding Nyrt. was founded in 1896 and is based in Gyor, Hungary. RÁBA Jármuipari Holding Nyrt. operates as a subsidiary of N7 Holding Nemzeti Védelmi Ipari Innovációs Zártköruen Muködo Részvénytársaság.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

RÁBA Jármuipari Holding reported revenue of 54.2B HUF in FY2025 versus 45.8B HUF in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was 2.9B HUF in FY2025, compounding +23.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 36/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
54.2B HUF
Latest YoY
−6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.6%
Revenue +4.3%/yr
FY21 45.8B HUF
FY22 63.8B HUF
FY23 72.8B HUF
FY24 57.7B HUF
FY25 54.2B HUF
Net income +23.1%/yr
FY21 1.3B HUF
FY22 1.6B HUF
FY23 1.2B HUF
FY24 43.0M HUF
FY25 2.9B HUF

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "RÁBA Jármuipari Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RABA

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.40× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.15× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.58× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 40 · sector 16
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 42 · sector 26
HEALTH 80 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is RÁBA Jármuipari Holding (RABA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2,177 HUF versus a price of 2,080 HUF, about +5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of RABA?
Our model-based fair value for RÁBA Jármuipari Holding is 2,177 HUF (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2,080 HUF.
What is the quality score of RABA?
RÁBA Jármuipari Holding has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of RÁBA Jármuipari Holding (RABA)?
RÁBA Jármuipari Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 53.0B HUF (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RABA?
The net profit margin of RÁBA Jármuipari Holding is about 5.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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