Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk IDR 554, price IDR 384, upside +44.2%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 258.07 IDR – 559.07 IDR · fair‑value band 450.80 IDR – 664.55 IDR · the 384.00 IDR price screens below the 553.59 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk operates a chain of department stores in Indonesia. It operates through Fashion and Accessories; and Groceries segments. The company sells clothes, accessories, bags, shoes, cosmetics, and daily needs for men, women, and children through its department stores and supermarkets.
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PT Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk operates a chain of department stores in Indonesia. It operates through Fashion and Accessories; and Groceries segments. The company sells clothes, accessories, bags, shoes, cosmetics, and daily needs for men, women, and children through its department stores and supermarkets. It offers its products under the EMBA CLASSIC, S135, M231, EMBA JEANS, BENHILL, TWIST, PINGU, GABRIELLE, LARUSSO, HOMYPED LADIES, FLADEO, and CARVIL brands. The company was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Ramayana Makmursentosa.
Stock analysis
Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS) currently trades at 384.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 553.59 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 30.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 718.53 IDR per share, and 17 of the 24 models we run sit above the 384.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 273.58 IDR, and 7 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 450.80 IDR (bear) to 664.55 IDR (bull), the price of 384.00 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk reported revenue of 2.4T IDR in FY2025 versus 2.6T IDR in FY2021, a compound −2.3%/yr. Reported net income was 265B IDR in FY2025, compounding +12.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.3T IDR (≈ $127M) · P/E ratio 9.5 · P/S ratio 1.06 · EPS (TTM) 40.53 IDR · Net margin 11.2% · Return on equity 6.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% · Operating margin 21.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 44%, RALS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 450.80 IDRFair Value 553.59 IDRBull 664.55 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (29.65 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.33/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.1% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−6.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6% vs −1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−5% → 3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 5.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−38.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −40.5% a year for the price.
Compare Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Department Stores · 119 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside+44% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Above median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)22% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−14% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)15.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.05× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
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Is Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 553.59 IDR versus a price of 384.00 IDR, about +44% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of RALS?
Our model-based fair value for Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk is 553.59 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 384.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of RALS?
Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 553.59 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 450.80 IDR, optimistic scenario 664.55 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 553.59 IDR, about +44% upside versus a price of 384.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 450.80 IDR, optimistic scenario 664.55 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS)?
Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by -38.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of RALS use?
Our models discount Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.42, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk that is -38.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk grew -1.3 % a year. The price currently implies -38.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (-38.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.24 %: that much free cash flow Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk it is 553.59 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 384.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, RALS trades below its calculated fair value: price 384.00 IDR, fair value 553.59 IDR, a gap of about +44% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RALS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (384.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (553.59 IDR). For Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk the two are 169.59 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk worth?
The market values Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk at about 2.3T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 384.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 553.59 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RALS?
Our models span a range for Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk: cautious scenario 450.80 IDR, base 553.59 IDR, optimistic 664.55 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 384.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of RALS?
Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 553.59 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.2, P/B 0.7, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 2.7.
What is the PEG ratio of RALS?
The PEG ratio of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk is 1.19 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.4%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RALS from its 52-week high?
Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk trades at 384.00 IDR, about 18% below its 52-week high of 471.11 IDR and 11% above the low of 346.67 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 553.59 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Falabella S.A, Dillard's, Inc, 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings, Cencosud S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 384.00 IDR, calculated fair value 553.59 IDR (+44%), Quality Score 58/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RALS calculated?
We run Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 553.59 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk currently trades 44 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 384.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 553.59 IDR, about +44% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (450.80 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS) come from?
Earnings per share at Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk grew −0.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −6.8 %, EBIT margin +3.6 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS)?
The market capitalisation of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk is 2.3T IDR (≈ $127M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk is 1.06 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS)?
Earnings per share at Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk are 40.53 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS)?
The net margin of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk is 11.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS)?
The operating margin of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk is 21.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS)?
Revenue at Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk is growing −14.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS)?
Earnings per share at Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk are growing −11.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS) hold?
Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk holds more cash than debt, 1.0T IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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