PT Raharja Energi Cepu Tbk (RATU) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · ID · Market cap 11.8T IDR
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 20 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 27, 2026, revised from 0.0400 IDR to 752.32 IDR (+1,880,700.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −16.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but trading 458% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1,242 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range (563.77 IDR to 1,242 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (20 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
20‑month range 1,412 IDR – 12,011 IDR · fair‑value band 563.77 IDR – 1,242 IDR · the 4,200 IDR price screens above the 752.32 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
PT Raharja Energi Cepu Tbk (RATU) currently trades at 4,200 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 752.32 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 82.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Raharja Energi Cepu Tbk generated revenue of 47.1M IDR at a net margin of 28.5%. Revenue declined 16.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.9%. Net debt stands at 11.6M IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 563.77 IDR (bear case) to 1,242 IDR (bull case); at 4,200 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -82%, RATU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 20 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (1,354 IDR) versus Asset-Based (150.46 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 6
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PT Raharja Energi Cepu Tbk, through its subsidiary, PT Raharja Energi Tanjung Jabung, engages in the mining and excavation of oil and gas business in Indonesia. The company holds a 2.2423% participating interest in the Cepu block; and 8% participating interest in the Jabung block located in the Jambi province.
Full company description
PT Raharja Energi Cepu Tbk, through its subsidiary, PT Raharja Energi Tanjung Jabung, engages in the mining and excavation of oil and gas business in Indonesia. The company holds a 2.2423% participating interest in the Cepu block; and 8% participating interest in the Jabung block located in the Jambi province. PT Raharja Energi Cepu Tbk was founded in 2006 and is based in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia. PT Raharja Energi Cepu Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Rukun Raharja Tbk.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Raharja Energi Cepu Tbk reported revenue of 49.3M IDR in FY2025 versus 0 IDR in FY2021. Reported net income was 15.3M IDR in FY2025, compounding +63.1%/yr from FY2021.
RATU screens 82% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 327 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥32.85 | ¥32.55 | -1% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $126.78 | $90.15 | -29% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | C$68.93 | C$44.78 | -35% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $153.05 | $130.19 | -15% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $58.55 | $30.06 | -49% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $210.02 | $105.24 | -50% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $44.86 | $27.06 | -40% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$32.55 | A$20.71 | -36% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $54.06 | $42.85 | -21% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $342.77 | $77.26 | -77% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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