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BRC Group (RILY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $350M

BG BRC Group logo BRC Group RILY · US
Price$7.18
Fair Value$13.68
Upside+90.5%
Quality62/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 50.8% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/10)
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: High Range $7.79 – $18.43 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price −0.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 91% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($7.79). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($7.79 to $18.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$70.31 $2.80 Fair Value $13.68 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.80 – $70.31 · fair‑value band $7.79 – $18.43 · the $7.18 price screens below the $13.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

BRC Group (RILY) currently trades at $7.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.68, implying the stock looks roughly 90.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, BRC Group generated revenue of $1.0B at a net margin of 50.8%. Revenue grew 113.4% year over year. Net debt stands at $1.2B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 0.6. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.79 (bear case) to $18.43 (bull case); at $7.18, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 151% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -15% fair-value upside, at 91%, RILY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $8.08 $14.56 $20.04 70
P/E Multiple $74.57 $99.43 $124.28 63
DDM Multi-Stage $8.08 $13.30 $15.55 61
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $64.26 $165.06 $352.10 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $52.01 $362.69 $508.98 54
Lynch FV $179.24 $256.06 $332.88 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $8.08 $14.56 $20.04 70
DDM Multi-Stage $8.08 $13.30 $15.55 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $74.57 $99.43 $124.28 63

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based ($256.06) versus Dividend Discount ($13.30). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +113%
Net margin 50.8%
Return on equity -3,385%
Free cash flow −$71.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 0.6
More key figures
Operating margin 40.2%
EPS (TTM) $14.55
EPS growth (YoY) +11,633%
Net debt $1.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 78
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 24
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 64
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

BRC Group Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides financial services in North America, Australia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and Latin America. The Capital Markets segment offers investment banking and institutional brokerage services; direct lending services to middle market companies; and equity research.

Full company description

BRC Group Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides financial services in North America, Australia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and Latin America. The Capital Markets segment offers investment banking and institutional brokerage services; direct lending services to middle market companies; and equity research. This segment is also involved in trading equity securities; institutional sales and trading; securities lending; proprietary trading; direct lending; and loan origination and underwriting. The Wealth Management segment provides retail brokerage, investment management, insurance, accounting and tax preparation services to individuals and families, small businesses, nonprofits, trusts, foundations, and endowments; and investment management, retirement planning, education planning, wealth transfer and trust coordination, and lending and liquidity solutions. The Lingo segment resells plain old telephone services (POTS), broadband data services, and managed security services, as well as cloud voice, POTS alternative, and business collaboration communication services. The magicJack segment offers non-interconnected voice-over-IP cloud-based communications services; and related devices and subscription services. The Marconi Wireless segment provides mobile phone voice, text, and data services and devices under the Credo Mobile brand. The UOL segment dial-up and digital subscriber line services under the NetZero and Juno brands; and paid and free e-mail subscription services. The Consumer Products segment designs, manufactures, and sells consumer and enterprise productivity products comprising laptops and tablet cases, backpacks, universal docking stations, and computer accessories. The company was formerly known as B. Riley Financial, Inc. and changed its name to BRC Group Holdings, Inc. in January 2026. BRC Group Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BRC Group reported revenue of $1.0B in FY2025 versus $1.6B in FY2021, a compound −9.8%/yr. Reported net income was $307M in FY2025, compounding −8.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.0B
Latest YoY
+77.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.1%
Revenue −9.8%/yr
FY21 $1.6B
FY22 $994M
FY23 $1.6B
FY24 $579M
FY25 $1.0B
Net income −8.8%/yr
FY21 $445M
FY22 −$160M
FY23 −$99.9M
FY24 −$764M
FY25 $307M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BRC Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RILY

Peer Group

Financial Conglomerates · 55 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +91% · Top 25%
Return on assets 29% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 51% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 40% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 113% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Financial Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.34× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 13
FUTURE 100 · sector 39
PAST 0 · sector 33
HEALTH 100 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Financial Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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Yuanta Financial Holding 2885 66.70 TWD 35.75 TWD -46%
China Galaxy Securities Co 601881 ¥12.94 ¥18.92 +46%
Guosen Securities Co 002736 ¥10.34 ¥17.96 +74%
CNPC Capital Company 000617 ¥6.80 ¥5.78 -15%
Aditya Birla Capital Limited ABCAPITAL ₹399.25 ₹176.15 -56%
Freedom Holding FRHC $152.69 $32.75 -79%
Voya Financial, Inc VOYA $98.49 $76.48 -22%
Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings 000987 ¥7.77 ¥9.27 +19%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BRC Group (RILY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.68 versus a price of $7.18, about +91% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of RILY?
Our model-based fair value for BRC Group is $13.68 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.18.
What is the quality score of RILY?
BRC Group has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of BRC Group (RILY)?
BRC Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RILY?
The net profit margin of BRC Group is about 50.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 50.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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