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Ravi Kumar Distilleries Limited (RKDL) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹453M

RK Ravi Kumar Distilleries Limited RKDL · NSE
Price₹18.36
Fair Value₹2.61
Upside-85.8%
Quality43/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 21/100
Evidence: High Range ₹1.83 – ₹3.39 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price −2.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹3.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹1.83 to ₹3.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹38.55 ₹7.10 Fair Value ₹2.61 Dec 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹7.10 – ₹38.55 · fair‑value band ₹1.83 – ₹3.39 · the ₹18.36 price screens above the ₹2.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Ravi Kumar Distilleries Limited (RKDL) currently trades at ₹18.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹2.61, implying the stock looks roughly 85.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ravi Kumar Distilleries Limited generated revenue of ₹203M at a net margin of 0.7%. Revenue declined 37.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.3%. Net debt stands at ₹457M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹1.83 (bear case) to ₹3.39 (bull case); at ₹18.36, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -86%, RKDL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (₹0.9700 to ₹11.74). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹3.01 ₹5.42 ₹9.21 80
Residual Income ₹11.01 ₹9.81 ₹6.18 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹2.87 ₹5.26 ₹10.27 74
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹3.23 ₹4.86 ₹9.72 38
5Y Revenue Exit ₹2.58 ₹4.56 ₹8.70 39
5Y P/E Exit ₹1.45 ₹2.83 ₹4.58 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹2.72 ₹5.99 ₹7.96 36
10Y P/E Exit ₹2.06 ₹3.77 ₹6.28 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹0.3900 ₹2.70 ₹3.79 54
Lynch FV ₹1.40 ₹2.00 ₹2.59 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹1.40 ₹2.00 ₹2.59 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹0.9000 ₹1.20 ₹1.50 63
P/S Multiple ₹0.7300 ₹0.9700 ₹1.21 58
P/B Multiple ₹0.7300 ₹0.9700 ₹1.21 55
EV/Revenue ₹2.06 ₹3.07 ₹4.08 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹8.76 ₹11.74 ₹17.52 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹3.01 ₹5.42 ₹9.21 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹2.87 ₹5.26 ₹10.27 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹11.01 ₹9.81 ₹6.18 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹1.83 ₹2.61 ₹3.39 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (₹11.74) versus Multiples (₹0.9700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹203M
Revenue growth (YoY) -37.4%
Net margin 0.7%
Return on equity 0.3%
Free cash flow ₹6.2M FY2026
P/E ratio 306.0
More key figures
Operating margin 8.9%
EPS (TTM) ₹0.0600
Net debt ₹457M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 14
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 21
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ravi Kumar Distilleries Limited engages in the manufacture, sale, and trading of Indian made foreign liquors in India. The company manufactures and trades whisky, brandy, rum, gin, and vodka under the Capricorn, Jean Brothers, Black Berry, 2Barrels, Green Magic, Chevalier, and Once More brands.

Full company description

Ravi Kumar Distilleries Limited engages in the manufacture, sale, and trading of Indian made foreign liquors in India. The company manufactures and trades whisky, brandy, rum, gin, and vodka under the Capricorn, Jean Brothers, Black Berry, 2Barrels, Green Magic, Chevalier, and Once More brands. It also designs and erects liquor plants on turnkey basis; supplies liquor concentrates and provides consultation for sourcing and supplying of liquor, beer, wine, etc. Ravi Kumar Distilleries Limited was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Puducherry, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Ravi Kumar Distilleries Limited reported revenue of ₹203M in FY2026 versus ₹105M in FY2022, a compound +17.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.4M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 33/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹203M
Latest YoY
−45.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.0%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.2%
Revenue +17.9%/yr
FY22 ₹105M
FY23 ₹279M
FY24 ₹284M
FY25 ₹372M
FY26 ₹203M
Net income
FY22 −₹132M
FY23 −₹22.8M
FY24 −₹19.4M
FY25 ₹1.3M
FY26 ₹1.4M

RKDL screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Kweichow Moutai Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ravi Kumar Distilleries Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RKDL

Peer Group

Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 97 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth -37% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 306.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.08× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.24× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 1 · sector 17
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 61

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 ¥1,343 ¥1,238 -8%
Diageo plc DEO $93.96 $73.29 -22%
Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 ¥75.28 ¥48.44 -36%
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 ¥122.32 ¥185.80 +52%
Pernod Ricard SA RI €67.96 €76.13 +12%
Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 ¥91.09 ¥149.17 +64%
Brown-Forman Corporation BFA $28.40 $27.69 -3%
United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR ₹1,515 ₹381.12 -75%
Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 0.4700 SGD 0.7000 SGD +49%
Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 ¥41.62 ¥27.82 -33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ravi Kumar Distilleries Limited (RKDL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹2.61 versus a price of ₹18.36, about −86% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RKDL?
Our model-based fair value for Ravi Kumar Distilleries Limited is ₹2.61 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹18.36.
What is the quality score of RKDL?
Ravi Kumar Distilleries Limited has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ravi Kumar Distilleries Limited (RKDL)?
Ravi Kumar Distilleries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹203M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RKDL?
The net profit margin of Ravi Kumar Distilleries Limited is about 0.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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