Ramkrishna Forgings Limited (RKFORGE) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹105B
Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated today
Share price +32.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹103.68). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹112.52 – ₹1,043 · fair‑value band ₹62.21 – ₹103.68 · the ₹755.00 price screens above the ₹82.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.
Analysis
Ramkrishna Forgings Limited (RKFORGE) currently trades at ₹755.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹82.94, implying the stock looks roughly 89.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ramkrishna Forgings Limited generated revenue of ₹42.4B at a net margin of 1.7%. Revenue grew 28.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.3%. Net debt stands at ₹22.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹62.21 (bear case) to ₹103.68 (bull case); at ₹755.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -89%, RKFORGE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (₹121.27) versus Dividend Discount (₹16.03). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ramkrishna Forgings Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of forged components for automobiles, railway wagons and coaches, and engineering parts in India and internationally. It operates in two segments, Forging Components and Others.
Full company description
Ramkrishna Forgings Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of forged components for automobiles, railway wagons and coaches, and engineering parts in India and internationally. It operates in two segments, Forging Components and Others. The company's products portfolio includes beam, knuckle, steering arm, tie-rod-arm, sector shaft, front hub, crankshaft, camshaft, connecting rod, piston, pitman arm, BC lever assembly, mounting bracket, yoke, UJ cross, transmission gear and shaft, crown wheel, pinion, differential case and case cover, differential gear and pinion, spindle, rear axle shaft, spider, helical gear, tube flange and shaft, and tube yoke products. It also offers bucket, backhoe bucket, shovel, track line and roller, bucket tooth, pivot pin, prop shaft, and bearing centre products; and wing nut, valve bonet, T-bolt socket joint, and tooth crusher hammer products. In addition, the company provides bogie frame and bolster, screw coupling, hanger, draw gear assembly, anti roll bar assembly, control arm support, center pivot pin, centering disc, traction center, and guide products. Further, it offers tractor-trailer products, such as trailer axle, air and mechanical suspension, landing leg, and bolton and weldable king pin products; as well as engages in the sanitization and cargo, and tour and travel businesses. The company offers its products for various industries and sectors, including automotive, earth moving and mining, farm equipment, power, construction, general engineering, railways, and oil and gas, as well as for original equipment manufacturers. Ramkrishna Forgings Limited was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Kolkata, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Ramkrishna Forgings Limited reported revenue of ₹42.4B in FY2026 versus ₹23.2B in FY2022, a compound +16.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹718M in FY2026, compounding −22.4%/yr from FY2022.
RKFORGE screens 89% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 247 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $528.64 | $101.35 | -81% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $230.43 | $35.74 | -84% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $68.28 | $59.33 | -13% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥8.87 | ¥3.39 | -62% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥27.08 | ¥8.34 | -69% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥104.36 | ¥44.23 | -58% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥52.92 | ¥24.43 | -54% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥48.40 | ¥8.07 | -83% |
| Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co 301196 | ¥86.20 | ¥42.71 | -50% |
| SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUP CO.,LTD researches, 601399 | ¥3.32 | ¥1.35 | -59% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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