Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors

Rapid7 Inc (RPD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Rapid7 Inc $14.14, price $13.09, upside +8.0%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? Yes
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Technology · US · ISIN US7534221046

Some data Sep 23, 2026

Rapid7 Inc

RPD · US

Low PriorityQuality growthFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $14.14 · Fairly valued (+8%)

!Quality 50/100

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +15.9 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 2.6% net margin (TTM)

!High debt · generates free cash flow

!Trails peers (5/14)

!Narrow moat 42/100

!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

26 models, one by oneBear $8.90 to bull $18.37 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 50/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.05 – $140.13 · fair‑value band $8.90 – $18.37 · the $13.09 price screens below the $14.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Rapid7, Inc. provides cybersecurity software and services under the Rapid7, Nexpose, and Metasploit brand names.

Rapid7, Inc. provides cybersecurity software and services under the Rapid7, Nexpose, and Metasploit brand names. It offers Rapid7 Agent, a software-based agent that is used on assets across on-premises and cloud environments to centralize and monitor data on company's platform; Rapid7 Network Sensor that analyzes raw end-to-end network traffic to increase visibility into user activity, pinpoint real threats, and investigations; Rapid7 Cloud Event Data Harvesting that offers visibility into changes made to cloud resources; and third-party integrations and ecosystem, as well as orchestration and automation solutions. It also offers various platforms, including Rapid7 managed threat complete consisting of managed detection response that delivers end-to-end threat detection and response; Incident Command, a security information and event management, and extended detection and response solution; Incident Response Services to prepare and respond to potential breaches; Threat Intelligence; Managed Digital Risk Protection; Exposure Command, an exposure management to provide attack surface visibility; and Command Essentials to provide strong security for workloads leveraging real-time visibility, identity analysis, and automated remediation. In addition, it provides Surface Command, a Cyber Asset Attack Service Management solution to detect and prioritize security issues from endpoint to cloud; Vector Command, a continuous red-teaming service that validates the external attack surface exposures and tests defenses; Rapid7 Cloud Security, a cloud risk and compliance management solution; Rapid7 Application Security, a dynamic application security testing tool; and Rapid7 Vulnerability Management, a vulnerability management solution that provides visibility across on-premise and remote endpoints for security. Further, it offers offloads day-to-day, advisory, and professional services. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

Stock analysis

Rapid7 Inc (RPD) currently trades at $13.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.14, implying the stock looks roughly 7.4% fairly valued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $16.59 per share, and 9 of the 20 models we run sit above the $13.09 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.55, and 11 of the 20 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $8.90 (bear) to $18.37 (bull), the price of $13.09 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Rapid7 Inc reported revenue of $860M in FY2025 versus $535M in FY2021, a compound +12.6%/yr. Reported net income was $23.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $851M · P/E ratio 37.4 · P/S ratio 1.02 · EPS (TTM) $0.3500 · Net margin 2.7% · Return on equity 19.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.0% · Operating margin 0.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 159% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 8%, RPD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $8.90 Fair Value $14.14 Bull $18.37

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2560 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF $20.60 $34.86 $76.78 75

Growth DCF $18.73 $37.76 $72.44 74

5Y EBITDA Exit $7.62 $17.91 $37.02 69

All 20 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF $20.60 $34.86 $76.78 75

Owner Earnings $3.01 $16.59 $41.81 66

5Y Revenue Exit $1.06 $4.20 $9.86 64

5Y EBITDA Exit $7.62 $17.91 $37.02 69

5Y P/E Exit $4.84 $15.15 $27.82 66

10Y Revenue Exit $7.36 $15.56 $19.74 66

10Y EBITDA Exit $11.71 $27.61 $54.97 64

10Y P/E Exit $9.88 $22.50 $42.48 60

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd $2.38 $16.59 $23.28 63

Lynch FV $5.51 $7.88 $10.24 61

PEG = 1.0 $5.51 $7.88 $10.24 57

Multiples

P/E Multiple $7.35 $9.80 $12.24 63

P/S Multiple $4.46 $5.95 $7.43 58

P/B Multiple $4.46 $5.95 $7.43 55

EV/EBITDA $1.85 $5.69 $9.53 62

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $1.16 $1.55 $2.32 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF $18.73 $37.76 $72.44 74

Rev-Margin DCF $1.06 $6.09 $13.53 65

Economic Profit

Residual Income $2.18 $2.69 $5.90 65

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E $8.28 $11.83 $15.37 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 40

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 40

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 84

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 11

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 79

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 30

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 67

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 28

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 49

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 95/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Revenue growth 1 year

+1.9%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+7.9%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+15.9%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +22.8% a year

Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+25.3%

’14

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’25

Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

−18.0% (2020) → 1.3% (2025)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year

not computed

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations

The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

−1.6%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.

−0.3%

Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.

After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.9% a year for the price and −2.7% for the forecasts.

Forecast 2026 (sales)−2.5%

Forecast 2027 (sales)−0.2%

Projected 2028 (sales)+0.1%

Projected 2029 (sales)+0.3%

Projected 2030 (sales)+0.6%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 377 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 50 · Below median

Fair Value upside +8% · Above median

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%

Return on assets 0% · Below median

Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 0% · Bottom 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 5.77× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 37.4× · Pricier than median

P/B 5.50× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.

P/S (TTM) 0.99× · Cheaper than median

P/FCF 5.9× · Cheaper than median

EV/EBITDA 26.2× · Pricier than median

PEG 0.37× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)44 · sector 18

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 49

PAST (return on equity)79 · sector 19

HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT	$498.00	$547.80	+10%
Oracle Corporation ORCL	$149.20	$117.84	−21%
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR	$184.99	$43.02	−77%
Palo Alto Networks, Inc PANW	$374.57	$114.50	−69%
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD	$250.06	$35.15	−86%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT	$174.26	$164.92	−5%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS	$409.24	$250.04	−39%
Block, Inc XYZ	$77.53	$101.29	+31%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV	$86.76	$71.79	−17%
NetApp, Inc NTAP	$192.91	$157.18	−19%

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Rapid7 Inc · Fair Value
$14.14 +7%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RPD" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Rapid7 Inc · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">$14.14</b> <span style="color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+7%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rapid7 Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RPD

Frequently asked questions

Is Rapid7 Inc (RPD) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.14 versus a price of $13.09, about +8% upside (fairly valued).

What is the fair value of RPD?

Our model-based fair value for Rapid7 Inc is $14.14 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $13.09.

What is the quality score of RPD?

Rapid7 Inc has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Rapid7 Inc (RPD)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $14.14 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.90, optimistic scenario $18.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Rapid7 Inc stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $14.14, about +8% upside versus a price of $13.09 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $8.90, optimistic scenario $18.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Rapid7 Inc (RPD)?

Rapid7 Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $859M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).

What growth is priced into Rapid7 Inc (RPD)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Rapid7 Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -1.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of RPD use?

Our models discount Rapid7 Inc at 11.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.02, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Rapid7 Inc that is -1.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Rapid7 Inc (RPD) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Rapid7 Inc grew +15.9 % a year. The price currently implies -1.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of Rapid7 Inc (RPD) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Rapid7 Inc (-1.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of Rapid7 Inc (RPD)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.99 %: that much free cash flow Rapid7 Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Rapid7 Inc (RPD)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Rapid7 Inc it is $14.14 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $13.09. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Rapid7 Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 23, 2026, RPD trades below its calculated fair value: price $13.09, fair value $14.14, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of RPD?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($13.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($14.14). For Rapid7 Inc the two are $1.05 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Rapid7 Inc worth?

The market values Rapid7 Inc at about $851M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $13.09; our models calculate a fair value of $14.14 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RPD?

Our models span a range for Rapid7 Inc: cautious scenario $8.90, base $14.14, optimistic $18.37 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $13.09). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of RPD?

Rapid7 Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $14.14 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.4, P/B 5.5, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 26.2.

What is the PEG ratio of RPD?

The PEG ratio of Rapid7 Inc is 0.37 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.

How solid is the balance sheet of Rapid7 Inc (RPD)?

Balance-sheet figures for Rapid7 Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 19.7%, debt of 5.77 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is RPD from its 52-week high?

Rapid7 Inc trades at $13.09, about 33% below its 52-week high of $19.65 and 159% above the low of $5.05 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $14.14 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Rapid7 Inc?

From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Rapid7 Inc stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $13.09, calculated fair value $14.14 (+8%), Quality Score 50/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of RPD calculated?

We run Rapid7 Inc through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $14.14, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Rapid7 Inc currently trades 8 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Rapid7 Inc (RPD)?

The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $13.09. Our model-based fair value is $14.14, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Rapid7 Inc right now?

The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($8.90 to $18.37) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Rapid7 Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Rapid7 Inc (RPD)?

The market capitalisation of Rapid7 Inc is $851M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Rapid7 Inc (RPD)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Rapid7 Inc is 1.02 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Rapid7 Inc (RPD)?

Earnings per share at Rapid7 Inc are $0.3500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of Rapid7 Inc (RPD)?

The net margin of Rapid7 Inc is 2.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Rapid7 Inc (RPD)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Rapid7 Inc is 19.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Rapid7 Inc (RPD)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Rapid7 Inc is −4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Rapid7 Inc (RPD)?

The operating margin of Rapid7 Inc is 0.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Rapid7 Inc (RPD)?

Revenue at Rapid7 Inc is growing −0.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Rapid7 Inc (RPD)?

Earnings per share at Rapid7 Inc are growing −43.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net debt does Rapid7 Inc (RPD) carry?

The net debt of Rapid7 Inc is $782M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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