Rapid7, Inc (RPD) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $450M
Rapid7, Inc
RPD · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $6.95 to $5.95 (−14.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 49% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.43). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.05 – $140.13 · fair‑value band $4.46 – $7.43 · the $11.57 price screens above the $5.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Rapid7, Inc (RPD) currently trades at $11.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.95, implying the stock looks roughly 48.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Rapid7, Inc generated revenue of $859M at a net margin of 2.6%. Revenue declined 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.7%. Net debt stands at $782M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $4.46 (bear case) to $7.43 (bull case); at $11.57, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 133% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -49%, RPD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($14.53) versus Dividend Discount ($1.49). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Rapid7, Inc. provides cybersecurity software and services under the Rapid7, Nexpose, and Metasploit brand names. It offers Rapid7 Agent, a software-based agent that is used on assets across on-premises and cloud environments to centralize and monitor data on company's platform; Rapid7 Network Sensor that analyzes raw end-to-end network traffic to increase …
Full company description
Rapid7, Inc. provides cybersecurity software and services under the Rapid7, Nexpose, and Metasploit brand names. It offers Rapid7 Agent, a software-based agent that is used on assets across on-premises and cloud environments to centralize and monitor data on company's platform; Rapid7 Network Sensor that analyzes raw end-to-end network traffic to increase visibility into user activity, pinpoint real threats, and investigations; Rapid7 Cloud Event Data Harvesting that offers visibility into changes made to cloud resources; and third-party integrations and ecosystem, as well as orchestration and automation solutions. It also offers various platforms, including Rapid7 managed threat complete consisting of managed detection response that delivers end-to-end threat detection and response; Incident Command, a security information and event management, and extended detection and response solution; Incident Response Services to prepare and respond to potential breaches; Threat Intelligence; Managed Digital Risk Protection; Exposure Command, an exposure management to provide attack surface visibility; and Command Essentials to provide strong security for workloads leveraging real-time visibility, identity analysis, and automated remediation. In addition, it provides Surface Command, a Cyber Asset Attack Service Management solution to detect and prioritize security issues from endpoint to cloud; Vector Command, a continuous red-teaming service that validates the external attack surface exposures and tests defenses; Rapid7 Cloud Security, a cloud risk and compliance management solution; Rapid7 Application Security, a dynamic application security testing tool; and Rapid7 Vulnerability Management, a vulnerability management solution that provides visibility across on-premise and remote endpoints for security. Further, it offers offloads day-to-day, advisory, and professional services. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Rapid7, Inc reported revenue of $860M in FY2025 versus $535M in FY2021, a compound +12.6%/yr. Reported net income was $23.4M in FY2025.
RPD screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Stay Ahead of the Game With Rapid7 (RPD) Q2 Earnings: Wall Street's Insights on Key Metrics
- Rapid7 (RPD) Stock Draws Fresh Price Target Split As Fair Value Lifts Slightly
- Rapid7 Becomes First Major Security Operations Platform to Unite SecOps and GRC
- Rapid7 (RPD) Stock Trades Down, Here Is Why
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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