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Rayong Wire Industries Public Company (RWI) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · TH · Market cap 146M THB

RW Rayong Wire Industries Public Company RWI · BK
Price0.1600 THB
Fair Value0.4600 THB
Upside+187.5%
Quality51/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -25.9% net margin
generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Low Range 0.3500 THB – 0.5600 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −5.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 188% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.3500 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

2.50 THB 0.1500 THB Fair Value 0.4600 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.1500 THB – 2.50 THB · fair‑value band 0.3500 THB – 0.5600 THB · the 0.1600 THB price screens below the 0.4600 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Rayong Wire Industries Public Company (RWI) currently trades at 0.1600 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.4600 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 187.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Rayong Wire Industries Public Company generated revenue of 472M THB at a net margin of -25.6%. Revenue declined 25.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 89.9M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.3500 THB (bear case) to 0.5600 THB (bull case); at 0.1600 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 188%, RWI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.5900 THB 0.6400 THB 0.7100 THB 72
Rev-Margin DCF 0.6000 THB 0.7000 THB 0.8200 THB 67
NCAV (Graham) 0.4800 THB 0.6500 THB 0.9700 THB 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.5900 THB 0.6400 THB 0.7200 THB 38
5Y Revenue Exit 0.6000 THB 0.7000 THB 0.8300 THB 39
10Y Revenue Exit 0.5900 THB 0.6500 THB 0.7100 THB 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue 0.6400 THB 0.7400 THB 0.8500 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.4800 THB 0.6500 THB 0.9700 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.5900 THB 0.6400 THB 0.7100 THB 72
Rev-Margin DCF 0.6000 THB 0.7000 THB 0.8200 THB 67

Widest divergence: Multiples (0.7400 THB) versus Growth DCF (0.6400 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 454M THB
Revenue growth (YoY) -14.9%
Net margin -25.9%
Return on equity -13.0%
Free cash flow 25.2M THB FY2025
Operating margin -7.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.1300 THB
EPS growth (YoY) +530%
Net cash 89.9M THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Rayong Wire Industries Public Company Limited engages in the manufacturing and distribution of prestressed concrete wire, prestressed concrete strand wire, and welding wire in Thailand. The company offers pre-stressed concrete wires for use in the production of piles, electricity poles, finished floor slabs, and concrete railroad tiles.

Full company description

Rayong Wire Industries Public Company Limited engages in the manufacturing and distribution of prestressed concrete wire, prestressed concrete strand wire, and welding wire in Thailand. The company offers pre-stressed concrete wires for use in the production of piles, electricity poles, finished floor slabs, and concrete railroad tiles. It also provides pre-stressed concrete strand wires that are used in construction works, including bridge beams, elevated roads, large-sized piles, and silos. In addition, the company offers hard drawn wires for use in mattress, auto parts, wire mesh, and spring industries; low carbon steel wires, which are used in piling industry, electricity posts, and drains; and wire mesh products used in the construction of roads, buildings, and finished walls. Rayong Wire Industries Public Company Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Rayong, Thailand. Rayong Wire Industries Public Company Limited is a subsidiary of Capital Engineering Network Public Company Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Rayong Wire Industries Public Company reported revenue of 466M THB in FY2025 versus 879M THB in FY2021, a compound −14.7%/yr. Reported net income was −121M THB in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
466M THB
Latest YoY
−17.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−20.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.9%
Revenue −14.7%/yr
FY21 879M THB
FY22 941M THB
FY23 732M THB
FY24 563M THB
FY25 466M THB
Net income
FY21 180M THB
FY22 −222M THB
FY23 −111M THB
FY24 4.5M THB
FY25 −121M THB

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rayong Wire Industries Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RWI

Peer Group

Steel · 379 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside +188% · Top 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -26% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -15% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 19
FUTURE 0 · sector 4
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tata Steel Limited TTST $0.2010 $0.2000 -0%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,210 ARS +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Rayong Wire Industries Public Company (RWI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.4600 THB versus a price of 0.1600 THB, about +188% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of RWI?
Our model-based fair value for Rayong Wire Industries Public Company is 0.4600 THB (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.1600 THB.
What is the quality score of RWI?
Rayong Wire Industries Public Company has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Rayong Wire Industries Public Company (RWI)?
Rayong Wire Industries Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 472M THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RWI?
The net profit margin of Rayong Wire Industries Public Company is about -25.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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