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SAMUDERA SHIPPING LINE LTD (S56) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SG · Market cap 514M SGD

SS SAMUDERA SHIPPING LINE LTD S56 · SG
Price0.9400 SGD
Fair Value0.8575 SGD
Upside-8.8%
Quality65/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.96% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range 0.6405 SGD – 1.07 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 2.45 SGD to 0.8575 SGD (−65.0%) since Aug 9, 2026. Share price −1.6% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

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What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from 0.6405 SGD (bear) to 1.07 SGD (bull), base 0.8575 SGD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 65/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1.13 SGD 0.1350 SGD Fair Value 0.8575 SGD May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.1350 SGD – 1.13 SGD · fair‑value band 0.6405 SGD – 1.07 SGD · the 0.9400 SGD price screens above the 0.8575 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

SAMUDERA SHIPPING LINE LTD (S56) currently trades at 0.9400 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.8575 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 8.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, SAMUDERA SHIPPING LINE LTD generated revenue of 606M SGD at a net margin of 12.7%. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.5%. Net debt stands at 14.2M SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.6405 SGD (bear case) to 1.07 SGD (bull case); at 0.9400 SGD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at -9%, S56 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1.70 SGD 2.06 SGD 2.48 SGD 80
Residual Income 1.02 SGD 1.15 SGD 1.86 SGD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 1.70 SGD 2.30 SGD 2.93 SGD 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1.68 SGD 2.07 SGD 2.55 SGD 38
Owner Earnings 2.02 SGD 2.52 SGD 3.13 SGD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 1.70 SGD 2.28 SGD 2.99 SGD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 2.43 SGD 3.56 SGD 4.82 SGD 41
5Y P/E Exit 2.12 SGD 3.02 SGD 3.90 SGD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 1.65 SGD 2.13 SGD 2.71 SGD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 2.09 SGD 2.92 SGD 3.91 SGD 37
10Y P/E Exit 1.92 SGD 2.58 SGD 3.31 SGD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.9700 SGD 2.11 SGD 2.69 SGD 54
PEG = 1.0 0.3300 SGD 0.4700 SGD 0.6200 SGD 46
EPV 1.53 SGD 1.67 SGD 1.79 SGD 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 2.25 SGD 2.99 SGD 3.74 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 1.69 SGD 2.25 SGD 2.81 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 1.82 SGD 2.42 SGD 3.03 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 2.34 SGD 2.96 SGD 3.57 SGD 53
EV/EBITDA 3.34 SGD 4.29 SGD 5.25 SGD 54
EV/Revenue 1.81 SGD 2.37 SGD 2.94 SGD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.5800 SGD 0.7800 SGD 1.16 SGD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1.70 SGD 2.06 SGD 2.48 SGD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1.70 SGD 2.30 SGD 2.93 SGD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.02 SGD 1.15 SGD 1.86 SGD 76
ROIC Compounder 1.56 SGD 1.75 SGD 1.94 SGD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.66 SGD 2.38 SGD 3.09 SGD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (2.52 SGD) versus Asset-Based (0.7800 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 606M SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.6%
Net margin 12.7%
Return on equity 12.5%
Free cash flow 73.8M SGD FY2025
P/E ratio 5.2
More key figures
Operating margin 11.7%
EPS (TTM) 0.1800 SGD
Dividend yield 3.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -30.2%
Net debt 14.2M SGD FY2018

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Samudera Shipping Line Ltd owns and operates ocean-going ships in Southeast Asia, the Indian Sub-continent, the Far East, the Middle East, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Container Shipping, Bulk and Tanker, and Logistics.

Full company description

Samudera Shipping Line Ltd owns and operates ocean-going ships in Southeast Asia, the Indian Sub-continent, the Far East, the Middle East, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Container Shipping, Bulk and Tanker, and Logistics. The company provides feeder services between its hub ports and other spoke ports to main line operators; and liner services to traders and freight forwarders. It also offers transportation solutions for commodity producers and end-users, across the petrochemical, petroleum, and mining industries; agency services; freight and logistics, and other land-based cargo management services; and containerized feeder shipping services. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Singapore. Samudera Shipping Line Ltd is a subsidiary of PT Samudera Indonesia Tbk.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SAMUDERA SHIPPING LINE LTD reported revenue of 606M SGD in FY2025 versus 527M SGD in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was 76.7M SGD in FY2025, compounding −12.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
606M SGD
Latest YoY
+13.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.7%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.7%
Revenue +3.5%/yr
FY21 527M SGD
FY22 991M SGD
FY23 583M SGD
FY24 532M SGD
FY25 606M SGD
Net income −12.1%/yr
FY21 129M SGD
FY22 322M SGD
FY23 101M SGD
FY24 70.8M SGD
FY25 76.7M SGD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SAMUDERA SHIPPING LINE LTD Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/S56

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 233 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −9% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Below median
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.15× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.65× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.66× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 22 · sector 19
FUTURE 18 · sector 20
PAST 50 · sector 27
HEALTH 93 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 59 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,658 ₹1,041 -37%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,810 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥15.25 ¥49.90 +227%
HMM Co 011200 21,350 KRW 33,795 KRW +58%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹346.60 ₹126.31 -64%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 87.10 TWD 212.79 TWD +144%
PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk, a shipping company, TCPI 3,640 IDR 368.32 IDR -90%
Pan Ocean Co 028670 5,630 KRW 11,840 KRW +110%
Sociedad Matriz SAAM S.A SMSAAM 137.00 CLP 146.51 CLP +7%
PT Ancara Logistics Indonesia Tbk ALII 795.00 IDR 350.80 IDR -56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SAMUDERA SHIPPING LINE LTD (S56) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.8575 SGD versus a price of 0.9400 SGD, about −9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of S56?
Our model-based fair value for SAMUDERA SHIPPING LINE LTD is 0.8575 SGD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.9400 SGD.
What is the quality score of S56?
SAMUDERA SHIPPING LINE LTD has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SAMUDERA SHIPPING LINE LTD (S56)?
SAMUDERA SHIPPING LINE LTD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 606M SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of S56?
The net profit margin of SAMUDERA SHIPPING LINE LTD is about 12.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does SAMUDERA SHIPPING LINE LTD pay a dividend?
SAMUDERA SHIPPING LINE LTD currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.96% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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