Saab AB (SAAB-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 280B SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from kr 231.26 to kr 212.84 (−8.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +2.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range kr 452.43 – kr 728.48 · fair‑value band kr 152.46 – kr 273.21 · the kr 516.70 price screens above the kr 212.84 fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.
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Saab AB (SAAB-B) currently trades at kr 516.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 212.84, implying the stock looks roughly 58.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Saab AB generated revenue of 82.5B SEK at a net margin of 7.9%. Revenue grew 21.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.7%. Net debt stands at 15.2B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 152.46 (bear case) to kr 273.21 (bull case); at kr 516.70, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -59%, SAAB-B screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Saab AB (publ) provides products, services, and solutions for military defense, aviation, and civil security markets in Sweden, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Australia, and internationally. The company operates through Aeronautics, Dynamics, Surveillance, Kockums, and Combitech segments. The Aeronautics segment engages in the manufacture of aerial systems; development of military aviation technology; and conducting of studies of manned and unmanned aircraft for new systems and further development of existing products. Its Dynamics segment offers combat weapons, missile systems, systems for training and simulation, and signature management systems for armed forces in the civil and defense markets. The Surveillance segment provides airborne, ground-based and naval radar, electronic warfare, combat systems, and C4I solutions. Its Kockums segment develops, delivers, and maintains submarines with the Stirling system for air independent propulsion, surface combatants, …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Saab AB reported revenue of kr 79.1B in FY2025 versus kr 39.2B in FY2021, a compound +19.2%/yr. Reported net income was kr 6.3B in FY2025, compounding +34.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Saab receives order to equip the German Navy´s new frigates
- Volatus Aerospace to Showcase Multi-Domain Capabilities at MASS 2026
- Bombardier Statement
- NATO selects Saab's GlobalEye
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | $355.12 | $89.12 | -75% |
| RTX Corporation 5UR | €154.75 | €88.77 | -43% |
| Airbus SE 1AIR | €206.30 | €92.85 | -55% |
| The Boeing Company BA | C$37.56 | C$5.83 | -84% |
| Safran SA SAFRY | $94.69 | $58.09 | -39% |
| Rolls-Royce Holdings RRU | €14.22 | €11.22 | -21% |
| Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT | 8,857 MXN | 6,834 MXN | -23% |
| Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM | $249.49 | $63.69 | -74% |
| General Dynamics Corporation GD | 5,976 MXN | 5,200 MXN | -13% |
| Northrop Grumman Corporation NOCG34 | R$524.00 | R$78.85 | -85% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.