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Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 19, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) stock SEK 60.49, price SEK 127, upside -52.2%, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · SE · ISIN SE0000112724

SC Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) logo Broad data Oct 13, 2026

Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ)

SCA-B · ST

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 52% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Broad data
Quality 48/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +2.1 %/yr in SEK)
Thin margins · 9.7% net margin (TTM)
2.4% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Insider activity 45/100
Fair value kr 60.49 · Strongly overvalued (−52.2%)
Trails peers (5/15)
Narrow moat 37/100
⟳ Cyclical

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 186.00 kr 97.22 Fair Value kr 60.49 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 97.22 – kr 186.00 · fair‑value band kr 43.87 – kr 81.80 · the kr 126.50 price screens above the kr 60.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) operates in the forest business in Sweden, Germany, the United States, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, Asia, and internationally. It operates in five segments: Forest, Wood, Pulp, Containerboard, and Renewable Energy.

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The company offers various sawn wood products; wood solutions for industrial buildings comprising construction timber, outer panels, dimensionally planed timber, laths, base rafters, planks, and shaped timber products; wood solutions for merchants, including joists, battens, untreated and painted outer panels, as well as pressure-impregnated wood products; logistics services consisting of marine and land transportation services, such as forwarding services using RoRo vessels, container express, and road and rail; and wood pellets.

It also provides pulp products comprising bleached softwood kraft pulp and chemical thermomechanical pulp; packaging paper/kraftliner products for consumer durables, electronics, hazardous goods, industrial products, fruit and vegetables, and frozen food; refined and unrefined solid biofuels, and liquid biofuels; and green products, such as tall oil, turpentine, district heating, and green electricity.

In addition, the company engages in the management and harvesting of forest land, which includes the provision of hunting and fishing privileges; sourcing and transporting of timber; and wind power operations. It exports its products.

Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) was incorporated in 1915 and is headquartered in Sundsvall, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B) currently trades at kr 126.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 60.49, 52.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of kr 95.65 per share, and 1 of the 22 models we run sit above the kr 126.50 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at kr 9.22, and 21 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: kr 43.87 (bear) to kr 81.80 (bull), the price of kr 126.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) reported revenue of 20.4B SEK in FY2025 versus 18.8B SEK in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was 3.2B SEK in FY2025, compounding −14.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 88.8B SEK (≈ $9.0B) Mid · P/E ratio 39.0 · P/S ratio 3.88 · EPS (TTM) kr 3.16 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 9.7% · Return on equity 2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 24% fair-value upside, at −52%, SCA-B screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 43.87 Fair Value kr 60.49 Bull kr 81.80
Price kr 126.50 · Upside -52.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 0.1284 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income kr 108.86 kr 108.82 kr 111.78 75
FCF DCF kr 9.97 kr 21.81 kr 44.96 73
Owner Earnings kr 26.62 kr 45.73 kr 83.10 73
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 9.97 kr 21.81 kr 44.96 73
Owner Earnings kr 26.62 kr 45.73 kr 83.10 73
5Y Revenue Exit kr 10.35 kr 23.90 kr 43.63 68
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 18.65 kr 38.29 kr 64.31 71
5Y P/E Exit kr 24.36 kr 48.18 kr 76.57 68
10Y Revenue Exit kr 9.13 kr 19.50 kr 30.72 64
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 15.18 kr 28.68 kr 43.25 66
10Y P/E Exit kr 18.75 kr 34.99 kr 50.68 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 31.05 kr 37.94 kr 42.69 65
EPV kr 5.19 kr 9.22 kr 12.82 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 58.21 kr 77.61 kr 97.02 61
P/S Multiple kr 32.74 kr 43.65 kr 54.56 56
P/B Multiple kr 321.22 kr 428.29 kr 535.36 53
EV/EBIT kr 16.43 kr 28.06 kr 39.69 62
EV/EBITDA kr 29.24 kr 45.14 kr 61.04 65
EV/Revenue kr 11.78 kr 24.74 kr 37.69 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 71.38 kr 95.65 kr 142.76 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 11.42 kr 23.05 kr 44.11 73
Rev-Margin DCF kr 10.35 kr 24.51 kr 41.79 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 108.86 kr 108.82 kr 111.78 75
ROIC Compounder kr 5.19 kr 9.22 kr 12.82 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 41.47 kr 59.24 kr 77.01 66

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 25
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 39
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 53
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 72
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 94
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 56
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 71
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −15.9% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−9.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−11.6% vs −7.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 11%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 15.1%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+32.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +30.0% a year for the price and +1.7% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−1.6%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+5.8%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.9%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.4%

SCA-B screens overvalued: fair value 52% below the price. Compare with UPM-Kymmene Oyj →

Note from the team Oct 15, 2026
AI conclusion: The company's integrated forest-to-paper model provides self-sufficiency that shields margins from rising energy costs, yet commoditized operations result in thin margins and limited economic moat.
Main risk: Softer demand in paper products threatens to erode the margin protection provided by the integrated supply chain and recent price adjustments.
SCA runs a tightly integrated model from its own forests through to pulp, paper and logistics, delivering high self-sufficiency in wood, energy and transport. That structure tends to protect margins when energy costs climb for less integrated European rivals and containerboard prices rise. Our models still see the shares as overvalued. Will the margin lift from recent price adjustments and lower raw-material costs hold up against softer demand in paper products?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Paper & Paper Products · 120 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −52.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 2.2% · Below median
Return on assets 2.2% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 9.7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 3.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −1.4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.12× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 39.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.87× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 3.88× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow 73.9× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 31.1× · Priciest 25%
PEG 0.45× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)9 · sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)47 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 HK$5.22 HK$14.11 +171% vs SCA-B
PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk INKP 6,950 IDR 12,657 IDR +82% vs SCA-B
Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC 966.00 CLP 1,388 CLP +44% vs SCA-B
Xianhe Co 603733 ¥16.88 ¥21.06 +25% vs SCA-B
Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 ¥13.62 ¥16.93 +24% vs SCA-B
Semapa - Sociedade de Investimento e Gestão, SGPS, S.A SEM €19.34 €23.55 +22% vs SCA-B
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Limited 2314 HK$3.40 HK$2.64 −22% vs SCA-B
The Navigator Company NVG €3.08 €2.08 −33% vs SCA-B
UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM €25.19 €15.50 −38% vs SCA-B
Billerud AB BILL kr 81.05 kr 49.11 −39% vs SCA-B

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Frequently asked questions

Is Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 60.49 versus a price of kr 126.50, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SCA-B?
Our model-based fair value for Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) is kr 60.49 (as of Oct 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 126.50.
What is the quality score of SCA-B?
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 60.49 (as of Oct 13, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 43.87, optimistic scenario kr 81.80. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 60.49, about −52% upside versus a price of kr 126.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 43.87, optimistic scenario kr 81.80. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B)?
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 22.9B SEK (latest available figure, as of Oct 13, 2026).
Does Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) pay a dividend?
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) currently shows a dividend yield of 2.37% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) would have to grow free cash flow by +32.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.1 % per year. As of Oct 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SCA-B use?
Our models discount Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.38, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) that is +32.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) grew +2.1 % a year. The price currently implies +32.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (+32.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.35 %: that much free cash flow Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) it is kr 60.49 per share (as of Oct 13, 2026), against a price of kr 126.50. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 13, 2026, SCA-B trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 126.50, fair value kr 60.49, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SCA-B?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 126.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 60.49). For Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) the two are kr 66.01 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) worth?
The market values Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) at about 88.8B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Oct 13, 2026). Per share that is kr 126.50; our models calculate a fair value of kr 60.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SCA-B?
Our models span a range for Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ): cautious scenario kr 43.87, base kr 60.49, optimistic kr 81.80 per share (as of Oct 13, 2026, price kr 126.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SCA-B?
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 39.0 (as of Oct 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 60.49 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 16.4. Other multiples: PEG 0.5, P/B 0.9, P/S 3.9, EV/EBITDA 31.1.
What is the PEG ratio of SCA-B?
The PEG ratio of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) is 0.45 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 13, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B)?
Balance-sheet figures for Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (as of Oct 13, 2026): return on equity 2.2%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SCA-B from its 52-week high?
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) trades at kr 126.50, at its 52-week high of kr 126.50 and 30% above the low of kr 97.22 (as of Oct 19, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 60.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ)?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value UPM-Kymmene Oyj, Shandong Sunpaper Co, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited, The Navigator Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 13, 2026: price kr 126.50, calculated fair value kr 60.49 (−52%), Quality Score 48/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SCA-B calculated?
We run Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 60.49, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B)?
The closing price on Oct 19, 2026 was kr 126.50. Our model-based fair value is kr 60.49, about −52% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 81.80). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (kr 43.87 to kr 81.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B) come from?
Earnings per share at Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) grew −6.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −17.6 %, EBIT margin +8.8 %, tax rate +2.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ)

How large is the market capitalisation of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B)?
The market capitalisation of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) is 88.8B SEK (≈ $9.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) is 3.88 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B)?
Earnings per share at Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) are kr 3.16 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 39.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B)?
The dividend yield of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) is 2.4% (payout 94.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B)?
The net margin of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) is 9.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B)?
The operating margin of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B)?
Revenue at Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) is growing −1.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B)?
Earnings per share at Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) are growing −51.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-B) carry?
The net debt of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) is 13.0B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 10.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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