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São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações S.A (SCAR3) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · BR · Market cap R$737M

SC São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações S.A SCAR3 · SA
PriceR$13.12
Fair ValueR$14.63
Upside+11.5%
Quality33/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -29.5% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 14/100
Evidence: Medium Range R$12.73 – R$22.75 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price +5.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 12% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
  • Our model range runs from R$12.73 (bear) to R$22.75 (bull), base R$14.63. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 33/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R$27.50 R$7.53 Fair Value R$14.63 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$7.53 – R$27.50 · fair‑value band R$12.73 – R$22.75 · the R$13.12 price screens below the R$14.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações S.A (SCAR3) currently trades at R$13.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$14.63, implying the stock looks roughly 11.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações S.A generated revenue of R$284M at a net margin of -29.5%. Revenue declined 25.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.6%. Net debt stands at R$1.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$12.73 (bear case) to R$22.75 (bull case); at R$13.12, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at 12%, SCAR3 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM R$68.04 R$122.60 R$168.78 70
DDM Multi-Stage R$68.04 R$111.99 R$130.97 61
EV/EBITDA R$15.05 R$25.24 R$35.44 54
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$68.04 R$122.60 R$168.78 70
DDM Multi-Stage R$68.04 R$111.99 R$130.97 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT R$8.83 R$16.95 R$25.07 53
EV/EBITDA R$15.05 R$25.24 R$35.44 54
EV/Revenue R$3.66 R$9.42 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$9.30 R$12.47 R$18.61 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (R$111.99) versus Asset-Based (R$12.47). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$284M
Revenue growth (YoY) -25.2%
Net margin -29.5%
Return on equity -6.6%
Free cash flow −R$171M FY2025
Operating margin -4.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) R$-0.4500
EPS growth (YoY) +16.7%
Net debt R$1.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações S.A. operates as a real estate investment and management company in Brazil. The company is involved in management of own or third-party real estate developments, including shopping malls centers; purchase and sale of ready-made or under-construction residential and commercial properties; leasing of real estate; and …

Full company description

São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações S.A. operates as a real estate investment and management company in Brazil. The company is involved in management of own or third-party real estate developments, including shopping malls centers; purchase and sale of ready-made or under-construction residential and commercial properties; leasing of real estate; and operation of rotating parking. Its portfolio includes office buildings and convenience centers. São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações S.A. was incorporated in 1989 and is based in São Paulo, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações S.A reported revenue of R$320M in FY2025 versus R$288M in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was −R$64.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$320M
Latest YoY
−37.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.4%
Revenue +2.6%/yr
FY21 R$288M
FY22 R$385M
FY23 R$1.4B
FY24 R$509M
FY25 R$320M
Net income
FY21 R$30.4M
FY22 −R$82.9M
FY23 R$305M
FY24 −R$32.7M
FY25 −R$64.4M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SCAR3

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 520 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +12% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -30% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -25% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.84× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.14× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.51× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 49 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 16
HEALTH 58 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 223,000 VND 25,731 VND -88%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$44.76 HK$18.03 -60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$23.90 HK$18.75 -22%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,725 CLP 5,571 CLP +50%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.00 kr 75.55 -56%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,324 CLP 2,976 CLP +28%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 372.00 IDR 1,208 IDR +225%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,530 IDR 3,464 IDR -2%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 3,998 ARS +60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações S.A (SCAR3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$14.63 versus a price of R$13.12, about +12% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SCAR3?
Our model-based fair value for São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações S.A is R$14.63 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$13.12.
What is the quality score of SCAR3?
São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações S.A has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações S.A (SCAR3)?
São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$284M (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SCAR3?
The net profit margin of São Carlos Empreendimentos e Participações S.A is about -29.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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