Yunnan Copper Co (000878) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 43.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +11.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 47% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.92 – ¥29.08 · fair‑value band ¥6.84 – ¥11.40 · the ¥17.22 price screens above the ¥9.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Yunnan Copper Co (000878) currently trades at ¥17.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.12, implying the stock looks roughly 47.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Yunnan Copper Co generated revenue of 197B CNY at a net margin of 0.7%. Revenue grew 49.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.0%. Net debt stands at 24.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥6.84 (bear case) to ¥11.40 (bull case); at ¥17.22, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -47%, 000878 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥10.53) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.19). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Yunnan Copper Co.,Ltd engages in the copper exploration, mining, and smelting activities in China. It is also involved in extraction and processing of sulfur chemical, rare and precious metals. The company explores for gold, silver, lead, zinc, and other related mineral resources.
Full company description
Yunnan Copper Co.,Ltd engages in the copper exploration, mining, and smelting activities in China. It is also involved in extraction and processing of sulfur chemical, rare and precious metals. The company explores for gold, silver, lead, zinc, and other related mineral resources. It offers cathode copper, gold, silver, industrial sulfuric acid, and rare and dispersed metals such as molybdenum, platinum, palladium, selenium, and tellurium under the Tiefeng brand. In addition, it engages mining copper and other associated and related precious metal; import and export of goods and technologies, mineral products, and metal products. Further, the company is involved in selling of coal, coke, rubber products, chemical raw materials and products, plastic products and fuel oil; house rental, machinery, and equipment rental. Yunnan Copper Co.,Ltd was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Kunming, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Yunnan Copper Co reported revenue of ¥180B in FY2025 versus ¥127B in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.3B in FY2025, compounding +19.0%/yr from FY2021.
000878 screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Southern Copper Corporation →
Peer Group
Copper · 58 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Copper median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Copper Corporation SCCO | $175.66 | $86.74 | -51% |
| Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX | $61.52 | $22.81 | -63% |
| Lundin Mining Corporation LUN | C$34.86 | C$18.67 | -46% |
| Jiangxi Copper Company 600362 | ¥39.03 | ¥35.19 | -10% |
| Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630 | ¥5.79 | ¥3.06 | -47% |
| Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM | C$28.58 | C$21.79 | -24% |
| Zhejiang Hailiang Co 002203 | ¥16.66 | ¥7.00 | -58% |
| Capstone Copper Corp CSC | A$13.06 | A$7.28 | -44% |
| China Nonferrous Mining Corporation 1258 | HK$14.75 | HK$1.76 | -88% |
| Hindustan Copper Limited HINDCOPPER | ₹486.15 | ₹158.42 | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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