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Toyota Caetano (SCT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Toyota Caetano €8.36, price €7.10, upside +17.7%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · PT · ISIN PTSCT0AP0018

TC Some data Sep 23, 2026

Toyota Caetano

SCT · LS

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value €8.36 · Undervalued (+18%)
!Quality 49/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +13.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.7% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·4.93% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (12/13)
!Narrow moat 43/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€8.00 €0.5851 Fair Value €8.36 Jul 2016 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.5851 – €8.00 · fair‑value band €6.32 – €10.74 · the €7.10 price screens below the €8.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Toyota Caetano Portugal, S.A. imports, assembles, and commercializes light and heavy vehicles. The company involved in the import and sale of industrial cargo handling equipment; the creation and operationalization of training and human resources development projects, as well as the rental of properties; and rental of short or long-term vehicles.

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Toyota Caetano Portugal, S.A. imports, assembles, and commercializes light and heavy vehicles. The company involved in the import and sale of industrial cargo handling equipment; the creation and operationalization of training and human resources development projects, as well as the rental of properties; and rental of short or long-term vehicles. It also sells and rents industrial equipment, including counterbalanced forklift trucks and warehouse equipment; provides technical after-sales assistance and related parts; and offers business services and solutions. It distributes its products under the Toyota and Lexus brand names in Portugal, Germany, and the United Kingdom. Toyota Caetano Portugal, S.A. was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Vila Nova De Gaia, Portugal. Toyota Caetano Portugal, S.A. is a subsidiary of Salvador Caetano Auto (S.G.P.S.), S.A.

Stock analysis

Toyota Caetano (SCT) currently trades at €7.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €8.36, implying the stock looks roughly 15.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €13.41 per share, and 9 of the 14 models we run sit above the €7.10 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €3.83, and 5 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €6.32 (bear) to €10.74 (bull), the price of €7.10 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Toyota Caetano reported revenue of €667M in FY2025 versus €404M in FY2021, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was €25.1M in FY2025, compounding +21.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €249M · P/E ratio 9.7 · P/S ratio 0.37 · EPS (TTM) €0.7300 · Dividend yield 4.9% · Net margin 3.8% · Return on equity 13.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at 18%, SCT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €6.32 Fair Value €8.36 Bull €10.74
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.2780 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings €10.06 €13.31 €17.13 78
Residual Income €4.82 €5.37 €7.55 76
EPV €5.92 €6.64 €7.24 74
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €10.06 €13.31 €17.13 78
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €4.87 €12.22 €15.86 65
PEG = 1.0 €2.24 €3.20 €4.16 57
EPV €5.92 €6.64 €7.24 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple €11.82 €15.77 €19.71 63
P/S Multiple €9.14 €12.18 €15.23 58
P/B Multiple €9.14 €12.18 €15.23 55
EV/EBIT €13.93 €18.63 €23.32 66
EV/EBITDA €14.61 €19.53 €24.45 67
EV/Revenue €9.34 €13.41 €17.48 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €2.86 €3.83 €5.72 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €4.82 €5.37 €7.55 76
ROIC Compounder €5.94 €6.88 €7.84 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €9.09 €12.98 €16.88 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.1% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+54.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+49.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.9%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 6%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 116 stocks

Beats the industry median on 12/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Above median
Fair Value upside +18% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.11× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.7× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.41× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.42× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.5× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)57 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)52 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)99 · sector 53

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tesla, Inc TSLA $378.90 $43.25 −89%
Toyota Motor Corporation TM $192.06 $210.40 +10%
BYD Company 002594 ¥86.58 ¥61.43 −29%
Hyundai Motor Company 005380 353,500 KRW 363,952 KRW +3%
General Motors Company GM $83.45 $61.21 −27%
Ferrari N.V RACE $413.32 $454.65 +10%
Ford Motor Company F $13.10 $12.62 −4%
Mercedes-Benz Group MBG €43.47 €106.88 +146%
Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG P911 €45.32 €21.98 −52%
Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI ₹12,230 ₹8,236 −33%

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Toyota Caetano · Fair Value
€8.36 +15%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Toyota Caetano Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SCT

Frequently asked questions

Is Toyota Caetano (SCT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €8.36 versus a price of €7.10, about +18% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SCT?
Our model-based fair value for Toyota Caetano is €8.36 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €7.10.
What is the quality score of SCT?
Toyota Caetano has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €8.36 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario €6.32, optimistic scenario €10.74. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Toyota Caetano stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €8.36, about +18% upside versus a price of €7.10 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €6.32, optimistic scenario €10.74. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
Toyota Caetano reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €673M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Toyota Caetano pay a dividend?
Toyota Caetano currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.93% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Toyota Caetano it is €8.36 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €7.10. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Toyota Caetano stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SCT trades below its calculated fair value: price €7.10, fair value €8.36, a gap of about +18% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SCT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€7.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€8.36). For Toyota Caetano the two are €1.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Toyota Caetano worth?
The market values Toyota Caetano at about €249M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €7.10; our models calculate a fair value of €8.36 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SCT?
Our models span a range for Toyota Caetano: cautious scenario €6.32, base €8.36, optimistic €10.74 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €7.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SCT?
Toyota Caetano trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.7 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €8.36 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 5.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Toyota Caetano (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 13.1%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SCT from its 52-week high?
Toyota Caetano trades at €7.10, about 11% below its 52-week high of €8.00 and 22% above the low of €5.83 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €8.36 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Toyota Caetano?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, Hyundai Motor Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Toyota Caetano stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €7.10, calculated fair value €8.36 (+18%), Quality Score 49/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SCT calculated?
We run Toyota Caetano through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €8.36, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Toyota Caetano currently trades 18 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €7.10. Our model-based fair value is €8.36, about +18% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Toyota Caetano right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Toyota Caetano

How large is the market capitalisation of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
The market capitalisation of Toyota Caetano is €249M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Toyota Caetano is 0.37 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
Earnings per share at Toyota Caetano are €0.7300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
The dividend yield of Toyota Caetano is 4.9% (payout 47.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
The net margin of Toyota Caetano is 3.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Toyota Caetano is 13.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Toyota Caetano is 7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
The operating margin of Toyota Caetano is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
Revenue at Toyota Caetano is growing −3.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
Earnings per share at Toyota Caetano are growing +6.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Toyota Caetano (SCT) generate?
The free cash flow of Toyota Caetano is −€10.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Toyota Caetano (SCT) carry?
The net debt of Toyota Caetano is €41.1M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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