Toyota Caetano (SCT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Toyota Caetano stock €8.41, price €6.65, upside +26.5%, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 17 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.6076 – €8.00 · fair‑value band €5.89 – €10.94 · the €6.65 price screens below the €8.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Toyota Caetano Portugal, S.A. imports, assembles, and commercializes light and heavy vehicles.
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The company involved in the import and sale of industrial cargo handling equipment; the creation and operationalization of training and human resources development projects, as well as the rental of properties; and rental of short or long-term vehicles.
It also sells and rents industrial equipment, including counterbalanced forklift trucks and warehouse equipment; provides technical after-sales assistance and related parts; and offers business services and solutions.
It distributes its products under the Toyota and Lexus brand names in Portugal, Germany, and the United Kingdom. Toyota Caetano Portugal, S.A. was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Vila Nova De Gaia, Portugal.
Toyota Caetano Portugal, S.A. is a subsidiary of Salvador Caetano Auto (S.G.P.S.), S.A.
Stock analysis
Toyota Caetano (SCT) currently trades at €6.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €8.41, implying the stock looks roughly 21% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €14.08 per share, and 9 of the 17 models we run sit above the €6.65 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €3.76, and 8 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €5.89 (bear) to €10.94 (bull), the price of €6.65 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Toyota Caetano reported revenue of €667M in FY2025 versus €404M in FY2021, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was €25.1M in FY2025, compounding +21.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €233M Micro · P/E ratio 7.5 · P/S ratio 0.34 · EPS (TTM) €0.8900 · Dividend yield 5.3% · Net margin 4.4% · Return on equity 15.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 26%, SCT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€5.89Fair Value €8.41Bull€10.94
Price €6.65 · Upside +26.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.4616 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings€10.20€13.75€18.0178
Residual Income€4.87€5.39€6.4776
EPV€5.89€6.62€7.2074
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings€10.20€13.75€18.0178
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd€4.87€13.34€17.5065
Lynch FV€2.64€3.78€4.9161
PEG = 1.0€2.64€3.78€4.9157
EPV€5.89€6.62€7.2074
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM€2.43€4.06€5.2668
DDM Multi-Stage€2.43€3.46€4.3467
Multiples
P/E Multiple€11.82€15.77€19.7163
P/S Multiple€9.14€12.18€15.2358
P/B Multiple€3.52€4.70€5.8755
EV/EBIT€12.92€17.61€22.3166
EV/EBITDA€13.59€18.51€23.4467
EV/Revenue€8.32€12.39€16.4653
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)€0.2000€0.3000€0.380054
Economic Profit
Residual Income€4.87€5.39€6.4776
ROIC Compounder€5.92€6.88€7.9072
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E€9.33€13.33€17.3367
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.1% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+55.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+49.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 6%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 106 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Above median
Fair Value upside+26.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)15.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets5.3% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)4.4% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)6.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)4.9% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)5.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Toyota Caetano Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SCT
Frequently asked questions
Is Toyota Caetano (SCT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €8.41 versus a price of €6.65, about +26% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SCT?
Our model-based fair value for Toyota Caetano is €8.41 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €6.65.
What is the quality score of SCT?
Toyota Caetano has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €8.41 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario €5.89, optimistic scenario €10.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Toyota Caetano stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €8.41, about +26% upside versus a price of €6.65 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €5.89, optimistic scenario €10.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
Toyota Caetano reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €686M (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Toyota Caetano pay a dividend?
Toyota Caetano currently shows a dividend yield of 5.26% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Toyota Caetano (SCT) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Toyota Caetano pays a dividend of €0.35 per share a year, a dividend yield of 5.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 5, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2021. The payout ratio is 39.3% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Toyota Caetano it is €8.41 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of €6.65. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Toyota Caetano stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, SCT trades below its calculated fair value: price €6.65, fair value €8.41, a gap of about +26% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SCT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€6.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€8.41). For Toyota Caetano the two are €1.76 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Toyota Caetano worth?
The market values Toyota Caetano at about €233M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is €6.65; our models calculate a fair value of €8.41 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SCT?
Our models span a range for Toyota Caetano: cautious scenario €5.89, base €8.41, optimistic €10.94 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price €6.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SCT?
Toyota Caetano trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.5 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €8.41 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings: 9.0. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 4.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Toyota Caetano (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 15.8%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SCT from its 52-week high?
Toyota Caetano trades at €6.65, about 17% below its 52-week high of €8.00 and 11% above the low of €5.98 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €8.41 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Toyota Caetano?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, Ferrari N.V, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Toyota Caetano stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price €6.65, calculated fair value €8.41 (+26%), Quality Score 48/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SCT calculated?
We run Toyota Caetano through 17 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €8.41 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Toyota Caetano currently trades 21% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €6.65. Our model-based fair value is €8.41, about +26% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Toyota Caetano right now?
A fairly wide model range (€5.89 to €10.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Toyota Caetano
How large is the market capitalisation of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
The market capitalisation of Toyota Caetano is €233M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Toyota Caetano is 0.34 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
Earnings per share at Toyota Caetano are €0.8900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
The dividend yield of Toyota Caetano is 5.3% (payout 39.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
The net margin of Toyota Caetano is 4.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Toyota Caetano is 15.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Toyota Caetano is 7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
The operating margin of Toyota Caetano is 6.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
Revenue at Toyota Caetano is growing +4.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Toyota Caetano (SCT)?
Earnings per share at Toyota Caetano are growing +51.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Toyota Caetano (SCT) generate?
The free cash flow of Toyota Caetano is −€10.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Toyota Caetano (SCT) carry?
The net debt of Toyota Caetano is €41.1M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 6, 2026