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Spectra Systems Corporation (SCTQ) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $103M

SS Spectra Systems Corporation logo Spectra Systems Corporation SCTQ · US
Price$2.24
Fair Value$5.00
Upside+123.2%
Quality74/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 31.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Wide moat 90/100
Evidence: High Range $3.24 – $6.25 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +5.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 123% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (74/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.24). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range ($3.24 to $6.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$2.24 $1.15 Fair Value $5.00 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.15 – $2.24 · fair‑value band $3.24 – $6.25 · the $2.24 price screens below the $5.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Spectra Systems Corporation (SCTQ) currently trades at $2.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.00, implying the stock looks roughly 123.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Spectra Systems Corporation generated revenue of $64.3M at a net margin of 31.2%. Revenue grew 10.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 45.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.24 (bear case) to $6.25 (bull case); at $2.24, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 123%, SCTQ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $2.19 $3.31 $5.29 80
Residual Income $0.8900 $1.11 $2.58 76
Rev-Margin DCF $2.46 $4.72 $8.64 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.33 $3.17 $5.63 38
Owner Earnings $2.62 $4.93 $8.96 31
5Y Revenue Exit $2.46 $4.16 $7.65 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $3.62 $6.51 $12.12 41
5Y P/E Exit $3.36 $7.29 $12.61 38
10Y Revenue Exit $2.32 $4.69 $6.38 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.11 $6.77 $13.56 37
10Y P/E Exit $2.95 $6.31 $12.15 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.21 $8.46 $11.88 54
Lynch FV $3.02 $4.32 $5.62 50
PEG = 1.0 $3.02 $4.32 $5.62 46
EPV $1.52 $1.68 $1.80 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.8200 $1.37 $1.77 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.8200 $1.30 $1.47 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.75 $5.00 $6.25 63
P/S Multiple $2.28 $3.03 $3.79 58
P/B Multiple $2.28 $3.03 $3.79 55
EV/EBIT $4.55 $6.00 $7.44 53
EV/EBITDA $4.37 $5.76 $7.14 54
EV/Revenue $2.41 $3.35 $4.29 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3700 $0.5000 $0.7500 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.19 $3.31 $5.29 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.46 $4.72 $8.64 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.8900 $1.11 $2.58 76
ROIC Compounder $1.77 $2.26 $2.87 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.44 $6.34 $8.24 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($6.34) versus Asset-Based ($0.5000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $64.3M
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.8%
Net margin 31.2%
Return on equity 45.7%
Free cash flow $8.5M FY2024
P/E ratio 5.2
More key figures
Operating margin 34.9%
EPS (TTM) $0.4100
EPS growth (YoY) +237%
Net cash $2.8M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 73
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 99
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Spectra Systems Corporation invents, develops, and sells integrated optical systems in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Authentication Systems, Secure Transactions, Security Printing, and Banknote Cleaning.

Full company description

Spectra Systems Corporation invents, develops, and sells integrated optical systems in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Authentication Systems, Secure Transactions, Security Printing, and Banknote Cleaning. It offers integrated solutions, including a system of taggant materials and sensor equipment to authenticate banknotes and security documents; and banknote cleaning and disinfection systems. The company also provides optical materials for security and quality control, such as fluorescent and phosphorescent pigments and dyes, invisible pigments and dyes, and gasochromic response materials; customized materials and hardware solutions; and internal control systems for integrity of the lottery and sports betting games. In addition, it offers software and hardware systems comprising high-speed currency authentication sensors; and conventional and hybrid postage stamps, tax stamps, vouchers, coupons, certificates, and high-security documents. The company was formerly known as Spectra Science Corporation and changed its name to Spectra Systems Corporation in June 2001. Spectra Systems Corporation was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Providence, Rhode Island.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Spectra Systems Corporation reported revenue of $49.2M in FY2024 versus $15.6M in FY2020, a compound +33.2%/yr. Reported net income was $8.5M in FY2024, compounding +11.8%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 92/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$49.2M
Latest YoY
+142.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+44.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.1%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.9%
Revenue +33.2%/yr
FY20 $15.6M
FY21 $16.3M
FY22 $19.3M
FY23 $20.3M
FY24 $49.2M
Net income +11.8%/yr
FY20 $5.5M
FY21 $5.1M
FY22 $6.0M
FY23 $6.0M
FY24 $8.5M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Spectra Systems Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SCTQ

Peer Group

Software - Application · 709 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +123% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 46% · Top 25%
Return on assets 23% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 35% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.07× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.88× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.60× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 12.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 3.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 54 · sector 38
PAST 100 · sector 13
HEALTH 96 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

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Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $72.67 $51.11 -30%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $170.77 $182.10 +7%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $107.71 $33.12 -69%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $384.17 $80.41 -79%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $271.87 $34.04 -87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $230.61 $379.48 +65%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $241.92 $177.51 -27%
Intuit Inc INTU $291.09 $258.69 -11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Spectra Systems Corporation (SCTQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.00 versus a price of $2.24, about +123% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SCTQ?
Our model-based fair value for Spectra Systems Corporation is $5.00 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.24.
What is the quality score of SCTQ?
Spectra Systems Corporation has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Spectra Systems Corporation (SCTQ)?
Spectra Systems Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $64.3M (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SCTQ?
The net profit margin of Spectra Systems Corporation is about 31.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 31.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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