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Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Aegis Brands Inc $0.24, price $0.20, upside +20.0%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Aegis Brands Inc
SCUPF · USUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value $0.2400 · Undervalued (+20.0%)
!Quality 51/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +9.1 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 19.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓Wide moat 67/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0100 – $1.11 · fair‑value band $0.1200 – $0.3800 · the $0.2000 price screens below the $0.2400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Aegis Brands Inc. engages in the food and beverage business in Canada. It offers wings, fries, and garlic dill sauce, as well as food products. The company owns and operates corporate and franchised restaurants under the St. Louis Bar & Grill brand name. It also sells its products through online. The company was formerly known as The Second Cup Ltd.
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Aegis Brands Inc. engages in the food and beverage business in Canada. It offers wings, fries, and garlic dill sauce, as well as food products. The company owns and operates corporate and franchised restaurants under the St. Louis Bar & Grill brand name. It also sells its products through online. The company was formerly known as The Second Cup Ltd. And changed its name to Aegis Brands Inc. in September 2020. Aegis Brands Inc. was founded in 1975 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
Stock analysis
Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF) currently trades at $0.2000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2400, implying the stock looks roughly 16.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $0.4300 per share, and 12 of the 23 models we run sit above the $0.2000 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $0.0500, and 11 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.1200 (bear) to $0.3800 (bull), the price of $0.2000 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Aegis Brands Inc reported revenue of C$17.3M in FY2025 versus C$10.9M in FY2021, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was C$3.0M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $23.3M · P/E ratio 5.0 · P/S ratio 0.87 · EPS (TTM) $0.0400 · Net margin 17.3% · Return on equity 16.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5% · Operating margin 24.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 20%, SCUPF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.1200
Fair Value $0.2400
Bull $0.3800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0302 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$0.1000
$0.2000
$0.3300
78
Growth DCF
$0.1000
$0.2000
$0.3200
76
Owner Earnings
$0.2100
$0.3500
$0.5400
75
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.1000
$0.2000
$0.3300
78
Owner Earnings
$0.2100
$0.3500
$0.5400
75
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.0100
$0.0700
$0.1400
66
5Y EBITDA Exit
$0.1800
$0.3600
$0.5700
73
5Y P/E Exit
$0.1600
$0.3300
$0.5000
69
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.0400
$0.0900
$0.1600
63
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.1400
$0.2900
$0.4700
66
10Y P/E Exit
$0.1300
$0.2700
$0.4200
62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.1700
$0.3600
$0.4500
66
PEG = 1.0
$0.0500
$0.0800
$0.1000
57
EPV
$0.0200
$0.0500
$0.0700
70
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.4100
$0.5400
$0.6800
63
P/S Multiple
$0.1300
$0.1700
$0.2100
58
P/B Multiple
$0.3100
$0.4200
$0.5200
55
EV/EBIT
$0.3700
$0.5500
$0.7300
65
EV/EBITDA
$0.2800
$0.4300
$0.5800
66
EV/Revenue
n/a
$0.0100
>$0.0400
50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.0900
$0.1200
$0.1900
53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.1000
$0.2000
$0.3200
76
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.0100
$0.0700
$0.1400
66
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.1800
$0.2100
$0.2700
71
ROIC Compounder
$0.0200
$0.0500
$0.0700
69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.3000
$0.4300
$0.5600
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
51/100
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Profitability
47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
41
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
73/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −7.4% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−61.9% (2020) → 27.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.3% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 208 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCD | $233.60 | $162.81 | −30% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $93.96 | $35.83 | −62% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $32.32 | $35.55 | +10% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $138.28 | $76.78 | −44% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | $71.48 | $73.34 | +3% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $199.75 | $175.20 | −12% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $40.80 | $50.76 | +24% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $158.45 | $128.55 | −19% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $301.81 | $233.22 | −23% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $37.89 | $10.27 | −73% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2400 versus a price of $0.2000, about +20% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SCUPF?
Our model-based fair value for Aegis Brands Inc is $0.2400 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.2000.
What is the quality score of SCUPF?
Aegis Brands Inc has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2400 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1200, optimistic scenario $0.3800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aegis Brands Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2400, about +20% upside versus a price of $0.2000 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.1200, optimistic scenario $0.3800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF)?
Aegis Brands Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $16.9M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Aegis Brands Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +10.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SCUPF use?
Our models discount Aegis Brands Inc at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.28, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Aegis Brands Inc that is +10.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Aegis Brands Inc grew +9.1 % a year. The price currently implies +10.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Aegis Brands Inc (+10.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.79 %: that much free cash flow Aegis Brands Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aegis Brands Inc it is $0.2400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.2000. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aegis Brands Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SCUPF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.2000, fair value $0.2400, a gap of about +20% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SCUPF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2400). For Aegis Brands Inc the two are $0.0400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aegis Brands Inc worth?
The market values Aegis Brands Inc at about $23.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.2000; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SCUPF?
Our models span a range for Aegis Brands Inc: cautious scenario $0.1200, base $0.2400, optimistic $0.3800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.2000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SCUPF?
Aegis Brands Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.2400 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 6.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aegis Brands Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 16.3%, debt of 0.93 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SCUPF from its 52-week high?
Aegis Brands Inc trades at $0.2000, about 26% below its 52-week high of $0.2700 and at the low of $0.2000 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aegis Brands Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aegis Brands Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.2000, calculated fair value $0.2400 (+20%), Quality Score 51/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SCUPF calculated?
We run Aegis Brands Inc through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Aegis Brands Inc currently trades 17 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.2000. Our model-based fair value is $0.2400, about +20% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aegis Brands Inc right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($0.1200 to $0.3800). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Aegis Brands Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF)?
The market capitalisation of Aegis Brands Inc is $23.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aegis Brands Inc is 0.87 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF)?
Earnings per share at Aegis Brands Inc are $0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF)?
The net margin of Aegis Brands Inc is 17.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aegis Brands Inc is 16.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aegis Brands Inc is 0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF)?
The operating margin of Aegis Brands Inc is 24.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF)?
Revenue at Aegis Brands Inc is growing −9.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF)?
Earnings per share at Aegis Brands Inc are growing +257% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Aegis Brands Inc (SCUPF) carry?
The net debt of Aegis Brands Inc is $26.0M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 12.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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