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Smith Douglas Homes Corp (SDHC) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $115M

Price$13.24
Fair Value$28.19
Upside+112.9%
Quality80/100
Evidence: Medium Range $14.83 – $35.23

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

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Analysis

Smith Douglas Homes Corp (SDHC) currently trades at $13.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.19 — implying the stock looks roughly 112.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 80/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. is headquartered in Woodstock, Georgia, Smith Douglas Homes completed its initial public offering in January 2024. Since its inception, Smith Douglas has been entrusted by over 20,000 families to fulfill their new home dreams. Ranked a top 50 builder nationally for several years and with 2,908 closings in 2025, Smith Douglas currently holds the #32 position on the Builder Magazine Top 100 list. The Smith Douglas communities are primarily targeted to entry-level and empty-nest homebuyers looking to purchase a new home priced below the Federal Housing Administration loan limit in the metro areas of Atlanta, Birmingham, Central Georgia, Charlotte, Chattanooga, Dallas-Fort Worth, Greenville, Houston, Huntsville, Nashville, Raleigh, and the Alabama Gulf Coast. Smith Douglas offers its homebuyers a personalized, affordable buying experience at attractive prices, delivering exceptional value and quality. Smith Douglas Homes Corp. was incorporated in Delaware, USA.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Smith Douglas Homes Corp (SDHC) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $28.19 versus a price of $13.24 — about +113% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of SDHC?
Our 21-model fair value for Smith Douglas Homes Corp is $28.19 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.24.
What is the quality score of SDHC?
Smith Douglas Homes Corp has a Quality Score of 80/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.