Seplat Petroleum Development Company PLC (SEPL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of Seplat Petroleum Development Company PLC £9.57, price £8.11, upside +18.0%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Seplat Petroleum Development Company PLC
SEPL · LSEUndervaluedQuality growthThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.4886 – £8.87 · fair‑value band £6.71 – £12.44 · the £8.11 price screens below the £9.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Company profile
Seplat Energy Plc, an independent energy company, engages in the oil and gas exploration and production, and gas processing activities in Africa, Asia, Europe, and the Americas. It operates through two segments, Oil and Gas. The company explores, develops, and produces crude oil; and processes and produces gas. It also operates oil and gas assets.
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Seplat Energy Plc, an independent energy company, engages in the oil and gas exploration and production, and gas processing activities in Africa, Asia, Europe, and the Americas. It operates through two segments, Oil and Gas. The company explores, develops, and produces crude oil; and processes and produces gas. It also operates oil and gas assets. In addition, the company is involved in the provision of technical, liaison, and administrative support services relating to oil and gas exploration and production. Seplat Energy Plc was formerly known as Seplat Petroleum Development Company Plc and changed its name to Seplat Energy Plc in May 2021. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Lagos, Nigeria.
Stock analysis
Seplat Petroleum Development Company PLC (SEPL) currently trades at £8.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £9.57, implying the stock looks roughly 15.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £15.93 per share, and 12 of the 26 models we run sit above the £8.11 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £1.54, and 14 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: £6.71 (bear) to £12.44 (bull), the price of £8.11 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Seplat Petroleum Development Company PLC reported revenue of $2.8B in FY2025 versus $733M in FY2021, a compound +39.6%/yr. Reported net income was $164M in FY2025, compounding +3.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 5.2B GBX · P/E ratio 35.3 · P/S ratio 2.07 · EPS (TTM) £0.2300 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 5.9% · Return on equity 9.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 236% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 18%, SEPL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 91
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Seplat Petroleum Development Company PLC with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 278 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Energy sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Energy
- Undervalued stocks: UK Stocks
- Valuation of the UK market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $127.06 | $91.42 | −28% |
| CNOOC Limited 0883 | HK$23.40 | HK$39.91 | +71% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $48.44 | $53.28 | +10% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $137.76 | $165.02 | +20% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $57.84 | $33.18 | −43% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $47.65 | $52.42 | +10% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $184.71 | $243.76 | +32% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$31.24 | A$24.14 | −23% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $50.09 | $55.10 | +10% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $336.46 | $317.06 | −6% |
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Key figures of Seplat Petroleum Development Company PLC
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