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Shin-Etsu Polymer Co (SETUF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $784M

SE Shin-Etsu Polymer Co logo Shin-Etsu Polymer Co SETUF · US
Price$9.76
Fair Value$15.27
Upside+56.5%
Quality67/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.6% net margin
generates free cash flow
3.70% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/10)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range $11.45 – $19.09 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $17.57 to $15.27 (−13.1%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A solid business, screening 56% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($11.45). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$9.76 $2.43 Fair Value $15.27 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.43 – $9.76 · fair‑value band $11.45 – $19.09 · the $9.76 price screens below the $15.27 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Shin-Etsu Polymer Co (SETUF) currently trades at $9.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.27, implying the stock looks roughly 56.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shin-Etsu Polymer Co generated revenue of $115B at a net margin of 8.6%. Revenue grew 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 12.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $11.45 (bear case) to $19.09 (bull case); at $9.76, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at 56%, SETUF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $11.14 $13.68 $16.78 72
Growth-Adj P/E $9.13 $13.04 $16.96 68
Rev-Margin DCF $12.29 $17.15 $22.56 67
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $11.05 $13.92 $17.62 38
Owner Earnings $12.31 $15.68 $20.02 31
5Y Revenue Exit $12.29 $17.12 $23.18 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $14.77 $21.65 $29.52 41
5Y P/E Exit $12.75 $17.97 $23.30 38
10Y Revenue Exit $11.44 $15.44 $20.59 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $13.12 $18.27 $24.90 37
10Y P/E Exit $11.96 $15.97 $20.66 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.19 $14.29 $18.76 54
Lynch FV $2.84 $4.06 $5.28 50
PEG = 1.0 $2.84 $4.06 $5.28 46
EPV $10.71 $11.64 $12.42 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $11.45 $15.27 $19.09 63
P/S Multiple $9.73 $12.98 $16.22 58
P/B Multiple $9.73 $12.98 $16.22 55
EV/EBIT $18.48 $23.36 $28.23 53
EV/EBITDA $19.19 $24.29 $29.40 54
EV/Revenue $13.72 $17.94 $22.16 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.00 $6.69 $9.99 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $11.14 $13.68 $16.78 72
Rev-Margin DCF $12.29 $17.15 $22.56 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $7.75 $8.05 $8.28 61
ROIC Compounder $10.83 $12.17 $13.65 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $9.13 $13.04 $16.96 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($15.97) versus Earnings-Based ($4.06). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $115B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.5%
Net margin 8.6%
Return on equity 7.8%
Free cash flow $10.2B FY2026
P/E ratio 12.0
More key figures
Operating margin 10.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.8100
Dividend yield 3.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -19.7%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shin-Etsu Polymer Co.,Ltd. develops and supplies PVC and semiconductor silicone products worldwide. It offers touch switches and pads, rubber contacts, short strokes, metal domes, in-molds, pressure sensitive devices, view/light path control films, and anisotropic conductive rubber connectors; and silicone rubber tubes and sheets, silicone sponge sheets, …

Full company description

Shin-Etsu Polymer Co.,Ltd. develops and supplies PVC and semiconductor silicone products worldwide. It offers touch switches and pads, rubber contacts, short strokes, metal domes, in-molds, pressure sensitive devices, view/light path control films, and anisotropic conductive rubber connectors; and silicone rubber tubes and sheets, silicone sponge sheets, medical tube transitions, office automation rollers, medical and chemical products, culture plugs, embossed/blister carrier tapes, top cover tapes, plastic tape frame, and electronic component carrier, as well as wrap films. The company provides PVC pipes and corrugated sheets, sealing materials, self-bonding Silicone rubber tape, silicone adhesive sheets, and construction/civil engineering waterproof silicone sheet; and compound, transparent conductive ink, high-functioning engineering plastic films, PVC, TPV, and TPU compound, conductive polymer, and PEEK film. It serves consumer electronics, electric components, semiconductor, automotive, and construction markets. The company was incorporated in 1960 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Shin-Etsu Polymer Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Shin-Etsu Polymer Co reported revenue of $115B in FY2026 versus $92.6B in FY2022, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was $9.9B in FY2026, compounding +11.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$115B
Latest YoY
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+6.2%
Revenue +5.6%/yr
FY22 $92.6B
FY23 $108B
FY24 $104B
FY25 $111B
FY26 $115B
Net income +11.9%/yr
FY22 $6.3B
FY23 $8.5B
FY24 $8.7B
FY25 $9.4B
FY26 $9.9B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shin-Etsu Polymer Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SETUF

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +57% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.7% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 28 · sector 19
PAST 31 · sector 23
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 74 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

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Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shin-Etsu Polymer Co (SETUF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.27 versus a price of $9.76, about +56% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SETUF?
Our model-based fair value for Shin-Etsu Polymer Co is $15.27 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $9.76.
What is the quality score of SETUF?
Shin-Etsu Polymer Co has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shin-Etsu Polymer Co (SETUF)?
Shin-Etsu Polymer Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $115B (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SETUF?
The net profit margin of Shin-Etsu Polymer Co is about 8.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shin-Etsu Polymer Co pay a dividend?
Shin-Etsu Polymer Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.70% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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