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Shah Alloys Limited (SHAHALLOYS) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹1.4B

SA Shah Alloys Limited SHAHALLOYS · NSE
Price₹80.68
Fair Value₹229.67
Upside+184.7%
Quality49/100
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Weak Growth
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range ₹186.53 – ₹297.41 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price +19.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 185% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹186.53). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹128.80 ₹6.80 Fair Value ₹229.67 Jan 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹6.80 – ₹128.80 · fair‑value band ₹186.53 – ₹297.41 · the ₹80.68 price screens below the ₹229.67 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Shah Alloys Limited (SHAHALLOYS) currently trades at ₹80.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹229.67, implying the stock looks roughly 184.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at ₹373M. It earns a return on equity of 205.8%. Net debt stands at ₹619M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 1.5. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹186.53 (bear case) to ₹297.41 (bull case); at ₹80.68, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 185%, SHAHALLOYS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹349.24 ₹788.31 ₹31,276 76
ROIC Compounder ₹0.0100 72
Gordon GGM ₹6.99 ₹7.54 ₹8.35 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹464.77 ₹606.30 ₹843.75 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹370.03 ₹452.26 ₹508.79 54
EPV ₹0.0100 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹6.99 ₹7.54 ₹8.35 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹6.99 ₹8.32 ₹10.04 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹693.80 ₹925.07 ₹1,156 63
P/S Multiple ₹22.37 ₹29.83 ₹37.29 58
P/B Multiple ₹127.70 ₹170.26 ₹212.83 55
EV/EBIT ₹1.45 ₹2.37 ₹3.29 53
EV/EBITDA ₹25.51 ₹34.45 ₹43.39 54
EV/Revenue ₹1.08 ₹2.11 ₹3.13 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹28.38 ₹38.03 ₹56.75 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹349.24 ₹788.31 ₹31,276 76
ROIC Compounder ₹0.0100 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹494.27 ₹706.10 ₹917.93 68

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (₹788.31) versus Dividend Discount (₹7.54). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹373M
Revenue growth (YoY) -98.7%
Net margin 289%
Return on equity 206%
Free cash flow −₹742M FY2026
P/E ratio 1.5
More key figures
Operating margin -195%
EPS (TTM) ₹54.42
EPS growth (YoY) +112%
Net debt ₹619M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 61
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 60
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shah Alloys Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of flat and long stainless steel, alloy and special steel, carbon/mild steel, and armor steel products in India and internationally. The company also offers hot rolled coils, sheets, and plates; cold rolled coils and sheets; hot rolled round and flat bars; bright/peeled bars; angles; and beams.

Full company description

Shah Alloys Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of flat and long stainless steel, alloy and special steel, carbon/mild steel, and armor steel products in India and internationally. The company also offers hot rolled coils, sheets, and plates; cold rolled coils and sheets; hot rolled round and flat bars; bright/peeled bars; angles; and beams. In addition, it provides chrome molybdenum, abrasion/wear resistant, quenched and tempered, high tensile, corrosion resistant, tool, pressure vessel, and other alloy steel products. The company also exports its products. Shah Alloys Limited was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Gandhinagar, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Shah Alloys Limited reported revenue of ₹394M in FY2026 versus ₹8.8B in FY2022, a compound −54.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.1B in FY2026, compounding +7.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹394M
Latest YoY
−85.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−60.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−39.9%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.1%
Revenue −54.0%/yr
FY22 ₹8.8B
FY23 ₹6.3B
FY24 ₹5.9B
FY25 ₹2.7B
FY26 ₹394M
Net income +7.0%/yr
FY22 ₹821M
FY23 −₹44.9M
FY24 −₹186M
FY25 −₹197M
FY26 ₹1.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shah Alloys Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SHAHALLOYS

Peer Group

Steel · 384 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +185% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 206% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -195% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -99% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 1.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 0.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 18
FUTURE0 · sector 3
PAST100 · sector 16
HEALTH98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND25 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,269 ₹1,140 -10%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹186.20 ₹145.39 -22%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 37.25 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 325,000 KRW 155,270 KRW -52%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,838 ARS +16%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,112 ₹516.27 -54%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,894 ₹771.10 -59%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 39.22 MXN -53%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,472 ARS +55%
NMDC Limited NMDC ₹85.00 ₹112.98 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shah Alloys Limited (SHAHALLOYS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹229.67 versus a price of ₹80.68, about +185% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SHAHALLOYS?
Our model-based fair value for Shah Alloys Limited is ₹229.67 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹80.68.
What is the quality score of SHAHALLOYS?
Shah Alloys Limited has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shah Alloys Limited (SHAHALLOYS)?
Shah Alloys Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹373M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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