Shangri-La Hotel Public Company (SHANG) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TH · Market cap 5.6B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price +1.7% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from 30.58 THB (bear) to 50.96 THB (bull), base 40.77 THB. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 68/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 38.96 THB – 76.87 THB · fair‑value band 30.58 THB – 50.96 THB · the 43.75 THB price screens above the 40.77 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Shangri-La Hotel Public Company (SHANG) currently trades at 43.75 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 40.77 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 6.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shangri-La Hotel Public Company generated revenue of 2.2B THB at a net margin of 12.9%. Revenue grew 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 983M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 30.58 THB (bear case) to 50.96 THB (bull case); at 43.75 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -7%, SHANG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (61.88 THB) versus Dividend Discount (15.12 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shangri-La Hotel Public Company Limited engages in hotel operations in Bangkok and Chiang Mai provinces. It operates through two segments, Hotel Business and Holding Investment.
Full company description
Shangri-La Hotel Public Company Limited engages in hotel operations in Bangkok and Chiang Mai provinces. It operates through two segments, Hotel Business and Holding Investment. The company's hotel facilities include rooms and suites, restaurants, bars and lounges, spas, health clubs; events such as meetings, weddings and celebrations; and various other services. Shangri-La Hotel Public Company Limited was founded in 1981 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand. Shangri-La Hotel Public Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Shangri-La Asia Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shangri-La Hotel Public Company reported revenue of 2.1B THB in FY2025 versus 335M THB in FY2021, a compound +58.9%/yr. Reported net income was 241M THB in FY2025.
of which total revenue +0.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Lodging · 168 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott International, Inc MAR | $369.05 | $135.64 | -63% |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT | $328.48 | $123.67 | -62% |
| InterContinental Hotels Group IHG | $159.87 | $85.18 | -47% |
| Hyatt Hotels Corporation H | $191.00 | $47.69 | -75% |
| H World Group HTHT | $42.67 | $47.55 | +11% |
| Accor SA AC | €47.25 | €39.26 | -17% |
| The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL | ₹743.20 | ₹260.68 | -65% |
| Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH | $78.54 | $24.02 | -69% |
| Hanjin Kal, 180640 | 113,500 KRW | 36,890 KRW | -67% |
| Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 | 16.00 SAR | 11.64 SAR | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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