Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 593B IDR (≈ $59.3M) · ISIN ID1000068505
What is Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 491% above our fair value of 93.04 IDR.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Share price −10.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (128.33 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (51.51 IDR to 128.33 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 530.00 IDR – 3,600 IDR · fair‑value band 51.51 IDR – 128.33 IDR · the 550.00 IDR price screens above the 93.04 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
Analysis
Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID) currently trades at 550.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 93.04 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 491.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 431.24 IDR per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the 550.00 IDR price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 100.91 IDR, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk generated revenue of 119B IDR at a net margin of −21.0%. Revenue declined 21.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −3.5%. Net debt stands at 438B IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 51.51 IDR (bear case) to 128.33 IDR (bull case); at 550.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −61% fair-value upside, at −83%, SHID screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (431.24 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (100.91 IDR). Highest evidence: DDM Multi-Stage (66).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PT Hotel Sahid Jaya International Tbk operates and manages hotels in Indonesia. It operates and manages various serviced apartment units, as well as involved in the retail trade of alcoholic beverages; and the operation of bars and restaurants. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Full company description
PT Hotel Sahid Jaya International Tbk operates and manages hotels in Indonesia. It operates and manages various serviced apartment units, as well as involved in the retail trade of alcoholic beverages; and the operation of bars and restaurants. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Hotel Sahid Jaya International Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Empu Sahid International.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk reported revenue of 124B IDR in FY2025 versus 69.4B IDR in FY2021, a compound +15.6%/yr. Reported net income was −26.7B IDR in FY2025.
SHID screens 491% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →
Peer Group
Lodging · 169 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott International, Inc MAR | $341.76 | $132.35 | −61% |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT | $332.56 | $122.07 | −63% |
| InterContinental Hotels Group IHG | $161.82 | $85.18 | −47% |
| Hyatt Hotels Corporation H | $178.37 | $46.78 | −74% |
| Accor SA AC | €46.52 | €36.87 | −21% |
| H World Group HTHT | $41.25 | $47.78 | +16% |
| The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL | ₹723.35 | ₹253.67 | −65% |
| Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH | $74.02 | $23.55 | −68% |
| Hanjin Kal, 180640 | 139,100 KRW | 36,890 KRW | −73% |
| Choice Hotels International, Inc CHH | $105.54 | $61.72 | −42% |
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Frequently asked questions
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