Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 19, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk stock IDR 431, price IDR 600, upside -28.1%, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 530.00 IDR – 3,600 IDR · fair‑value band 321.82 IDR – 643.64 IDR · the 600.00 IDR price screens above the 431.24 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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PT Hotel Sahid Jaya International Tbk operates and manages hotels in Indonesia. It operates and manages various serviced apartment units, as well as involved in the retail trade of alcoholic beverages; and the operation of bars and restaurants.
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The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Hotel Sahid Jaya International Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Empu Sahid International.
Stock analysis
Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID) currently trades at 600.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 431.24 IDR, 28.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: 321.82 IDR (bear) to 643.64 IDR (bull), the price of 600.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk reported revenue of 124B IDR in FY2025 versus 69.4B IDR in FY2021, a compound +15.6%/yr. Reported net income was −26.7B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 672B IDR (≈ $37.4M) Micro · P/S ratio 6.21 · EPS (TTM) −7.81 IDR · Net margin −7.2% · Return on equity −1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.8% · Operating margin 19.9% · Revenue (TTM) 123B IDR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −28%, SHID screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear321.82 IDRFair Value 431.24 IDRBull643.64 IDR
Price 600.00 IDR · Upside -28.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−20.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.2% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−66.1% (2020) → −0.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 155 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−32.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−2.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−7.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)19.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)19.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.53× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.99× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)5.81× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA46.1× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)97· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)74· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 34
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 431.24 IDR versus a price of 600.00 IDR, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SHID?
Our model-based fair value for Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk is 431.24 IDR (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 600.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of SHID?
Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 431.24 IDR (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 321.82 IDR, optimistic scenario 643.64 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 431.24 IDR, about −28% upside versus a price of 600.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 321.82 IDR, optimistic scenario 643.64 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID)?
Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 123B IDR (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk it is 431.24 IDR per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 600.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, SHID trades above its calculated fair value: price 600.00 IDR, fair value 431.24 IDR, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SHID?
No. The price is what the market pays today (600.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (431.24 IDR). For Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk the two are 168.76 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk worth?
The market values Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk at about 672B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 600.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 431.24 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SHID?
Our models span a range for Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk: cautious scenario 321.82 IDR, base 431.24 IDR, optimistic 643.64 IDR per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 600.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −1.3%, debt of 0.53 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SHID from its 52-week high?
Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk trades at 600.00 IDR, about 37% below its 52-week high of 945.00 IDR and 13% above the low of 530.00 IDR (as of Oct 19, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 431.24 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, InterContinental Hotels Group, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 600.00 IDR, calculated fair value 431.24 IDR (−28%), Quality Score 36/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SHID calculated?
We run Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 431.24 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID)?
The closing price on Oct 19, 2026 was 600.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 431.24 IDR, about −28% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk right now?
Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (321.82 IDR to 643.64 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID)?
The market capitalisation of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk is 672B IDR (≈ $37.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk is 6.21 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID)?
Earnings per share at Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk are −7.81 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID)?
The net margin of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk is −7.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk is −1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk is −0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID)?
The operating margin of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk is 19.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID)?
Revenue at Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk is growing +19.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID)?
Earnings per share at Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk are growing +702% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID) generate?
The free cash flow of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk is −9.1B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk (SHID) carry?
The net debt of Hotel Sahid Jaya Tbk is 438B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 3, 2026