Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Shivalik Rasayan Limited ₹171, price ₹394, upside -56.6%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range ₹209.50 – ₹1,164 · fair‑value band ₹119.63 – ₹222.17 · the ₹394.05 price screens above the ₹170.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Shivalik Rasayan Limited produces and sells chemicals for the protection of plants in India.
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Shivalik Rasayan Limited produces and sells chemicals for the protection of plants in India. The company offers Dimethoate technical used in the preparation of formulations for use in the control of various insects and mites; and Malathion technical, an organophosphorus based contact insecticide used in the agricultural production of various food/feed crops. It also provides insecticides, such as CHLORANTRANILIPROLE, CHLOREFENAPYR, PYMETROZINE, NOVALURON, and BIFENTHRIN; and fungicides, including AZOXYSTROBIN, TRIFLOXYSTOBIN, and KRESOXIM-METHYL products. It also manufactures organophosphorus-based insecticides and chemicals. In addition, it develops and manufactures active pharmaceutical ingredients in oncology, ARVs, cardiovascular, metabolic disorders, and immunology; and manufactures oncology and non-oncology products. Further, the company offers custom manufacturing of chemicals. The company was incorporated in 1979 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Stock analysis
Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK) currently trades at ₹394.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹170.90, 56.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹404.54 per share, and 1 of the 17 models we run sit above the ₹394.05 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹20.59, and 16 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹119.63 (bear) to ₹222.17 (bull), the price of ₹394.05 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Shivalik Rasayan Limited reported revenue of ₹3.7B in FY2026 versus ₹2.1B in FY2022, a compound +15.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹121M in FY2026, compounding −17.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹6.2B (≈ $64.4M) · P/E ratio 51.0 · P/S ratio 1.68 · EPS (TTM) ₹7.70 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 3.3% · Return on equity 3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 88% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at −57%, SHIVALIK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹119.63Fair Value ₹170.90Bull ₹222.17
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹3.65 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.8% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−9.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−9.6% vs 7.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 7%
Compare Shivalik Rasayan Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 170 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−56.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3.2% · Below median
Return on assets2.2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3.3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)8.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth53.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)51.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.04× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)1.69× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA13.4× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)13· sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)3· sector 41
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹170.90 versus a price of ₹394.05, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SHIVALIK?
Our model-based fair value for Shivalik Rasayan Limited is ₹170.90 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹394.05.
What is the quality score of SHIVALIK?
Shivalik Rasayan Limited has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹170.90 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹119.63, optimistic scenario ₹222.17. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shivalik Rasayan Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹170.90, about −57% upside versus a price of ₹394.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹119.63, optimistic scenario ₹222.17. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK)?
Shivalik Rasayan Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Shivalik Rasayan Limited pay a dividend?
Shivalik Rasayan Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.13% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shivalik Rasayan Limited it is ₹170.90 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹394.05. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shivalik Rasayan Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, SHIVALIK trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹394.05, fair value ₹170.90, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SHIVALIK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹394.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹170.90). For Shivalik Rasayan Limited the two are ₹223.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shivalik Rasayan Limited worth?
The market values Shivalik Rasayan Limited at about ₹6.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹394.05; our models calculate a fair value of ₹170.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SHIVALIK?
Our models span a range for Shivalik Rasayan Limited: cautious scenario ₹119.63, base ₹170.90, optimistic ₹222.17 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹394.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SHIVALIK?
Shivalik Rasayan Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 51.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹170.90 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 13.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shivalik Rasayan Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 3.2%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SHIVALIK from its 52-week high?
Shivalik Rasayan Limited trades at ₹394.05, about 15% below its 52-week high of ₹462.35 and 88% above the low of ₹209.50 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹170.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shivalik Rasayan Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Corteva, Inc, Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shivalik Rasayan Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹394.05, calculated fair value ₹170.90 (−57%), Quality Score 36/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SHIVALIK calculated?
We run Shivalik Rasayan Limited through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹170.90, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Shivalik Rasayan Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹394.05. Our model-based fair value is ₹170.90, about −57% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shivalik Rasayan Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹222.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (₹119.63 to ₹222.17) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK) come from?
Earnings per share at Shivalik Rasayan Limited grew +6.1 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.5 %, EBIT margin +2.3 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Shivalik Rasayan Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK)?
The market capitalisation of Shivalik Rasayan Limited is ₹6.2B (≈ $64.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shivalik Rasayan Limited is 1.68 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK)?
Earnings per share at Shivalik Rasayan Limited are ₹7.70 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 51.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK)?
The dividend yield of Shivalik Rasayan Limited is 0.1% (payout 6.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK)?
The net margin of Shivalik Rasayan Limited is 3.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shivalik Rasayan Limited is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shivalik Rasayan Limited is 6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK)?
The operating margin of Shivalik Rasayan Limited is 8.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK)?
Revenue at Shivalik Rasayan Limited is growing +53.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK)?
Earnings per share at Shivalik Rasayan Limited are growing +9.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK) generate?
The free cash flow of Shivalik Rasayan Limited is −₹582M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shivalik Rasayan Limited (SHIVALIK) carry?
The net debt of Shivalik Rasayan Limited is ₹793M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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