SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. (SHKARTP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 9, 2026: fair value of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. ₹2.79, price ₹7.38, upside -62.2%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹3.70 – ₹15.22 · fair‑value band ₹1.95 – ₹3.62 · the ₹7.38 price screens above the ₹2.79 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Shree Karthik Papers Limited manufactures and sells papers in India. Shree Karthik Papers Limited was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Coimbatore, India.
Stock analysis
SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. (SHKARTP) currently trades at ₹7.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹2.79, 62.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹3.04 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the ₹7.38 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹1.04, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹1.95 (bear) to ₹3.62 (bull), the price of ₹7.38 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. reported revenue of ₹632M in FY2026 versus ₹442M in FY2022, a compound +9.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹3.4M in FY2026, compounding +74.3%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap ₹141M (≈ $1.5M) · P/E ratio 92.3 · P/S ratio 0.50 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.0800 · Net margin 0.5% · Return on equity 12.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7% · Operating margin 1.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at −62%, SHKARTP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹1.95Fair Value ₹2.79Bull ₹3.62
Price ₹7.38 · Upside -62.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.0423 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income₹1.40₹1.60₹2.1571
Growth-Adj P/E₹1.95₹2.79₹3.6267
Graham-Dodd₹1.21₹5.08₹6.9264
All 9 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd₹1.21₹5.08₹6.9264
Lynch FV₹1.29₹1.84₹2.3961
PEG = 1.0₹1.29₹1.84₹2.3957
Multiples
P/E Multiple₹2.28₹3.04₹3.7963
P/S Multiple₹2.28₹3.04₹3.7958
P/B Multiple₹2.28₹3.04₹3.7955
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)₹0.7700₹1.04₹1.5554
Economic Profit
Residual Income₹1.40₹1.60₹2.1571
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E₹1.95₹2.79₹3.6267
P/S and P/B multiple show the same value here: both are capped by the same earnings anchor (earnings per share times 17), because margin and return on equity do not support the sector multiple.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.6% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+71.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+71.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.71.2% vs −17.0%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 0%
Compare SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Paper & Paper Products · 118 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Above median
Fair Value upside−62.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets1.0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0.3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)1.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth16.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity6.13× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)92.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.78× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.21× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA25.4× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)82· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)49· sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. (SHKARTP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹2.79 versus a price of ₹7.38, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SHKARTP?
Our model-based fair value for SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. is ₹2.79 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹7.38.
What is the quality score of SHKARTP?
SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. (SHKARTP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹2.79 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹1.95, optimistic scenario ₹3.62. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹2.79, about −62% upside versus a price of ₹7.38 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹1.95, optimistic scenario ₹3.62. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. (SHKARTP)?
SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹658M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. (SHKARTP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. it is ₹2.79 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ₹7.38. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, SHKARTP trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹7.38, fair value ₹2.79, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SHKARTP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹7.38); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹2.79). For SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. the two are ₹4.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. worth?
The market values SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. at about ₹141M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹7.38; our models calculate a fair value of ₹2.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SHKARTP?
Our models span a range for SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD.: cautious scenario ₹1.95, base ₹2.79, optimistic ₹3.62 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ₹7.38). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SHKARTP?
SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 92.3 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹2.79 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.8, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 25.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. (SHKARTP)?
Balance-sheet figures for SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 12.3%, debt of 6.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SHKARTP from its 52-week high?
SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. trades at ₹7.38, about 21% below its 52-week high of ₹9.36 and 41% above the low of ₹5.23 (as of Oct 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹2.79 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value UPM-Kymmene Oyj, Shandong Sunpaper Co, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited, The Navigator Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ₹7.38, calculated fair value ₹2.79 (−62%), Quality Score 49/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SHKARTP calculated?
We run SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹2.79, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.6 % above its aggregate fair value. SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. (SHKARTP)?
The closing price on Oct 9, 2026 was ₹7.38. Our model-based fair value is ₹2.79, about −62% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹3.62). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹1.95 to ₹3.62) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. (SHKARTP)?
The market capitalisation of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. is ₹141M (≈ $1.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. (SHKARTP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. is 0.50 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. (SHKARTP)?
Earnings per share at SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. are ₹0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 92.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. (SHKARTP)?
The net margin of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. is 0.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. (SHKARTP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. is 12.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. (SHKARTP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. is 2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. (SHKARTP)?
The operating margin of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. (SHKARTP)?
Revenue at SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. is growing +16.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. (SHKARTP)?
Earnings per share at SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. are growing −43.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. (SHKARTP) generate?
The free cash flow of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. is −₹2.3M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. (SHKARTP) carry?
The net debt of SHREE KARTHIK PAPERS LTD. is ₹236M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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