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Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 9, 2026: fair value of Shimao Services Holdings Limited $0.11, price $0.06, upside +86.4%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · US · Home Hong Kong

SS Shimao Services Holdings Limited logo Thin data Oct 3, 2026

Shimao Services Holdings Limited

SHMSF · US

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

The stock costs 46% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $0.1072 · Strongly undervalued (+86.4%)
Quality 61/100
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/10)
Thin margins · 1.3% net margin (TTM)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +8.8 %/yr in CNY)
Narrow moat 27/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.2450 $0.0575 Fair Value $0.1072 Sep 2022 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

48‑month range $0.0575 – $0.2450 · fair‑value band $0.0860 – $0.1308 · the $0.0575 price screens below the $0.1072 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Shimao Services Holdings Limited provides property management services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through two segments, Property Management Services and City Services. The company offers security, cleaning, greening, gardening, repair, and maintenance services.

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It also provides community asset management services, including the leasing of common spaces and public facilities; agency services; home decoration services, such as supply chain services for decoration materials, and marketing and promotion services; car park sales agency, car park sales, and public parking area rental services; smart community solutions; software maintenance services; technical solutions; catering, accommodation, and business trading services; new retail services of selling commodities through online and offline communities; elderly care-related services; display units and property sales venue management, preliminary planning, design consultancy, repair, and maintenance management services; and sewage and waste treatment services.

In addition, the company carries out data analytics and mobile app mini-program development; and construction and engineering work, including electrical and electronic work, interior decoration, landscaping, and other civil work, as well as sells intelligent hardware devices and software.

Further, it is involved in real estate agencies; wholesale and retail trading; technology services; business services; construction decoration; education; hotel management; urban and rural environmental sanitation integrated services; elderly support and consultancy services; house and city infrastructure construction; electricity infrastructure construction and inner renovation; city park and public infrastructure management; and corporate management services.

The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China. Shimao Services Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Best Cosmos Limited.

Stock analysis

Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF) currently trades at $0.0575, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1072, implying the stock looks roughly 46.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.6800 per share, and 14 of the 14 models we run sit above the $0.0575 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $0.2400, and 0 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.0860 (bear) to $0.1308 (bull), the price of $0.0575 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Shimao Services Holdings Limited reported revenue of 7.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 8.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was 101M CNY in FY2025, compounding −45.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $142M · EPS (TTM) $−0.0300 · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity 1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% · Operating margin 1.5% · Revenue (TTM) 7.9B CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) +10.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 86%, SHMSF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0860 Fair Value $0.1072 Bull $0.1308
Price $0.0575 · Upside +86.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF $0.5200 $0.7400 $1.06 78
Growth DCF $0.5100 $0.7100 $0.9700 77
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.4700 $0.7000 $0.9800 73
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.5200 $0.7400 $1.06 78
5Y Revenue Exit $0.3300 $0.4200 $0.5200 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.4700 $0.7000 $0.9800 73
10Y Revenue Exit $0.4000 $0.5000 $0.6300 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.4800 $0.6800 $0.9500 66
Multiples
P/S Multiple $0.0800 $0.1000 $0.1300 58
P/B Multiple $0.0800 $0.1000 $0.1300 55
EV/EBIT $0.2800 $0.3400 $0.4100 66
EV/EBITDA $0.4700 $0.6000 $0.7300 67
EV/Revenue $0.2000 $0.2400 $0.2900 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2300 $0.3100 $0.4700 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.5100 $0.7100 $0.9700 77
Rev-Margin DCF $0.3300 $0.4200 $0.5400 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.2900 $0.2600 $0.2400 68

P/S and P/B multiple show the same value here: both are capped by the same earnings anchor (earnings per share times 17), because margin and return on equity do not support the sector multiple.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 23
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 66
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 68
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 95
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 56
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 40
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 33
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 79
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−34.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−34.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 2%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 527 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside +86.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 1.7% · Below median
Return on assets 0.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 1.3% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 1.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 10.3% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/S (12 months) 0.02× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow 0.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 44
FUTURE (revenue growth)52 · sector 17
PAST (return on equity)7 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 61

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vonovia SE VNA €16.31 €36.55 +124% vs SHMSF
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $303.14 $540.65 +78% vs SHMSF
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$38.38 HK$56.54 +47% vs SHMSF
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €24.60 €23.94 −3% vs SHMSF
Wharf Real Estate Investment Company 1997 HK$30.52 HK$27.42 −10% vs SHMSF
CBRE Group CBRE $130.80 $91.06 −30% vs SHMSF
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.30 HK$13.39 −45% vs SHMSF
KE Holdings BEKE $16.43 $7.20 −56% vs SHMSF
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.42 SGD 0.5600 SGD −77% vs SHMSF
CoStar Group CSGP $29.21 $6.19 −79% vs SHMSF

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Shimao Services Holdings Limited · Fair Value
$0.1072 +46%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shimao Services Holdings Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SHMSF

Frequently asked questions

Is Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1072 versus the last price from Oct 9, 2026 of $0.0575, about +86% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SHMSF?
Our model-based fair value for Shimao Services Holdings Limited is $0.1072 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Oct 9, 2026): $0.0575.
What is the quality score of SHMSF?
Shimao Services Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1072 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0860, optimistic scenario $0.1308. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shimao Services Holdings Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1072, about +86% upside versus the last price from Oct 9, 2026 of $0.0575 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.0860, optimistic scenario $0.1308. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF)?
Shimao Services Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shimao Services Holdings Limited it is $0.1072 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $0.0575. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shimao Services Holdings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, SHMSF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0575, fair value $0.1072, a gap of about +86% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SHMSF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0575); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1072). For Shimao Services Holdings Limited the two are $0.0497 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shimao Services Holdings Limited worth?
The market values Shimao Services Holdings Limited at about $142M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $0.0575; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1072 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SHMSF?
Our models span a range for Shimao Services Holdings Limited: cautious scenario $0.0860, base $0.1072, optimistic $0.1308 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $0.0575). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shimao Services Holdings Limited (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 1.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SHMSF from its 52-week high?
Shimao Services Holdings Limited trades at $0.0575, at its 52-week high of $0.0575 and at the low of $0.0575 (as of Oct 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1072 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shimao Services Holdings Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shimao Services Holdings Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $0.0575, calculated fair value $0.1072 (+86%), Quality Score 61/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SHMSF calculated?
We run Shimao Services Holdings Limited through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1072, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Shimao Services Holdings Limited currently trades 46 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF)?
The latest price we hold is from Oct 9, 2026 and stands at $0.0575. Our model-based fair value is $0.1072, about +86% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shimao Services Holdings Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0860). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Shimao Services Holdings Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF)?
The market capitalisation of Shimao Services Holdings Limited is $142M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF)?
Earnings per share at Shimao Services Holdings Limited are $−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF)?
The net margin of Shimao Services Holdings Limited is 1.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shimao Services Holdings Limited is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shimao Services Holdings Limited is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF)?
The operating margin of Shimao Services Holdings Limited is 1.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF)?
Revenue at Shimao Services Holdings Limited is growing +10.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF)?
Earnings per share at Shimao Services Holdings Limited are growing −95.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF) generate?
The free cash flow of Shimao Services Holdings Limited is 764M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF) hold?
Shimao Services Holdings Limited holds more cash than debt, 1.6B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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