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Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $142M

What is Shimao Services Holdings Limited really worth?

SS Shimao Services Holdings Limited logo Shimao Services Holdings Limited SHMSF · US
Price from Aug 21, 2026$0.0575
Fair Value$0.0684
Upside+19.0%
Quality58/100

A solid business, trading 16% below our fair value of $0.0684.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/10)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +8.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.3% net margin
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 7 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0565 – $0.0843

Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

$0.2450 $0.0575 Fair Value $0.0684 Sep 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

47‑month range $0.0575 – $0.2450 · fair‑value band $0.0565 – $0.0843 · the $0.0575 price screens below the $0.0684 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF) currently trades at $0.0575, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0684, implying the stock looks roughly 15.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 26 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shimao Services Holdings Limited generated revenue of $7.9B at a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue grew 10.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0565 (bear case) to $0.0843 (bull case); at $0.0575, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 19%, SHMSF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $3.45 $4.97 $7.08 78
Growth DCF $3.41 $4.74 $6.48 77
5Y EBITDA Exit $3.14 $4.67 $6.53 73
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $3.45 $4.97 $7.08 78
5Y Revenue Exit $2.19 $2.77 $3.47 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $3.14 $4.67 $6.53 73
10Y Revenue Exit $2.68 $3.35 $4.22 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.23 $4.52 $6.35 66
Multiples
P/S Multiple $0.5200 $0.6900 $0.8700 58
P/B Multiple $0.5200 $0.6900 $0.8700 55
EV/EBIT $1.89 $2.30 $2.71 66
EV/EBITDA $3.17 $4.02 $4.86 67
EV/Revenue $1.33 $1.62 $1.92 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.57 $2.10 $3.14 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.41 $4.74 $6.48 77
Rev-Margin DCF $2.19 $2.81 $3.61 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.94 $1.74 $1.11 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($4.52) versus Multiples ($1.62). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

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Key figures & financial health

EPS (TTM) $−0.0300
Net margin 1.3% FY2025
Return on equity 1.7% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 1.5% TTM
Revenue (TTM) $7.9B TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.3% 3y avg −3.9%
EPS growth (YoY) −95.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $764M FY2025
Net cash $1.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Shimao Services Holdings Limited provides property management services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through two segments, Property Management Services and City Services. The company offers security, cleaning, greening, gardening, repair, and maintenance services.

Full company description

Shimao Services Holdings Limited provides property management services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through two segments, Property Management Services and City Services. The company offers security, cleaning, greening, gardening, repair, and maintenance services. It also provides community asset management services, including the leasing of common spaces and public facilities; agency services; home decoration services, such as supply chain services for decoration materials, and marketing and promotion services; car park sales agency, car park sales, and public parking area rental services; smart community solutions; software maintenance services; technical solutions; catering, accommodation, and business trading services; new retail services of selling commodities through online and offline communities; elderly care-related services; display units and property sales venue management, preliminary planning, design consultancy, repair, and maintenance management services; and sewage and waste treatment services. In addition, the company carries out data analytics and mobile app mini-program development; and construction and engineering work, including electrical and electronic work, interior decoration, landscaping, and other civil work, as well as sells intelligent hardware devices and software. Further, it is involved in real estate agencies; wholesale and retail trading; technology services; business services; construction decoration; education; hotel management; urban and rural environmental sanitation integrated services; elderly support and consultancy services; house and city infrastructure construction; electricity infrastructure construction and inner renovation; city park and public infrastructure management; and corporate management services. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China. Shimao Services Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Best Cosmos Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shimao Services Holdings Limited reported revenue of 7.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 8.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was 101M CNY in FY2025, compounding −45.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$7.7B
Latest YoY
−2.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+28.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−34.4% (−34.4 + 0.0)
Revenue −2.1%/yr
FY21 8.3B CNY
FY22 8.6B CNY
FY23 8.2B CNY
FY24 7.9B CNY
FY25 7.7B CNY
Net income −45.1%/yr
FY21 1.1B CNY
FY22 −927M CNY
FY23 273M CNY
FY24 −272M CNY
FY25 101M CNY

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shimao Services Holdings Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SHMSF

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 545 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside +22% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 10% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE62 · sector 32
FUTURE52 · sector 10
PAST7 · sector 17
HEALTH100 · sector 84
DIVIDEND0 · sector 64

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CBRE Group CBRE $147.40 $69.47 −53%
Vonovia SE VNA €19.85 €36.67 +85%
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €27.47 €25.46 −7%
KE Holdings BEKE $17.42 $6.57 −62%
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $378.01 $290.25 −23%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.84 HK$5.12 −79%
CoStar Group CSGP $32.22 $4.64 −86%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$39.84 HK$34.95 −12%
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.73 SGD 0.4900 SGD −82%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,989 CLP 4,571 CLP +15%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0684 versus the last price from Aug 21, 2026 of $0.0575, about +19% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SHMSF?
Our model-based fair value for Shimao Services Holdings Limited is $0.0684 (as of Aug 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Aug 21, 2026): $0.0575.
What is the quality score of SHMSF?
Shimao Services Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shimao Services Holdings Limited (SHMSF)?
Shimao Services Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SHMSF?
The net profit margin of Shimao Services Holdings Limited is about 1.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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